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We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

We examine the feasibility of predicting and subsequently managing the future evolution of a Complex Adaptive System. Our archetypal system mimics a competitive population of mechanical, biological, informational or human objects. We show…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 David M. D. Smith , Neil F. Johnson

Over the last decades, the challenges in applied regression and in predictive modeling have been changing considerably: (1) More flexible model specifications are needed as big(ger) data become available, facilitated by more powerful…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-07 Nikolaus Umlauf , Nadja Klein , Thorsten Simon , Achim Zeileis

It is shown how to set up, conduct, and analyze large simulation studies with the new R package simsalapar = simulations simplified and launched parallel. A simulation study typically starts with determining a collection of input variables…

Computation · Statistics 2013-09-18 Marius Hofert , Martin Mächler

There are many different ways in which change point analysis can be performed, from purely parametric methods to those that are distribution free. The ecp package is designed to perform multiple change point analysis while making as few…

Computation · Statistics 2013-11-26 Nicholas A. James , David S. Matteson

Integrated population models (IPMs) combine multiple ecological data types such as capture-mark-recapture histories, reproduction surveys, and population counts into a single statistical framework. In such models, each data type is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-05 Frédéric Barraquand

When simulating biological populations under different evolutionary genetic models, backward or forward strategies can be followed. Backward simulations, also called coalescent-based simulations, are computationally very efficient. However,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-01-03 Antonio Carvajal-Rodriguez

This article introduces epidemia, an R package for Bayesian, regression-oriented modeling of infectious diseases. The implemented models define a likelihood for all observed data while also explicitly modeling transmission dynamics: an…

This article is a presentation of specific recent results describing scaling limits of individual-based models. Thanks to them, we wish to relate the time-scales typical of demographic dynamics and natural selection to the parameters of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

In a world with data that change rapidly and abruptly, it is important to detect those changes accurately. In this paper we describe an R package implementing a generalized version of an algorithm recently proposed by Hocking et al. [2020]…

Two fundamental research tasks in science and engineering are forward predictions and data inversion. This article introduces a recent R package RobustCalibration for Bayesian data inversion and model calibration by experiments and field…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-20 Mengyang Gu

We introduce R package iglm, which implements a comprehensive framework for studying relationships among predictors and outcomes under interference. The implemented regression framework facilitates the study of spillover and other phenomena…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-05 Cornelius Fritz , Michael Schweinberger

The subpopulationtion shift, characterized by a disparity in subpopulation distributibetween theween the training and target datasets, can significantly degrade the performance of machine learning models. Current solutions to subpopulation…

ProfileGLMM is an R package integrating Generalised Linear Mixed Models (GLMMs) as the outcome model for Bayesian profile regression. This statistical framework simultaneously i) explains the variation in the outcome and ii) clusters the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Matteo Amestoy , Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

Population size estimation is a major challenge in official statistics, social sciences, and natural sciences. The problem can be tackled by applying capture-recapture methods, which vary depending on the number of sources used,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-10 Piotr Chlebicki , Maciej Beręsewicz

Population protocols are a model of distributed computation intended for the study of networks of independent computing agents with dynamic communication structure. Each agent has a finite number of states, and communication opportunities…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Michael Raskin

The population density and per-generation dispersal rate of a population are central parameters in the study of evolution and ecology. The distribution of recent coalescent events between individuals in space can be used to estimate such…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-14 Francisco Campuzano Jiménez , Arthur Zwaenepoel , Els Lea R De Keyzer , Hannes Svardal

Discrete time, spatially extended models play an important role in ecology, modelling population dynamics of species ranging from micro-organisms to birds. An important question is how 'bottom up', individual-based models can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-20 Linnéa Gyllingberg , David J. T. Sumpter , Åke Brännström

Advancements in medical informatics tools and high-throughput biological experimentation make large-scale biomedical data routinely accessible to researchers. Competing risks data are typical in biomedical studies where individuals are at…

Computation · Statistics 2021-11-30 Eric S Kawaguchi , Jenny I Shen , Gang Li , Marc A Suchard

Health policy decisions are often informed by estimates of long-term survival based primarily on short-term data. A range of methods are available to include longer-term information, but there has previously been no comprehensive and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Christopher Jackson