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Sequential likelihood ratio testing is found to be most powerful in sequential studies with early stopping rules when grouped data come from the one-parameter exponential family. First, to obtain this elusive result, the probability measure…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-28 Sergey Tarima , Nancy Flournoy

A central goal in designing clinical trials is to find the test that maximizes power (or equivalently minimizes required sample size) for finding a false null hypothesis subject to the constraint of type I error. When there is more than one…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-21 Ruth Heller , Abba Krieger , Saharon Rosset

Despite its importance to experimental design, statistical power (the probability that, given a real effect, an experiment will reject the null hypothesis) has largely been ignored by the NLP community. Underpowered experiments make it more…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Dallas Card , Peter Henderson , Urvashi Khandelwal , Robin Jia , Kyle Mahowald , Dan Jurafsky

This paper introduces a decision-theoretic framework for constructing and evaluating test statistics based on their relationship with ancillary statistics-quantities whose distributions remain fixed under the null and alternative…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Albert Vexler , Douglas Landsittel

Identifying the most powerful test in multiple hypothesis testing under strong family-wise error rate (FWER) control is a fundamental problem in statistical methodology. State-of-the-art approaches formulate this as a constrained…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Prasanjit Dubey , Xiaoming Huo

A new method based on the rejection sampling for finding statistical tests is proposed. This method is conceptually intuitive, easy to implement, and applicable for arbitrary dimension. To illustrate its potential applicability, three…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 Markku Kuismin

The likelihood function plays a pivotal role in statistical inference; it is adaptable to a wide range of models and the resultant estimators are known to have good properties. However, these results hinge on correct specification of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

This paper proposes a max-test for testing (possibly infinitely) many zero parameter restrictions in an extremum estimation framework. The test statistic is formed by estimating key parameters one at a time based on many empirical loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Jonathan B. Hill

Power-law distributions occur in many situations of scientific interest and have significant consequences for our understanding of natural and man-made phenomena. Unfortunately, the detection and characterization of power laws is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-12 Aaron Clauset , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , M. E. J. Newman

We propose a frequentist testing procedure that maintains a defined coverage and is optimal in the sense that it gives maximal power to detect deviations from a null hypothesis when the alternative to the null hypothesis is sampled from a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-07 Christian Bartels , Johanna Mielke , Ekkehard Glimm

We consider a nonlinear polynomial regression model in which we wish to test the null hypothesis of structural stability in the regression parameters against the alternative of a break at an unknown time. We derive the extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-23 Alexander Aue , Lajos Horváth , Marie Hušková , Piotr Kokoszka

Nonparametric two sample testing deals with the question of consistently deciding if two distributions are different, given samples from both, without making any parametric assumptions about the form of the distributions. The current…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Aaditya Ramdas , Sashank J. Reddi , Barnabas Poczos , Aarti Singh , Larry Wasserman

We consider a data-driven robust hypothesis test where the optimal test will minimize the worst-case performance regarding distributions that are close to the empirical distributions with respect to the Wasserstein distance. This leads to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Liyan Xie , Rui Gao , Yao Xie

We study two nonparametric tests of the hypothesis that a sequence of independent observations is identically distributed against the alternative that at a single change point the distribution changes. The tests are based on the Cramer-von…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Rasmus Erlemann , Richard Lockhart , Rihan Yao

The theocratical properties of the power of the conventional testing hypotheses and the selection bias are usually unknown under covariate-adaptive randomized clinical trials. In the literature, most studies are based on simulations. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Li-Xin Zhang

We consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series that the conditional distribution follows a one-parameter exponential family. We propose a change-point test based on the maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

Non-deterministic measurements are common in real-world scenarios: the performance of a stochastic optimization algorithm or the total reward of a reinforcement learning agent in a chaotic environment are just two examples in which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-31 Etor Arza , Josu Ceberio , Ekhiñe Irurozki , Aritz Pérez

In the problem of composite hypothesis testing, identifying the potential uniformly most powerful (UMP) unbiased test is of great interest. Beyond typical hypothesis settings with exponential family, it is usually challenging to prove the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Tianyu Zhan , Jian Kang

Hypothesis tests are a crucial statistical tool for data mining and are the workhorse of scientific research in many fields. Here we study differentially private tests of independence between a categorical and a continuous variable. We take…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-25 Simon Couch , Zeki Kazan , Kaiyan Shi , Andrew Bray , Adam Groce

Statistical hypothesis testing is the central method to demarcate scientific theories in both exploratory and inferential analyses. However, whether this method befits such purpose remains a matter of debate. Established approaches to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-10-29 Orestis Loukas , Ho-Ryun Chung