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We propose a novel approach to parameter estimation for simulator-based statistical models with intractable likelihood. Our proposed method involves recursive application of kernel ABC and kernel herding to the same observed data. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Takafumi Kajihara , Motonobu Kanagawa , Keisuke Yamazaki , Kenji Fukumizu

We propose a novel approach for density estimation called histogram trend filtering. Our estimator arises from looking at surrogate Poisson model for counts of observations in a partition of the support of the data. We begin by showing…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-09 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , James G. Scott

We consider a stationary Poisson hyperplane process with given directional distribution and intensity in $d$-dimensional Euclidean space. Generalizing the zero cell of such a process, we fix a convex body $K$ and consider the intersection…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-17 Daniel Hug , Rolf Schneider

We propose a contrast-based estimation method for Gaussian processes with time-inhomogeneous drifts, observed under high-frequency sampling. The process is modeled as the sum of a deterministic drift function and a stationary Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Yasutaka Shimizu

We investigate spatial random graphs defined on the points of a Poisson process in $d$-dimensional space, which combine scale-free degree distributions and long-range effects. Every Poisson point is assigned an independent weight. Given the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Peter Gracar , Lukas Lüchtrath , Peter Mörters

This paper shows a simple parameter substitution, which makes use of the reciprocal relation of typical objective functions with typical random parameters. Thereby, the accuracy of first-order probabilistic analysis improves significantly…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-27 Benedikt Kriegesmann , Julian K. Lüdeker

The log-likelihood of a generative model often involves both positive and negative terms. For a temporal multivariate point process, the negative term sums over all the possible event types at each time and also integrates over all the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Hongyuan Mei , Tom Wan , Jason Eisner

We consider the stochastic ranking process with the jump times of the particles determined by Poisson random measures. We prove that the joint empirical distribution of scaled position and intensity measure converges almost surely in the…

This paper discusses infill asymptotics for logistic regression estimators for spatio-temporal point processes whose intensity functions are of log-linear form. We establish strong consistency and asymptotic normality for the parameters of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-26 M. N. M. van Lieshout , C. Lu

Variable-intensity astronomical sources are the result of complex and often extreme physical processes. Abrupt changes in source intensity are typically accompanied by equally sudden spectral shifts, i.e., sudden changes in the wavelength…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-14 Raymond K. W. Wong , Vinay L. Kashyap , Thomas C. M. Lee , David A. van Dyk

This paper deals with the estimation of the modes of an univariate mixture when the number of components is known and when the component density are well separated. We propose an algorithm based on the minimization of the "kp" criterion we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Nicolas Paul , Luc Fety , Michel Terre

We consider together the retrospective and the sequential change-point detection in a general class of integer-valued time series. The conditional mean of the process depends on a parameter $\theta^*$ which may change over time. We propose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-29 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

Recently, we described a pathway analysis technique (paper 1) for analyzing generic schemes for single-molecule kinetics based upon the first-passage time distribution. Here, we employ this method to derive expressions for the Poisson…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-03-03 Thomas Avila , D. Evan Piephoff , Jianshu Cao

Digital sensors can lead to noisy results under many circumstances. To be able to remove the undesired noise from images, proper noise modeling and an accurate noise parameter estimation is crucial. In this project, we use a…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-21 Étienne Objois , Kaan Okumuş , Nicolas Bähler

Let $\eta_t$ be a Poisson point process with intensity measure $t\mu$, $t>0$, over a Borel space $\mathbb{X}$, where $\mu$ is a fixed measure. Another point process $\xi_t$ on the real line is constructed by applying a symmetric function…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-02 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

Temporal point processes are the dominant paradigm for modeling sequences of events happening at irregular intervals. The standard way of learning in such models is by estimating the conditional intensity function. However, parameterizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-24 Oleksandr Shchur , Marin Biloš , Stephan Günnemann

We develop TwinKernel methods for nonparametric estimation of intensity functions of point processes. Building on the general TwinKernel framework and combining it with martingale techniques for counting processes, we construct estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Jocelyn Nembé

This paper deals with Poisson approximation to weighted sums of locally dependent random variables using Stein's method. The derived result represents a significant improvement of existing results. To illustrate the effectiveness of our…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-08 Pratima Eknath Kadu

Exploiting the fact that most arrival processes exhibit cyclic behaviour, we propose a simple procedure for estimating the intensity of a nonhomogeneous Poisson process. The estimator is the super-resolution analogue to Shao 2010 and Shao &…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-01 Ningyuan Chen , Donald K. K. Lee , Sahand Negahban

We present an efficient algorithm for recent generalizations of optimal mass transport theory to matrix-valued and vector-valued densities. These generalizations lead to several applications including diffusion tensor imaging, color images…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2017-06-28 Yongxin Chen , Eldad Haber , Kaoru Yamamoto , Tryphon T. Georgiou , Allen Tannenbaum
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