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Prediction-powered inference (PPI) is a method that improves statistical estimates based on limited human-labeled data. PPI achieves this by combining small amounts of human-labeled data with larger amounts of data labeled by a reasonably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Adam Fisch , Joshua Maynez , R. Alex Hofer , Bhuwan Dhingra , Amir Globerson , William W. Cohen

This paper proposes probabilistic conformal prediction (PCP), a predictive inference algorithm that estimates a target variable by a discontinuous predictive set. Given inputs, PCP construct the predictive set based on random samples from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Zhendong Wang , Ruijiang Gao , Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei

This paper examines the drivers of CPI inflation through the lens of a simple, but computationally intensive machine learning technique. More specifically, it predicts inflation across 20 advanced countries between 2000 and 2021, relying on…

General Economics · Economics 2023-01-03 Emanuel Kohlscheen

Recent advances in artificial intelligence have enabled the generation of large-scale, low-cost predictions with increasingly high fidelity. As a result, the primary challenge in statistical inference has shifted from data scarcity to data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Shirong Xu , Will Wei Sun

This article presents the first systematic review of unsupervised and semi-supervised computational text-based ideal point estimation (CT-IPE) algorithms, methods designed to infer latent political positions from textual data. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Patrick Parschan , Charlott Jakob

Sentiment analysis or opinion mining help to illustrate the phrase NLP (Natural Language Processing). Sentiment analysis has been the most significant topic in recent years. The goal of this study is to solve the sentiment polarity…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Fatema Tuz Zohra Anny , Oahidul Islam

Anticipating price developments in financial markets is a topic of continued interest in forecasting. Funneled by advancements in deep learning and natural language processing (NLP) together with the availability of vast amounts of textual…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-21 Duygu Ider , Stefan Lessmann

Designing predictive models for subjective problems in natural language processing (NLP) remains challenging. This is mainly due to its non-deterministic nature and different perceptions of the content by different humans. It may be solved…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Piotr Miłkowski , Konrad Karanowski , Patryk Wielopolski , Jan Kocoń , Przemysław Kazienko , Maciej Zięba

Natural Language Processing (NLP) helps empower intelligent machines by enhancing a better understanding of the human language for linguistic-based human-computer communication. Recent developments in computational power and the advent of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Amirsina Torfi , Rouzbeh A. Shirvani , Yaser Keneshloo , Nader Tavaf , Edward A. Fox

We present PPI++: a computationally lightweight methodology for estimation and inference based on a small labeled dataset and a typically much larger dataset of machine-learning predictions. The methods automatically adapt to the quality of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-27 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , John C. Duchi , Tijana Zrnic

Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) is a critical indicator in economic studies, while it can be used to forecast a recession. Under higher levels of uncertainty, firms' owners cut their investment, which leads to a longer post-recession…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Fatemeh Kaveh-Yazdy , Sajjad Zarifzadeh

NLP models are used in a variety of critical social computing tasks, such as detecting sexist, racist, or otherwise hateful content. Therefore, it is imperative that these models are robust to spurious features. Past work has attempted to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Indira Sen , Dennis Assenmacher , Mattia Samory , Isabelle Augenstein , Wil van der Aalst , Claudia Wagner

Information Retrieval (IR) is an important application area of Natural Language Processing (NLP) where one encounters the genuine challenge of processing large quantities of unrestricted natural language text. While much effort has been…

cmp-lg · Computer Science 2008-02-03 Chengxiang Zhai

The recent trend of large language models (LLMs) is to increase the scale of both model size (\aka the number of parameters) and dataset to achieve better generative ability, which is definitely proved by a lot of work such as the famous…

As prompt engineering research rapidly evolves, evaluations beyond accuracy are crucial for developing cost-effective techniques. We present the Economical Prompting Index (EPI), a novel metric that combines accuracy scores with token…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Tyler McDonald , Anthony Colosimo , Yifeng Li , Ali Emami

Offline preference alignment for language models such as Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) is favored for its effectiveness and simplicity, eliminating the need for costly reinforcement learning. Various offline algorithms have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-28 Junbo Li , Zhangyang Wang , Qiang Liu

Prediction-Powered Inference (PPI) is a powerful framework for enhancing statistical estimates by combining limited gold-standard data with machine learning (ML) predictions. While prior work has demonstrated PPI's benefits for individual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-10 Sida Li , Nikolaos Ignatiadis

Layer-wise relevance propagation (LRP) is a recently proposed technique for explaining predictions of complex non-linear classifiers in terms of input variables. In this paper, we apply LRP for the first time to natural language processing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-06-24 Leila Arras , Franziska Horn , Grégoire Montavon , Klaus-Robert Müller , Wojciech Samek

Instruction-fine-tuned large language models (LLMs) under 14B parameters continue to underperform on natural language understanding (NLU) tasks, often trailing smaller models like BERT-base on benchmarks such as GLUE and SuperGLUE.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Bokai Hu , Sai Ashish Somayajula , Xin Pan , Pengtao Xie

While state-of-the-art NLP models have been achieving the excellent performance of a wide range of tasks in recent years, important questions are being raised about their robustness and their underlying sensitivity to systematic biases that…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Linyi Yang , Jiazheng Li , Pádraig Cunningham , Yue Zhang , Barry Smyth , Ruihai Dong