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Time series forecasting holds significant value in various domains such as economics, traffic, energy, and AIOps, as accurate predictions facilitate informed decision-making. However, the existing Mean Squared Error (MSE) loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Xiangfei Qiu , Xingjian Wu , Hanyin Cheng , Xvyuan Liu , Chenjuan Guo , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang

We introduce MoTIF, a mode-structured tensor framework for multi-parametric approximation, super-resolution, and temporal forecasting of high-dimensional unsteady systems. The methodology leverages High-Order Singular Value Decomposition…

Generative models for sequential data often struggle with sparsely sampled and high-dimensional trajectories, typically reducing the learning of dynamics to pairwise transitions. We propose Interpolative Multi-Marginal Flow Matching…

Time series data is a key element of big data analytics, commonly found in domains such as finance, healthcare, climate forecasting, and transportation. In large scale real world settings, such data is often high dimensional and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Younghwi Kim , Dohee Kim , Joongrock Kim , Sunghyun Sim

Forecasting with multivariate time series, which aims to predict future values given previous and current several univariate time series data, has been studied for decades, with one example being ARIMA. Because it is difficult to measure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Youngjin Park , Deokjun Eom , Byoungki Seo , Jaesik Choi

Time series forecasting is a critical task in domains such as energy, finance, and meteorology, where accurate long-term predictions are essential. While Transformer-based models have shown promise in capturing temporal dependencies, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Zhenkai Qin , Baozhong Wei , Caifeng Gao , Jianyuan Ni

At the heart of time-series forecasting (TSF) lies a fundamental challenge: how can models efficiently and effectively capture long-range temporal dependencies across ever-growing sequences? While deep learning has brought notable progress,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Hongbo Liu , Jia Xu

In this work we propose a novel approach to utilize convolutional neural networks for time series forecasting. The time direction of the sequential data with spatial dimensions $D=1,2$ is considered democratically as the input of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Matthias Weissenbacher

Benefiting from high capacity for capturing complex temporal patterns, deep learning (DL) has significantly advanced time series forecasting (TSF). However, deep models tend to suffer from severe overfitting due to the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Yisong Fu , Zezhi Shao , Chengqing Yu , Yujie Li , Zhulin An , Qi Wang , Yongjun Xu , Fei Wang

Process Model Forecasting (PMF) aims to predict how the control-flow structure of a process evolves over time by modeling the temporal dynamics of directly-follows (DF) relations, complementing predictive process monitoring that focuses on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Yongbo Yu , Jari Peeperkorn , Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

The probability prediction of multivariate time series is a notoriously challenging but practical task. On the one hand, the challenge is how to effectively capture the cross-series correlations between interacting time series, to achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-24 Shibo Feng , Chunyan Miao , Ke Xu , Jiaxiang Wu , Pengcheng Wu , Yang Zhang , Peilin Zhao

Deep learning utilizing transformers has recently achieved a lot of success in many vital areas such as natural language processing, computer vision, anomaly detection, and recommendation systems, among many others. Among several merits of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Lena Sasal , Tanujit Chakraborty , Abdenour Hadid

Empirical Mode Decomposition(EMD) is an adaptive data analysis technique for analyzing nonlinear and nonstationary data[1]. EMD decomposes the original data into a number of Intrinsic Mode Functions(IMFs)[1] for giving better physical…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-27 Sumit Kumar Ram , Marta Molinas

Multi-source precipitation products (MSPs) from satellite retrievals and reanalysis are widely used for hydroclimatic monitoring, yet spatially heterogeneous biases and limited skill for extremes still constrain their hydrologic utility.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Yuchen Ye , Zixuan Qi , Shixuan Li , Wei Qi , Yanpeng Cai , Chaoxia Yuan

Probabilistic forecasting is not only a way to add more information to a prediction of the future, but it also builds on weaknesses in point prediction. Sudden changes in a time series can still be captured by a cumulative distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Niklas Erdmann , Lars Bentsen , Roy Stenbro , Heine Nygard Riise , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Paal E. Engelstad

In order to further overcome the difficulties of the existing models in dealing with the non-stationary and nonlinear characteristics of high-frequency financial time series data, especially its weak generalization ability, this paper…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-08 Qi Tang , Tongmei Fan , Ruchen Shi , Jingyan Huang , Yidan Ma

Structure-from-motion (SfM) largely relies on feature tracking. In image sequences, if disjointed tracks caused by objects moving in and out of the field of view, occasional occlusion, or image noise, are not handled well, corresponding SfM…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-10-13 Guofeng Zhang , Haomin Liu , Zilong Dong , Jiaya Jia , Tien-Tsin Wong , Hujun Bao

We present the method of complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) and Hilbert-Huang transform (HHT) for analyzing nonstationary financial time series. This noise-assisted approach decomposes any time series into a number…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-25 Tim Leung , Theodore Zhao

Efficient molecular dynamics (MD) simulation is vital for understanding atomic-scale processes in materials science and biophysics. Traditional density functional theory (DFT) methods are computationally expensive, which limits the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Hung Le , Sherif Abbas , Minh Hoang Nguyen , Van Dai Do , Huu Hiep Nguyen , Dung Nguyen

The Dynamic-Mode Decomposition (DMD) is a well established data-driven method of finding temporally evolving linear-mode decompositions of nonlinear time series. Traditionally, this method presumes that all relevant dimensions are sampled…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Christopher W. Curtis , Daniel Jay Alford-Lago