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In the domain of Sport Analytics, Global Positioning Systems devices are intensively used as they permit to retrieve players' movements. Team sports' managers and coaches are interested on the relation between players' patterns of movements…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-08 Rodolfo Metulini

Do NFL teams make rational decisions? What factors potentially affect the probability of wining a game in NFL? How can a team come back from a demoralizing interception? In this study we begin by examining the hypothesis of rational…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-08 Konstantinos Pelechrinis , Evangelos Papalexakis

Machine learning models $-$ now commonly developed to screen, diagnose, or predict health conditions $-$ are evaluated with a variety of performance metrics. An important first step in assessing the practical utility of a model is to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-27 Andrew C. Miller , Leon A. Gatys , Joseph Futoma , Emily B. Fox

Large language model (LLM) evaluation is increasingly costly, prompting interest in methods that speed up evaluation by shrinking benchmark datasets. Benchmark prediction (also called efficient LLM evaluation) aims to select a small subset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Guanhua Zhang , Florian E. Dorner , Moritz Hardt

As language models (LMs) become more capable, it is increasingly important to align them with human preferences. However, the dominant paradigm for training Preference Models (PMs) for that purpose suffers from fundamental limitations, such…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-03-18 Dongyoung Go , Tomasz Korbak , Germán Kruszewski , Jos Rozen , Marc Dymetman

Wheelchair basketball, regulated by the International Wheelchair Basketball Federation, is a sport designed for individuals with physical disabilities. This paper presents a data-driven tool that effectively determines optimal team line-ups…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-06 Gabriel Calvo , Carmen Armero , Bernd Grimm , Christophe Ley

Tracking data is a powerful tool for basketball teams in order to extract advanced semantic information and statistics that might lead to a performance boost. However, multi-person tracking is a challenging task to solve in single-camera…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Adrià Arbués-Sangüesa , Gloria Haro , Coloma Ballester

Many of the existing approaches to assess and predict the performance of players, teams or products in competitive contests rely on the assumption that comparisons occur between pairs of such entities. There are, however, several real…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-13 Jack Yeung , Daniel Kaiser , Filippo Radicchi

Due to their architecture and vast pre-training data, large language models (LLMs) demonstrate strong text classification performance. However, LLM output - here, the category assigned to a text - depends heavily on the wording of the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Kylie L. Anglin , Stephanie Milan , Brittney Hernandez , Claudia Ventura

Scoring in a basketball game is a process highly dynamic and non-linear type. The level of NBA teams improve each season. They incorporate to their rosters the best players in the world. These and other mechanisms, make the scoring in the…

The National Basketball Association (NBA) imposes a player salary cap. It is therefore useful to develop tools to measure the relative realized return of a player's salary given their on court performance. Very few such studies exist,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-03 Jackson P. Lautier

The application of pattern mining algorithms to extract movement patterns from sports big data can improve training specificity by facilitating a more granular evaluation of movement. As there are various pattern mining algorithms, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Victor Elijah Adeyemo , Anna Palczewska , Ben Jones , Dan Weaving

Deep ensembles perform better than a single network thanks to the diversity among their members. Recent approaches regularize predictions to increase diversity; however, they also drastically decrease individual members' performances. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Alexandre Rame , Matthieu Cord

There seems to be an upper limit to predicting the outcome of matches in (semi-)professional sports. Recent work has proposed that this is due to chance and attempts have been made to simulate the distribution of win percentages to identify…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-21 Albrecht Zimmermann

We consider clustering player behavior and learning the optimal team composition for multiplayer online games. The goal is to determine a set of descriptive play style groupings and learn a predictor for win/loss outcomes. The predictor…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-10 Hao Yi Ong , Sunil Deolalikar , Mark Peng

This paper investigates the Tennis Momentum Model (TMM), which aims to enhance the understanding of match dynamics by integrating key factors such as efficiency, historical scoring probabilities, and real-time scoring data. The model is…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-30 Jackson Graves , Daniel X. Guo , Ridge Shepherd , Alexander Young

This paper explores improvements in prediction accuracy and inference capability when allowing for potential correlation in team-level random effects across multiple game-level responses from different assumed distributions. First-order and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-01 Jennifer E. Broatch , Andrew T. Karl

Ensembles, which employ a set of classifiers to enhance classification accuracy collectively, are crucial in the era of big data. However, although there is general agreement that the relation between ensemble size and its prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Enes Bektas , Fazli Can

PUBG is an online video game that has become very popular among the youths in recent years. Final rank, which indicates the performance of a player, is one of the most important feature for this game. This paper focuses on predicting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Diptakshi Sen , Rupam Kumar Roy , Ritajit Majumdar , Kingshuk Chatterjee , Debayan Ganguly

The study explores the potential of AI technologies in personalized learning, suggesting the prediction of academic success through leadership personality traits and machine learning modelling. The primary data were obtained from 129…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Nitsa J Herzog , Rejwan Bin Sulaiman , David J Herzog , Rose Fong
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