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Machine learning (ML) models trained using Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) often exhibit systematic errors on specific subpopulations of tabular data, known as error slices. Learning robust representation in presence of error slices is…
There is growing interest in neural network architectures for tabular data. Many general-purpose tabular deep learning models have been introduced recently, with performance sometimes rivaling gradient boosted decision trees (GBDTs). These…
XGBoost is a scalable ensemble technique based on gradient boosting that has demonstrated to be a reliable and efficient machine learning challenge solver. This work proposes a practical analysis of how this novel technique works in terms…
Many real-world domains require safe decision making in uncertain environments. In this work, we introduce a deep reinforcement learning framework for approaching this important problem. We consider a distribution over transition models,…
Deep learning models have been used to support analytics beyond simple aggregation, where deeper and wider models have been shown to yield great results. These models consume a huge amount of memory and computational operations. However,…
Latent Gaussian models and boosting are widely used techniques in statistics and machine learning. Tree-boosting shows excellent prediction accuracy on many data sets, but potential drawbacks are that it assumes conditional independence of…
Most of the existing learning models, particularly deep neural networks, are reliant on large datasets whose hand-labeling is expensive and time demanding. A current trend is to make the learning of these models frugal and less dependent on…
The paper examines the performance of regression models (OLS linear regression, Ridge regression, Random Forest, and Fully-connected Neural Network) on the prediction of CMA (Conservative Minus Aggressive) factor premium and the performance…
We study how a central bank should dynamically set short-term nominal interest rates to stabilize inflation and unemployment when macroeconomic relationships are uncertain and time-varying. We model monetary policy as a sequential…
Designing composite materials as per the application requirements is fundamentally a challenging and time consuming task. Here we report the development of a deep neural network based computational framework capable of solving the forward…
In this work in progress, we demonstrate a new use-case for the ENIGMA system. The ENIGMA system using the XGBoost implementation of gradient boosted decision trees has demonstrated high capability to learn to guide the E theorem prover's…
Contemporary empirical applications frequently require flexible regression models for complex response types and large tabular or non-tabular, including image or text, data. Classical regression models either break down under the…
Several machine learning frameworks for augmenting turbulence closure models have been recently proposed. However, the generalizability of an augmented turbulence model remains an open question. We investigate this question by…
Multivariate binary distributions can be decomposed into products of univariate conditional distributions. Recently popular approaches have modeled these conditionals through neural networks with sophisticated weight-sharing structures. It…
Despite their dominance in vision and language, deep neural networks often underperform relative to tree-based models on tabular data. To bridge this gap, we incorporate five key inductive biases into deep learning: robustness to irrelevant…
The diagnostic performance of most of the deep learning models is greatly affected by the selection of model architecture and hyperparameters. Manual selection of model architecture is not feasible as training and evaluating the different…
We adopt deep learning models to directly optimise the portfolio Sharpe ratio. The framework we present circumvents the requirements for forecasting expected returns and allows us to directly optimise portfolio weights by updating model…
Financial time series forecasting in zero-shot settings is critical for investment decisions, especially during abrupt market regime shifts or in emerging markets with limited historical data. While Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning (MAML)…
Reinforcement learning is a machine learning approach concerned with solving dynamic optimization problems in an almost model-free way by maximizing a reward function in state and action spaces. This property makes it an exciting area of…
Neural networks often make predictions relying on the spurious correlations from the datasets rather than the intrinsic properties of the task of interest, facing sharp degradation on out-of-distribution (OOD) test data. Existing de-bias…