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Information theory is an outstanding framework to measure uncertainty, dependence and relevance in data and systems. It has several desirable properties for real world applications: it naturally deals with multivariate data, it can handle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Valero Laparra , J. Emmanuel Johnson , Gustau Camps-Valls , Raul Santos-Rodríguez , Jesus Malo

Non-Gaussian impulsive noise (IN) with memory exists in many practical applications. When it is mixed with white Gaussian noise (WGN), the resultant mixed noise will be bursty. The performance of communication systems will degrade…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-12 Tianfu Qi , Jun Wang

This letter is concerned with solving continuous-discrete Gaussian smoothing problems by using the Taylor moment expansion (TME) scheme. In the proposed smoothing method, we apply the TME method to approximate the transition density of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Zheng Zhao , Simo Särkkä

Spectral estimation (SE) aims to identify how the energy of a signal (e.g., a time series) is distributed across different frequencies. This can become particularly challenging when only partial and noisy observations of the signal are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-15 Felipe Tobar

Long-term time series forecasting is essential in areas like finance and weather prediction. Besides traditional methods that operate in the time domain, many recent models transform time series data into the frequency domain to better…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Ziqi Liu

We consider the problem of signal estimation (denoising) from a statistical-mechanical perspective, in continuation to a recent work on the analysis of mean-square error (MSE) estimation using a direct relationship between optimum…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-06-04 Wasim Huleihel , Neri Merhav

Minimizing the Mean Squared Error (MSE) is a key objective in machine learning and is commonly used for imputing missing values. While this approach provides accurate point estimates, it introduces systematic biases in downstream analyses.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-06 Stef van Buuren

We introduce an index based on information theory to quantify the stationarity of a stochastic process.The index compares on the one hand the information contained in the increment at the time scale $\tau$ of the process at time $t$ with,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-12-02 Carlos Granero-Belinchon , Stéphane G. Roux , Nicolas B. Garnier

The paper is concerned with non-linear Gaussian filtering and smoothing in continuous-discrete state-space models, where the dynamic model is formulated as an It\^{o} stochastic differential equation (SDE), and the measurements are obtained…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-13 Zheng Zhao , Toni Karvonen , Roland Hostettler , Simo Särkkä

In this paper we develop a continuous-time sequential importance sampling (CIS) algorithm which eliminates time-discretisation errors and provides online unbiased estimation for continuous time Markov processes, in particular for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-19 Paul Fearnhead , Krzystof Latuszynski , Gareth O. Roberts , Giorgos Sermaidis

Every quantum system is coupled to an environment. Such system-environment interaction leads to temporal correlation between quantum operations at different times, resulting in non-Markovian noise. In principle, a full characterisation of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-01 K. Goswami , C. Giarmatzi , C. Monterola , S. Shrapnel , J. Romero , F. Costa

(abridged) In this paper, we present the issues we consider as essential as far as the statistical mechanics of finite systems is concerned. In particular, we emphasis our present understanding of phase transitions in the framework of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-02-20 P. Chomaz , F. Gulminelli

Machine learning (ML) holds great potential for accurately forecasting treatment outcomes over time, which could ultimately enable the adoption of more individualized treatment strategies in many practical applications. However, a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-08 Toon Vanderschueren , Alicia Curth , Wouter Verbeke , Mihaela van der Schaar

In this paper, we study the prediction of a circularly symmetric zero-mean stationary Gaussian process from a window of observations consisting of finitely many samples. This is a prevalent problem in a wide range of applications in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-05-10 Mahdi Barzegar Khalilsarai , Saeid Haghighatshoar , Giuseppe Caire , Gerhard Wunder

When modelling time series, it is common to decompose observed variation into a "signal" process, the process of interest, and "noise", representing nuisance factors that obfuscate the signal. To separate signal from noise, assumptions must…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-11 Richard Creswell , Ben Lambert , Chon Lok Lei , Martin Robinson , David Gavaghan

Pimentel et al. (2020) recently analysed probing from an information-theoretic perspective. They argue that probing should be seen as approximating a mutual information. This led to the rather unintuitive conclusion that representations…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Tiago Pimentel , Ryan Cotterell

Inferring the means in the multivariate normal model $X \sim N_n(\theta, I)$ with unknown mean vector $\theta=(\theta_1,...,\theta_n)' \in \mathbb{R}^n$ and observed data $X=(X_1,...,X_n)'\in {\mathbb R}^n$ is a challenging task, known as…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Chuanhai Liu

The least mean-square (LMS) filter is one of the most common adaptive linear estimation algorithms. In many practical scenarios, and particularly in digital communications systems, the signal of interest (SOI) and the input signal are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Nir Shlezinger , Koby Todros

This paper introduces a framework for speeding up Bayesian inference conducted in presence of large datasets. We design a Markov chain whose transition kernel uses an (unknown) fraction of (fixed size) of the available data that is randomly…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-01 Florian Maire , Nial Friel , Pierre Alquier

To conduct Bayesian inference with large data sets, it is often convenient or necessary to distribute the data across multiple machines. We consider a likelihood function expressed as a product of terms, each associated with a subset of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-09 Lewis J. Rendell , Adam M. Johansen , Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley