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This review article focuses on regularised estimation procedures applicable to geostatistical and spatial econometric models. These methods are particularly relevant in the case of big geospatial data for dimensionality reduction or model…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 Philipp Otto , Alessandro Fassò , Paolo Maranzano

In this paper, we focus on the model specification problem in multivariate spatial econometric models when a candidate set for the spatial weights matrix is available. We propose a model selection method for the multivariate spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Xin Miao , Fang Fang , Xuening Zhu , Hansheng Wang

Cross-validation (CV) is known to provide asymptotically exact tests and confidence intervals for model improvement but only when the model comparison is relatively stable. Surprisingly, we prove that even simple, individually stable models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Alexandre Bayle , Lucas Janson , Lester Mackey

While significant progress has been made towards explaining black-box machine-learning (ML) models, there is still a distinct lack of diagnostic tools that elucidate the spatial behaviour of ML models in terms of predictive skill and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Alexander Brenning

Spatial prediction tasks are key to weather forecasting, studying air pollution impacts, and other scientific endeavors. Determining how much to trust predictions made by statistical or physical methods is essential for the credibility of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-25 David R. Burt , Yunyi Shen , Tamara Broderick

Many econometric analyses involve spatio--temporal data. A considerable amount of literature has addressed spatio--temporal models, with Spatial Dynamic Panel Data (SDPD) being widely investigated and applied. In real data applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-18 Maria Lucia Parrella

Despite impressive high-level video comprehension, multimodal language models struggle with spatial reasoning across time and space. While current spatial training approaches rely on real-world video data, obtaining diverse footage with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Ellis Brown , Arijit Ray , Ranjay Krishna , Ross Girshick , Rob Fergus , Saining Xie

Spatial count data models are used to explain and predict the frequency of phenomena such as traffic accidents in geographically distinct entities such as census tracts or road segments. These models are typically estimated using Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-19 Prateek Bansal , Rico Krueger , Daniel J. Graham

Model comparison is the cornerstone of theoretical progress in psychological research. Common practice overwhelmingly relies on tools that evaluate competing models by balancing in-sample descriptive adequacy against model flexibility, with…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-11 Viet-Hung Dao , David Gunawan , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Robert Kohn , Guy E. Hawkins , Scott D. Brown

Variable selection plays a fundamental role in high-dimensional data analysis. Various methods have been developed for variable selection in recent years. Well-known examples are forward stepwise regression (FSR) and least angle regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-01 Siliang Gong , Kai Zhang , Yufeng Liu

Curriculum learning techniques are a viable solution for improving the accuracy of automatic models, by replacing the traditional random training with an easy-to-hard strategy. However, the standard curriculum methodology does not…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-23 Petru Soviany

Although the leave-subject-out cross-validation (CV) has been widely used in practice for tuning parameter selection for various nonparametric and semiparametric models of longitudinal data, its theoretical property is unknown and solving…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-20 Ganggang Xu , Jianhua Z. Huang

With machine learning being a popular topic in current computational materials science literature, creating representations for compounds has become common place. These representations are rarely compared, as evaluating their performance -…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Samantha Durdy , Michael Gaultois , Vladimir Gusev , Danushka Bollegala , Matthew J. Rosseinsky

Cross-validation is a widely-used technique to estimate prediction error, but its behavior is complex and not fully understood. Ideally, one would like to think that cross-validation estimates the prediction error for the model at hand, fit…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Stephen Bates , Trevor Hastie , Robert Tibshirani

Many modern datasets, such as those in ecology and geology, are composed of samples with spatial structure and dependence. With such data violating the usual independent and identically distributed (IID) assumption in machine learning and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-18 Kevin Fry , Jonathan E. Taylor

A variety of enhanced sampling methods predict multidimensional free energy landscapes associated with biological and other molecular processes as a function of a few selected collective variables (CVs). The accuracy of these methods is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-04-09 Lukas Müllender , Andrea Rizzi , Michele Parrinello , Paolo Carloni , Davide Mandelli

The spatial error model (SEM) is a type of simultaneous autoregressive (SAR) model for analysing spatially correlated data. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is one of the most widely used Bayesian methods for estimating SEM, but it has…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-14 Anjana Wijayawardhana , David Gunawan , Thomas Suesse

Motivated by recent work on studying massive imaging data in various neuroimaging studies, we propose a novel spatially varying coefficient model (SVCM) to spatially model the varying association between imaging measures in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-01 Hongtu Zhu , Jianqing Fan , Linglong Kong

Spatially varying coefficient (SVC) models are a type of regression model for spatial data where covariate effects vary over space. If there are several covariates, a natural question is which covariates have a spatially varying effect and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-12 Jakob A. Dambon , Fabio Sigrist , Reinhard Furrer

Statistical machine learning models should be evaluated and validated before putting to work. Conventional k-fold Monte Carlo Cross-Validation (MCCV) procedure uses a pseudo-random sequence to partition instances into k subsets, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-05 Liang Guo , Jianya Liu , Ruodan Lu