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We introduce a new sparse estimator of the covariance matrix for high-dimensional models in which the variables have a known ordering. Our estimator, which is the solution to a convex optimization problem, is equivalently expressed as an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-27 Jacob Bien , Florentina Bunea , Luo Xiao

We propose a novel approach for change-point detection and parameter learning in multivariate non-stationary time series exhibiting oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the process through a piecewise function defined by a sum of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Bianco , Lorenzo Cappello

Complex quantum systems and their various applications are susceptible to noise of coherent and incoherent nature. Characterization of noise and its sources is an open, key challenge in quantum technology applications, especially in terms…

To use control charts in practice, the in-control state usually has to be estimated. This estimation has a detrimental effect on the performance of control charts, which is often measured for example by the false alarm probability or the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-30 Axel Gandy , Jan Terje Kvaløy

This article studies the \emph{robust covariance matrix estimation} of a data collection $X = (x_1,\ldots,x_n)$ with $x_i = \sqrt \tau_i z_i + m$, where $z_i \in \mathbb R^p$ is a \textit{concentrated vector} (e.g., an elliptical random…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Cosme Louart , Romain Couillet

We investigate the optimal structure of dynamic regression models used in multivariate time series prediction and propose a scheme to form the lagged variable structure called Backward-in-Time Selection (BTS) that takes into account…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-14 Ioannis Vlachos , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

Balancing influential covariates is crucial for valid treatment comparisons in clinical studies. While covariate-adaptive randomization is commonly used to achieve balance, its performance can be inadequate when the number of baseline…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Ziqing Guo , Yang Liu , Lucy Xia

Measurements are a vital part of any quantum computation, whether as a final step to retrieve results, as an intermediate step to inform subsequent operations, or as part of the computation itself (as in measurement-based quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-04-14 Stefanie J. Beale , Joel J. Wallman

We examine the use of synchronization as a mechanism for extracting parameter and state information from experimental systems. We focus on important aspects of this problem that have received little attention previously, and we explore them…

Through the Bayesian lens of data assimilation, uncertainty on model parameters is traditionally quantified through the posterior covariance matrix. However, in modern settings involving high-dimensional and computationally expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-16 Michael Stanley , Mikael Kuusela , Brendan Byrne , Junjie Liu

Substantial improvement in accuracy of identified linear time-invariant single-input multi-output (SIMO) dynamical models is possible when the disturbances affecting the output measurements are spatially correlated. Using an orthogonal…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-01-14 Niklas Everitt , Giulio Bottegal , Cristian R. Rojas , Håkan Hjalmarsson

This paper investigates the cross-correlations across multiple climate model errors. We build a Bayesian hierarchical model that accounts for the spatial dependence of individual models as well as cross-covariances across different climate…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-02 Huiyan Sang , Mikyoung Jun , Jianhua Z. Huang

We describe how to calculate standard errors for A/B tests that include clustered data, ratio metrics, and/or covariate adjustment. We may do this for power analysis/sample size calculations prior to running an experiment using historical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-12 Tim Hesterberg , Ben Knight

The importance of state estimation in fluid mechanics is well-established; it is required for accomplishing several tasks including design/optimization, active control, and future state prediction. A common tactic in this regards is to rely…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-03-14 Yash Kumar , Pranav Bahl , Souvik Chakraborty

In semivarying coefficient models for longitudinal/clustered data, usually of primary interest is usually the parametric component which involves unknown constant coefficients. First, we study semiparametric efficiency bound for estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-15 Ming-Yen Cheng , Toshio Honda , Jialiang Li

Calibration of expensive simulation models involves an emulator based on simulation outputs generated across various parameter settings to replace the actual model. Noisy outputs of stochastic simulation models require many simulation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Özge Sürer

The identification of states and parameters from noisy measurements of a dynamical system is of great practical significance and has received a lot of attention. Classically, this problem is expressed as optimization over a class of models.…

Using random matrix technique we determine an exact relation between the eigenvalue spectrum of the covariance matrix and of its estimator. This relation can be used in practice to compute eigenvalue invariants of the covariance…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-01-15 Z. Burda , A. Goerlich , A. Jarosz , J. Jurkiewicz

It is common to assess the "memory strength" of a stationary process looking at how fast the normalized log-determinant of its covariance submatrices (i.e., entropy rate) decreases. In this work, we propose an alternative characterization…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-24 Anatoly Khina , Arie Yeredor , Ram Zamir

We study the performance of transformer architectures for multivariate time-series forecasting in low-data regimes consisting of only a few years of daily observations. Using synthetically generated processes with known temporal and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Cyril Garcia , Guillaume Remy
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