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Under mild non-degeneracy assumptions on branching rates in each generation, we provide a criterion for almost-sure extinction of a multi-type branching process with time-dependent branching rates. We also provide a criterion for the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Pratima Hebbar , Leonid Koralov , Mark Perlman

We introduce a class of Markov coalescent processes on the continuous $d$-dimensional torus, in the most general setting of simultaneous multiple mergers, called the Brownian spatial coalescent. It is axiomatically defined through a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Peter Koepernik

We propose a class of non-Markov population models with continuous or discrete state space via a limiting procedure involving sequences of rescaled and randomly time-changed Galton--Watson processes. The class includes as specific cases the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Luisa Andreis , Federico Polito , Laura Sacerdote

A branching process in a Markovian environment consists of an irreducible Markov chain on a set of "environments" together with an offspring distribution for each environment. At each time step the chain transitions to a new random…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Lila Greco , Lionel Levine

Consider a structured population consisting of $d$ colonies, with migration rates proportional to a positive parameter $K$. We sample $N_K$ individuals, distributed evenly across the $d$ colonies, and trace their ancestral lineages backward…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Fernando Cordero , Sophia-Marie Mellis , Emmanuel Schertzer

We introduce and analyze a novel type of coalescent processes called cross-multiplicative coalescent that models a system with two types of particles, $A$ and $B$. The bonds are formed only between the pairs of particles of opposite types…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-30 Yevgeniy Kovchegov , Peter T. Otto , Anatoly Yambartsev

A multitype Dawson-Watanabe process is conditioned, in subcritical and critical cases, on non-extinction in the remote future. On every finite time interval, its distribution is absolutely continuous with respect to the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Roelly

A continuous time mixed state branching process is constructed as the scaling limits of two-type Galton-Watson processes. The process can also be obtained by the pathwise unique solution to a stochastic equation system. From the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Shukai Chen , Zenghu Li

In this work, we study general Dirichlet coalescents, which are a family of Xi-coalecents constructed from i.i.d mass partitions, and are an extension of the symmetric coalescent. This class of models is motivated by population models with…

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

We consider the fluctuations of a time-integrated particle current around an atypical value in a generic stochastic Markov process involving classical particles with two-site interaction and hardcore repulsion on a finite one-dimensional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-01-20 Pegah Torkaman , Farhad H. Jafarpour

Necessary and sufficient conditions are given for a substochastic semigroup on $L^1$ obtained through the Kato--Voigt perturbation theorem to be either stochastic or strongly stable. We show how such semigroups are related to piecewise…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2009-05-14 Marta Tyran-Kaminska

In this work, we present a general method to establish properties of multi-dimensional continuous-time Markov chains representing stochastic reaction networks. This method consists of grouping states together (via a partition of the state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Guillaume Ballif , Laurent Pfeiffer , Jakob Ruess

In this paper, we consider time-inhomogeneous branching processes and time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes, in which the offspring distribution and birth and death rates (respectively) vary in time. A classical result of branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Nicholas Bhattacharya , Mark Perlman

We provide a many-to-few formula in the general setting of non-local branching Markov processes. This formula allows one to compute expectations of k-fold sums over functions of the population at k different times. The result generalises…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Simon C. Harris , Emma Horton , Ellen Powell , Andreas E. Kyprianou

We consider a broad class of continuous-time two-type population size-dependent Markov Branching Processes. The offspring distribution can depend on the current (alive) and total (dead and alive) populations. Using stochastic approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Khushboo Agarwal , Veeraruna Kavitha

We prove the existence and pathwise uniqueness of the solution to a stochastic integral equation driven by Poisson random measures based on Kuznetsov measures for a continuous-state branching process. That gives a direct construction of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-28 Zenghu Li

For a finite measure $\varLambda$ on $[0,1]$, the $\varLambda$-coalescent is a coalescent process such that, whenever there are $b$ clusters, each $k$-tuple of clusters merges into one at rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Julien Berestycki , Nathanaël Berestycki , Jason Schweinsberg

We describe a new general connection between $\Lambda$-coalescents and genealogies of continuous-state branching processes. This connection is based on the construction of an explicit coupling using a particle representation inspired by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-19 Julien Berestycki , Nathanaël Berestycki , Vlada Limic

For a positive continuous function f satisfying some standard conditions, we study the f-moments of continuous-state branching processes with or without immigration. The main results give criteria for the existence of the f-moments. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-01 Lina Ji , Zenghu Li