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We study prediction-assimilation systems, which have become routine in meteorology and oceanography and are rapidly spreading to other areas of the geosciences and of continuum physics. The long-term, nonlinear stability of such a system…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 Alberto Carrassi , Michael Ghil , Anna Trevisan , Francesco Uboldi

In this paper, a dual estimation methodology is developed for both time-varying parameters and states of a nonlinear stochastic system based on the Particle Filtering (PF) scheme. Our developed methodology is based on a concurrent…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-06-29 Najmeh Daroogheh , Nader Meskin , Khashayar Khorasani

Data assimilation leads naturally to a Bayesian formulation in which the posterior probability distribution of the system state, given the observations, plays a central conceptual role. The aim of this paper is to use this Bayesian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-01 K. J. H. Law , A. M. Stuart

Complex systems are often described with competing models. Such divergence of interpretation on the system may stem from model fidelity, mathematical simplicity, and more generally, our limited knowledge of the underlying processes.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-21 Lun Yang , Akil Narayan , Peng Wang

We introduce a framework for Data Assimilation (DA) in which the data is split into multiple sets corresponding to low-rank projections of the state space. Algorithms are developed that assimilate some or all of the projected data,…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-19 John Maclean , Erik S Van Vleck

Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez

Algorithms for data assimilation try to predict the most likely state of a dynamical system by combining information from observations and prior models. Variational approaches, such as the weak-constraint four-dimensional variational data…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Davide Palitta , Jemima M. Tabeart

We study Bayesian data assimilation (filtering) for time-evolution PDEs, for which the underlying forward problem may be very unstable or ill-posed. Such PDEs, which include the Navier-Stokes equations of fluid dynamics, are characterized…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Samuel Lanthaler , Siddhartha Mishra , Franziska Weber

Marine biogeochemistry models are critical for forecasting, as well as estimating ecosystem responses to climate change and human activities. Data assimilation (DA) improves these models by aligning them with real-world observations, but…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-08 Ieuan Higgs , Ross Bannister , Jozef Skákala , Alberto Carrassi , Stefano Ciavatta

Continuous data assimilation (CDA) is a method that continuously integrates observational data into a dynamical system to improve model accuracy in real-time. The AOT algorithm is one of the most widely used methods in CDA due to its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Ning Ning , Collin Victor

Assimilation of continuously streamed monitored data is an essential component of a digital twin; the assimilated data are used to ensure the digital twin is a true representation of the monitored system. One way this is achieved is by…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Rebecca Ward , Ruchi Choudhary , Alastair Gregory , Melanie Jans-Singh , Mark Girolami

A large-scale, general-purpose data assimilation (DA) platform for materials modeling, douka, was developed and applied to nonlinear materials models. The platform demonstrated its effectiveness in estimating physical properties that cannot…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-04-16 Aoi Watanabe , Ryuhei Sato , Ikuya Kinefuchi , Yasushi Shibuta

Starting from limited measurements of a turbulent flow, data assimilation (DA) attempts to estimate all the spatio-temporal scales of motion. Success is dependent on whether the system is observable from the measurements, or how much of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-16 Andrew Cleary , Qi Wang , Tamer A. Zaki

Dynamical system state estimation and parameter calibration problems are ubiquitous across science and engineering. Bayesian approaches to the problem are the gold standard as they allow for the quantification of uncertainties and enable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-11-12 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

State estimation of dynamical systems is crucial for providing new decision-making and system automation information in different applications. However, the assumptions on the standard computational models for sensor measurements can be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-25 Aamir Hussain Chughtai , Arslan Majal , Muhammad Tahir , Momin Uppal

Identification of nonlinear dynamical systems is crucial across various fields, facilitating tasks such as control, prediction, optimization, and fault detection. Many applications require methods capable of handling complex systems while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Luc Brogat-Motte , Riccardo Bonalli , Alessandro Rudi

A novel approximate Bayesian filter based on backward stochastic differential equations is introduced. It uses a nonlinear Feynman--Kac representation of the filtering problem and the approximation of an unnormalized filtering density using…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Kasper Bågmark , Adam Andersson , Stig Larsson

We consider nonlinear solvers for the incompressible, steady (or at a fixed time step for unsteady) Navier-Stokes equations in the setting where partial measurement data of the solution is available. The measurement data is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-15 Bosco Garcia-Archilla , Xuejian Li , Julia Novo , Leo Rebholz

Continuous data assimilation (CDA) is successfully implemented for the first time for efficient dynamical downscaling of a global atmospheric reanalysis. A comparison of the performance of CDA with the standard grid and spectral nudging…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-07-31 Srinivas Desamsetti , Hari Prasad Dasari , Sabique Langodan , Edriss S Titi , Omar Knio , Ibrahim Hoteit

We consider the problem of filtering dynamical systems, possibly stochastic, using observations of statistics. Thus, the computational task is to estimate a time-evolving density $\rho(v, t)$ given noisy observations of the true density…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Eviatar Bach , Tim Colonius , Isabel Scherl , Andrew Stuart
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