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Localisation of a source of a toxic release of biochemical aerosols in the atmosphere is a problem of great importance for public safety. Two main practical difficulties are encountered in this problem: the lack of knowledge of the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-15 Branko Ristic , Ajith Gunatilaka , Ralph Gailis , Alex Skvortsov

Normalizing flows model a complex target distribution in terms of a bijective transform operating on a simple base distribution. As such, they enable tractable computation of a number of important statistical quantities, particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-01 Chandramouli Shama Sastry , Andreas Lehrmann , Marcus Brubaker , Alexander Radovic

Given a statistical model, we propose a novel estimation method that yields randomised estimators for the unknown distribution of an observed random variable. We establish non-asymptotic bounds for the performance of these estimators and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Yannick Baraud

The characterization of particle diffusion is a classical problem in physics and probability theory. The field of microrheology is based on experiments in which microscopic tracer beads are placed into a non-Newtonian fluid and tracked…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Gustavo Didier , John Fricks

This paper proposes a new approach for Bayesian and maximum likelihood parameter estimation for stationary Gaussian processes observed on a large lattice with missing values. We propose an MCMC approach for Bayesian inference, and a Monte…

Computation · Statistics 2014-02-19 Jonathan R. Stroud , Michael L. Stein , Shaun Lysen

We show that the method of maximum-likelihood estimation, recently introduced in the context of quantum process tomography, can be applied to the determination of Mueller matrices characterizing the polarization properties of classical…

Optics · Physics 2009-11-11 A. Aiello , G. Puentes , D. Voigt , J. P. Woerdman

An Euler discretization of the Langevin diffusion is known to converge to the global minimizers of certain convex and non-convex optimization problems. We show that this property holds for any suitably smooth diffusion and that different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-30 Murat A. Erdogdu , Lester Mackey , Ohad Shamir

The Diffusion Monte Carlo method is devoted to the computation of electronic ground-state energies of molecules. In this paper, we focus on implementations of this method which consist in exploring the configuration space with a {\bf fixed}…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Tony Lelievre , Mohamed El Makrini , Benjamin Jourdain

We develop diffusion-based samplers for target distributions known up to a normalising constant. To this end, we rely on the well-known diffusion path that smoothly interpolates between a simple base distribution and the target, popularised…

The Wright--Fisher diffusion is important in population genetics in modelling the evolution of allele frequencies over time subject to the influence of biological phenomena such as selection, mutation, and genetic drift. Simulating paths of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-16 Jaromir Sant , Paul A. Jenkins , Jere Koskela , Dario Spanò

This paper presents an algorithm for Monte Carlo fixed-lag smoothing in state-space models defined by a diffusion process observed through noisy discrete-time measurements. Based on a particles approximation of the filtering and smoothing…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-17 Anne Cuzol , Etienne Mémin

We research adaptive maximum likelihood-type estimation for an ergodic diffusion process where the observation is contaminated by noise. This methodology leads to the asymptotic independence of the estimators for the variance of observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Shogo H. Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

This paper considers the problem of designing time-dependent, real-time control policies for controllable nonlinear diffusion processes, with the goal of obtaining maximally-informative observations about parameters of interest. More…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-16 Giles Hooker , Kevin K. Lin , Bruce Rogers

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful tools for solving inverse problems, yet prior work has primarily focused on observations with Gaussian measurement noise, restricting their use in real-world scenarios. This limitation persists due…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Alessandro Micheli , Mélodie Monod , Samir Bhatt

In this paper, we begin our discussion with some of the well-known methods available in the literature for the estimation of the parameters of a univariate/multivariate stable distribution. Based on the available methods, a new hybrid…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-27 Aastha M. Sathe , Neelesh. S. Upadhye

This article is concerned with the mathematical analysis of a family of adaptive importance sampling algorithms applied to diffusion processes. These methods, referred to as Adaptive Biasing Potential methods, are designed to efficiently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-10 Michel Benaïm , Charles-Edouard Bréhier

In this paper, an alternative Discrete skew Logistic distribution is proposed, which is derived by using the general approach of discretizing a continuous distribution while retaining its survival function. The properties of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-07 Deepesh Bhati , Subrata Chakraborty , Snober Gowhar Lateef

Wright-Fisher diffusions and their dual ancestral graphs occupy a central role in the study of allele frequency change and genealogical structure, and they provide expressions, explicit in some special cases but generally implicit, for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Martina Favero , Paul A. Jenkins

We present a new unbiased algorithm that estimates the expected value of f(U) via Monte Carlo simulation, where U is a vector of d independent random variables, and f is a function of d variables. We assume that f does not depend equally on…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-02 Nabil Kahale

We consider a lognormal diffusion process having a multisigmoidal logistic mean, useful to model the evolution of a population which reaches the maximum level of the growth after many stages. Referring to the problem of statistical…