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Related papers: Uncertainty-Aware Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction…

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Trajectory behaviours of pedestrians and vehicles operating close to each other can be different in unstructured compared to structured environments. These differences in the motion behaviour are valuable to be considered in the trajectory…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Mahsa Golchoubian , Moojan Ghafurian , Nasser Lashgarian Azad , Kerstin Dautenhahn

Equipping predicted segmentation with calibrated uncertainty is essential for safety-critical applications. In this work, we focus on capturing the data-inherent uncertainty (aka aleatoric uncertainty) in segmentation, typically when…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Zhitong Gao , Yucong Chen , Chuyu Zhang , Xuming He

Predicting crowd intentions and trajectories is critical for a range of real-world applications, involving social robotics and autonomous driving. Accurately modeling such behavior remains challenging due to the complexity of pairwise…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Weizheng Wang , Baijian Yang , Sungeun Hong , Wenhai Sun , Byung-Cheol Min

Accurate pedestrian trajectory prediction is of great importance for downstream tasks such as autonomous driving and mobile robot navigation. Fully investigating the social interactions within the crowd is crucial for accurate pedestrian…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Yuying Chen , Congcong Liu , Xiaodong Mei , Bertram E. Shi , Ming Liu

Diffusion models have recently driven significant breakthroughs in generative modeling. While state-of-the-art models produce high-quality samples on average, individual samples can still be low quality. Detecting such samples without human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Metod Jazbec , Eliot Wong-Toi , Guoxuan Xia , Dan Zhang , Eric Nalisnick , Stephan Mandt

Mobility entropy is proposed to measure predictability of human movements, based on which, the upper and lower bound of prediction accuracy is deduced, but corresponding mathematical expressions of prediction accuracy keeps yet open. In…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-29 Lu Liu , Wuyang Zhou , Sihai Zhang , Wei Cai

With people constantly migrating to different urban areas, our mobility needs for work, services and leisure are transforming rapidly. The changing urban demographics pose several challenges for the efficient management of transit services.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-08 Trivik Verma , Mikhail Sirenko , Itto Kornecki , Scott Cunningham , Nuno AM Araújo

The high dynamics and heterogeneous interactions in the complicated urban systems have raised the issue of uncertainty quantification in spatiotemporal human mobility, to support critical decision-makings in risk-aware web applications such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Zhengyang Zhou , Yang Wang , Xike Xie , Lei Qiao , Yuantao Li

In this paper we develop a framework for parameter estimation in macroscopic pedestrian models using individual trajectories -- microscopic data. We consider a unidirectional flow of pedestrians in a corridor and assume that the velocity…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Susana N. Gomes , Andrew M. Stuart , Marie-Therese Wolfram

Modeling uncertainty in deep neural networks, despite recent important advances, is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are a powerful solution, where the prior over network weights is a design choice, often a normal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Gal Novik

In pedestrian dynamics, the internal drive that propels individuals toward their goals is typically captured by a single, fixed parameter, the desired walking speed. This simplification overlooks that motivation fluctuates in response to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-04 Ezel Üsten , Anna Sieben , Mohcine Chraibi , Armin Seyfried

Automatically reasoning about future human behaviors is a difficult problem but has significant practical applications to assistive systems. Part of this difficulty stems from learning systems' inability to represent all kinds of behaviors.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Jiaqi Guan , Ye Yuan , Kris M. Kitani , Nicholas Rhinehart

Stochastic human motion prediction (HMP) has generally been tackled with generative adversarial networks and variational autoencoders. Most prior works aim at predicting highly diverse movements in terms of the skeleton joints' dispersion.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-03 German Barquero , Sergio Escalera , Cristina Palmero

Accurate prediction of human or vehicle trajectories with good diversity that captures their stochastic nature is an essential task for many applications. However, many trajectory prediction models produce unreasonable trajectory samples…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Qingze , Liu , Danrui Li , Samuel S. Sohn , Sejong Yoon , Mubbasir Kapadia , Vladimir Pavlovic

Advancements in intelligent technologies have significantly improved navigation in complex traffic environments by enhancing environment perception and trajectory prediction for automated vehicles. However, current research often overlooks…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Pei Liu , Haipeng Liu , Xingyu Liu , Yiqun Li , Junlan Chen , Yangfan He , Jun Ma

This paper presents a novel deep learning framework for human trajectory prediction and detecting social group membership in crowds. We introduce a generative adversarial pipeline which preserves the spatio-temporal structure of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-20 Tharindu Fernando , Simon Denman , Sridha Sridharan , Clinton Fookes

Current multi-person localisation and tracking systems have an over reliance on the use of appearance models for target re-identification and almost no approaches employ a complete deep learning solution for both objectives. We present a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-03-12 Tharindu Fernando , Simon Denman , Sridha Sridharan , Clinton Fookes

When ignorance due to the lack of knowledge, modeled as epistemic uncertainty using Dempster-Shafer structures on closed intervals, is present in the model parameters, a new uncertainty propagation method is necessary to propagate both…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-11 Gabriel Terejanu , Puneet Singla , Tarunraj Singh , Peter D. Scott

Motion prediction is a challenging problem in autonomous driving as it demands the system to comprehend stochastic dynamics and the multi-modal nature of real-world agent interactions. Diffusion models have recently risen to prominence, and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Jiahui Li , Tianle Shen , Zekai Gu , Jiawei Sun , Chengran Yuan , Yuhang Han , Shuo Sun , Marcelo H. Ang

Given (small amounts of) time-series' data from a high-dimensional, fine-grained, multiscale dynamical system, we propose a generative framework for learning an effective, lower-dimensional, coarse-grained dynamical model that is predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Sebastian Kaltenbach , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis