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We investigate the relaxation mechanism of a supercooled tetrahedral liquid at its limit of stability using isothermal isobaric ($NPT$) Monte Carlo (MC) simulations. In similarity with systems which are far from equilibrium but near the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-06 Arvind Kumar Gautam , Nandlal Pingua , Aashish Goyal , Pankaj A. Apte

We study the dynamics of the El Nino phenomenon using the mathematical model of delayed-action oscillator (DAO). Topics such as the influence of the annual cycle, global warming, stochastic influences due to weather conditions and even…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ian Boutle , Richard H. S. Taylor , Rudolf A. Roemer

We use Monte Carlo simulations to demonstrate generic scaling aspects of classical phase transitions approached through a quench (or annealing) protocol where the temperature changes as a function of time with velocity $v$. Using a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-02-25 Cheng-Wei Liu , Anatoli Polkovnikov , Anders W. Sandvik

The instability with respect to global glaciation is a fundamental property of the climate system caused by the positive ice-albedo feedback. The atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration at which this Snowball bifurcation occurs changes…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-12 Georg Feulner , Mona Bukenberger , Stefan Petri

Identifying early warning signs of sudden population changes and mechanisms leading to regime shifts are highly desirable in population biology. In this paper, a two-trophic ecosystem comprising of two species of predators, competing for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-23 Susmita Sadhu

It has been well established that spatially extended, bistable systems that are driven by an oscillating field exhibit a nonequilibrium dynamic phase transition (DPT). The DPT occurs when the field frequency is on the order of the inverse…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Korniss , P. A. Rikvold , M. A. Novotny

In our modeling of the long-term carbon cycle we find potential multiple steady-states in Phanerozoic climates. We include the effects of biotic enhancement of weathering on land, organic carbon burial, oxidation of reduced organic carbon…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2013-12-24 Stephen Tennenbaum , Faina Berezovskaya , David Schwartzman

Variations in stratospheric atmospheric circulation significantly influence tropospheric weather and climate, and understanding these variations can guide stratospheric aircraft development and operations. Despite a century of progress,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-26 Ningning Tao , Xiaosong Chen , Fei Xie , Yongwen Zhang , Yan Xia , Xuan Ma , Han Huang , Hongyu Wang

The Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO), a gigantic tropical weather system, is marked by eastward travel of cumulus cloud clusters over the Indo-Pacific region and often causes severe weather and climate events worldwide. The physics and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-01 Daisuke Takasuka , Tamaki Suematsu , Hiroaki Miura , Masuo Nakano

We demonstrate that turbulent zonal jets, analogous to Jovian ones, which are quasi-stationary, are actually metastable. After extremely long times, they randomly switch to new configurations with a different number of jets. The genericity…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-06-07 Eric Simonnet , Joran Rolland , Freddy Bouchet

We study the impact of applying stochastic forcing to the Ghil-Sellers energy balance climate model in the form of a fluctuating solar irradiance. Through numerical simulations, we explore the noise-induced transitions between the competing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-05-23 Valerio Lucarini , Larissa Serdukova , Georgios Margazoglou

We consider the evolution of an isentropic thermal instability in the atomic zone of a photodissociation region (PDR). In this zone, gas heating and cooling are associated mainly with photoelectric emission from dust grains and…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2017-12-13 K. V. Krasnobaev , R. R. Tagirova

We study an excitable active rotator with slowly adapting nonlinear feedback and noise. Depending on the adaptation and the noise level, this system may display noise-induced spiking, noise-perturbed oscillations, or stochastic busting. We…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-08-26 Igor Franović , Serhiy Yanchuk , Sebastian Eydam , Iva Bačić , Matthias Wolfrum

The traditional dynamical phase transition refers to the appearance of singularities in an observable with respect to a control parameter for a late-time state or singularities in the rate function of the Loschmidt echo with respect to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-08-30 Ze-Chuan Liu , Kai Li , Yong Xu

Within the framework of lower order thermodynamic theories for the climatic evolution of Arctic sea ice we isolate the conditions required for the existence of stable seasonally-varying solutions, in which ice forms each winter and melts…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-04 W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

We consider simple stochastic climate models, described by slowly time-dependent Langevin equations. We show that when the noise intensity is not too large, these systems can spend substantial amounts of time in metastable equilibrium,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Nils Berglund , Barbara Gentz

We suggest a way of rationalizing an intra-seasonal oscillations (IOs) of the Earth atmospheric flow as four meteorological relevant triads of interacting planetary waves, isolated from the system of all the rest planetary waves. Our model…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 Elena Kartashova , Victor S. L'vov

We investigate the influence of intrinsic noise on stable states of a one-dimensional dynamical system that shows in its deterministic version a saddle-node bifurcation between monostable and bistable behaviour. The system is a modified…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-03 Johannes Falk , Marc Mendler , Barbara Drossel

The global ocean circulation plays a pivotal role in the regulation of the Earth's climate. The specific pattern and strength of circulation also determines how carbon and nutrients are cycled and via the resulting distribution of dissolved…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-04-30 Andrew Keane , Alexandre Pohl , Henk A. Dijkstra , Andy Ridgwell

The Earth's climate has experienced numerous critical transitions during its history, which have often been accompanied by massive and rapid changes in the biosphere. Such transitions are evidenced in various proxy records covering…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-26 Denis-Didier Rousseau , Witold Bagniewski , Valerio Lucarini