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In this paper we develop Maximum likelihood (ML) based algorithms to calibrate the model parameters in credit rating transition models. Since the credit rating transition models are not Gaussian linear models, the celebrated Kalman filter…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-02 Jian He , Asma Khedher , Peter Spreij

Ordinary Differential Equations are a simple but powerful framework for modeling complex systems. Parameter estimation from times series can be done by Nonlinear Least Squares (or other classical approaches), but this can give…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Quentin Clairon , Nicolas Brunel

In this paper we consider the behavior of Kalman Filter state estimates in the case of distribution with heavy tails .The simulated linear state space models with Gaussian measurement noises were used. Gaussian noises in state equation are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Valentin Konakov , Pavel Mozgunov

This paper presents a novel filter with low computational demand to address the problem of orientation estimation of a robotic platform. This is conventionally addressed by extended Kalman filtering of measurements from a sensor suit which…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-12-02 Oscar De Silva , George K. I. Mann , Raymond G. Gosine

Convolutional beamformers integrate the multichannel linear prediction model into beamformers, which provide good performance and optimality for joint dereverberation and noise reduction tasks. While longer filters are required to model…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-15 Sebastian Braun , Ivan Tashev

Consider the nonparametric logistic regression problem. In the logistic regression, we usually consider the maximum likelihood estimator, and the excess risk is the expectation of the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between the true and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-26 Atsutomo Yara , Yoshikazu Terada

Estimating the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between random variables is a fundamental problem in statistical analysis. For continuous random variables, traditional information-theoretic estimators scale poorly with dimension and/or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Mikil Foss , Andrew Lamperski

This paper investigates the use of extended Kalman filtering to train recurrent neural networks with rather general convex loss functions and regularization terms on the network parameters, including $\ell_1$-regularization. We show that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Alberto Bemporad

Current approximate posteriors in Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) exhibit a crucial limitation: they fail to maintain invariance under reparameterization, i.e. BNNs assign different posterior densities to different parametrizations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Hrittik Roy , Marco Miani , Carl Henrik Ek , Philipp Hennig , Marvin Pförtner , Lukas Tatzel , Søren Hauberg

Many filters have been proposed in recent decades for the nonlinear state estimation problem. The linearization-based extended Kalman filter (EKF) is widely applied to nonlinear industrial systems. As EKF is limited in accuracy and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-29 Chengling Fang , Jiang Liu , Songqing Ye , Ju Zhang

In this paper we revisit a non-linear filter for {\em non-Gaussian} noises that was introduced in [1]. Goggin proved that transforming the observations by the score function and then applying the Kalman Filter (KF) to the transformed…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Imon Banerjee , Itai Gurvich

This paper introduces a novel approach to system identification for nonlinear input-output models that minimizes the simulation error and frames the problem as a constrained optimization task. The proposed method addresses vanishing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Vito Cerone , Sophie M. Fosson , Simone Pirrera , Diego Regruto

In this work we are interested in the problems of supervised learning and variable selection when the input-output dependence is described by a nonlinear function depending on a few variables. Our goal is to consider a sparse nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-14 Lorenzo Rosasco , Silvia Villa , Sofia Mosci , Matteo Santoro , Alessandro verri

This paper is concerned with the filtering problem in continuous-time. Three algorithmic solution approaches for this problem are reviewed: (i) the classical Kalman-Bucy filter which provides an exact solution for the linear Gaussian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-22 Amirhossein Taghvaei , Jana de Wiljes , Prashant G. Mehta , Sebastian Reich

We look at a stochastic time-varying optimization problem and we formulate online algorithms to find and track its optimizers in expectation. The algorithms are derived from the intuition that standard prediction and correction steps can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Andrea Simonetto , Paolo Massioni

Particle filters are a frequent choice for inference tasks in nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. They can either be used for state inference by approximating the filtering distribution or for parameter inference by approximating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Domonkos Csuzdi , Olivér Törő , Tamás Bécsi

Kullback-Leibler divergence (KL) regularization is widely used in reinforcement learning, but it becomes infinite under support mismatch and can degenerate in low-noise limits. Utilizing a unified information-geometric framework, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Viktor Stein , Adwait Datar , Nihat Ay

The optimal predictor for a linear dynamical system (with hidden state and Gaussian noise) takes the form of an autoregressive linear filter, namely the Kalman filter. However, a fundamental problem in reinforcement learning and control…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-27 Holden Lee , Cyril Zhang

In this paper we propose a novel partition-based distributed state estimation scheme for non-overlapping subsystems based on Kalman filter. The estimation scheme is designed in order to account, in a rigorous fashion, for dynamic coupling…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-07-27 Marcello Farina , Ruggero Carli

We present a novel quantum tomographic reconstruction method based on Bayesian inference via the Kalman filter update equations. The method not only yields the maximum likelihood/optimal Bayesian reconstruction, but also a covariance matrix…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2011-05-13 Koenraad M. R. Audenaert , S. Scheel
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