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Detecting anomalies and the corresponding root causes in multivariate time series plays an important role in monitoring the behaviors of various real-world systems, e.g., IT system operations or manufacturing industry. Previous anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Wenzhuo Yang , Kun Zhang , Steven C. H. Hoi

The recent increase in the scale and complexity of software systems has introduced new challenges to the time series monitoring and anomaly detection process. A major drawback of existing anomaly detection methods is that they lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Sayan Chakraborty , Smit Shah , Kiumars Soltani , Anna Swigart

We study the propagation of outliers in cyclic causal graphs with linear structural equations, tracing them back to one or several "root cause" nodes. We show that it is possible to identify a short list of potential root causes provided…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-09 Daniela Schkoda , Dominik Janzing

Performance monitoring, anomaly detection, and root-cause analysis in complex cyber-physical systems (CPSs) are often highly intractable due to widely diverse operational modes, disparate data types, and complex fault propagation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-01 Chao Liu , Kin Gwn Lore , Zhanhong Jiang , Soumik Sarkar

Root cause analysis of anomalies aims to identify how and why a sample deviates from the normal process. Existing methods primarily focus on telling which features are responsible, ignoring that anomalies can arise through two fundamentally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Hendrik Suhr , David Kaltenpoth , Jilles Vreeken

The goal of Root Cause Analysis (RCA) is to explain why an anomaly occurred by identifying where the fault originated. Several recent works model the anomalous event as resulting from a change in the causal mechanism at the root cause,…

Root cause analysis is one of the most crucial operations in software reliability regarding system performance diagnostic. It aims to identify the root causes of system performance anomalies, allowing the resolution or the future prevention…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Andrea Tonon , Meng Zhang , Bora Caglayan , Fei Shen , Tong Gui , MingXue Wang , Rong Zhou

Interacting systems are prevalent in nature. It is challenging to accurately predict the dynamics of the system if its constituent components are analyzed independently. We develop a graph-based model that unveils the systemic interactions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Giangiacomo Mercatali , Andre Freitas , Jie Chen

Due to a wide spectrum of applications in the real world, such as security, financial surveillance, and health risk, various deep anomaly detection models have been proposed and achieved state-of-the-art performance. However, besides being…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Xiao Han , Lu Zhang , Yongkai Wu , Shuhan Yuan

Root cause analysis (RCA) for time-series anomaly detection is critical for the reliable operation of complex real-world systems. Existing explanation methods often rely on unrealistic feature perturbations and ignore temporal and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Shashank Mishra , Karan Patil , Cedric Schockaert , Didier Stricker , Jason Rambach

Understanding causal mechanisms across different populations is essential for designing effective public health interventions. Recently, difference graphs have been introduced as a tool to visually represent causal variations between two…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Charles K. Assaad

Causality defines the relationship between cause and effect. In multivariate time series field, this notion allows to characterize the links between several time series considering temporal lags. These phenomena are particularly important…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-01 Antonin Arsac , Aurore Lomet , Jean-Philippe Poli

Identifying root causes of anomalies in causal processes is vital across disciplines. Once identified, one can isolate the root causes and implement necessary measures to restore the normal operation. Causal processes are often modelled as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Phuoc Nguyen , Truyen Tran , Sunil Gupta , Thin Nguyen , Svetha Venkatesh

Identifying anomalies in large multi-dimensional time series is a crucial and difficult task across multiple domains. Few methods exist in the literature that address this task when some of the variables are categorical in nature. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Matthew Horak , Sowmya Chandrasekaran , Giovanni Tobar

In this paper, we investigate the identifiability of average controlled direct effects and average natural direct effects in causal systems represented by summary causal graphs, which are abstractions of full causal graphs, often used in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Simon Ferreira , Charles K. Assaad

This paper introduces a new framework for recovering causal graphs from observational data, leveraging the observation that the distribution of an effect, conditioned on its causes, remains invariant to changes in the prior distribution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Nang Hung Nguyen , Phi Le Nguyen , Thao Nguyen Truong , Trong Nghia Hoang , Masashi Sugiyama

Dynamical systems, prevalent in various scientific and engineering domains, are susceptible to anomalies that can significantly impact their performance and reliability. This paper addresses the critical challenges of anomaly detection,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Yue Sun , Rick S. Blum , Parv Venkitasubramaniam

Online unsupervised detection of anomalies is crucial to guarantee the correct operation of cyber-physical systems and the safety of humans interacting with them. State-of-the-art approaches based on deep learning via neural networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Daniele Meli

Detecting anomalies in time series data is a challenging task with broad relevance in many applications. Existing methods work effectively only under idealized conditions, typically focusing on point anomalies or assuming a constant…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Yiyin Zhang , Florian Pein , Idris Eckley

Anomalies in univariate time series often refer to abnormal values and deviations from the temporal patterns from majority of historical observations. In multivariate time series, anomalies also refer to abnormal changes in the inter-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Katrina Chen , Mingbin Feng , Tony S. Wirjanto
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