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High-dimensional time series data appear in many scientific areas in the current data-rich environment. Analysis of such data poses new challenges to data analysts because of not only the complicated dynamic dependence between the series,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Di Wang , Ruey S. Tsay

Modern applications have made ubiquitous high-dimensional data, especially time-dependent data, with more and more complicated structures, and it also has become more frequent to encounter the scenario of hierarchical relationships among…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-06 Lan Li , Shibo Yu , Yingzhou Wang , Guodong Li

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models have numerous applications in fields such as econometrics, biology, climatology, among others. While prior research has mainly focused on linear VAR models, these approaches can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Yuefeng Han , Likai Chen , Wei Biao Wu

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models provide a flexible framework for characterizing dynamic dependence in multivariate spatio-temporal systems, but their unrestricted estimation becomes infeasible when multiple variables are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-04 Peiliang Bai

We study the problem of modelling high-dimensional, heavy-tailed time series data via a factor-adjusted vector autoregressive (VAR) model, which simultaneously accounts for pervasive co-movements of the variables by a handful of factors, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Dylan Dijk , Haeran Cho

The method of instrumental variables provides a fundamental and practical tool for causal inference in many empirical studies where unmeasured confounding between the treatments and the outcome is present. Modern data such as the genetical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-28 Ziang Niu , Yuwen Gu , Wei Li

We consider estimation and inference in panel data models with additive unobserved individual specific heterogeneity in a high dimensional setting. The setting allows the number of time varying regressors to be larger than the sample size.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen , Damian Kozbur

Tensor-valued data are becoming increasingly available in economics and this calls for suitable econometric tools. We propose a new dynamic linear model for tensor-valued response variables and covariates that encompasses some well-known…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-05 Monica Billio , Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini , Sylvia Kaufmann

This paper introduces novel volatility diffusion models to account for the stylized facts of high-frequency financial data such as volatility clustering, intra-day U-shape, and leverage effect. For example, the daily integrated volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 Donggyu Kim , Minseok Shin

Modeling high-dimensional time series with simple structures is a challenging problem. This paper proposes a network double autoregression (NDAR) model, which combines the advantages of network structure and the double autoregression (DAR)…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Tingting Li , Hao Wang

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models are important tools for the analysis of multivariate time series. This paper focuses on high-dimensional time series and on the different regularized estimation procedures proposed for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Jonas Krampe , Efstathios Paparoditis

Models characterized by autoregressive structure and random coefficients are powerful tools for the analysis of high-frequency, high-dimensional and volatile time series. The available literature on such models is broad, but also sectorial,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Marta Regis , Paulo Serra , Edwin R. van den Heuvel

We investigate methods for forecasting multivariate realized covariances matrices applied to a set of 30 assets that were included in the DJ30 index at some point, including two novel methods that use existing (univariate) log of realized…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-17 Matias Quiroz , Laleh Tafakori , Hans Manner

Well-calibrated probabilistic regression models are a crucial learning component in robotics applications as datasets grow rapidly and tasks become more complex. Unfortunately, classical regression models are usually either probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Hany Abdulsamad , Peter Nickl , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

Most currently used tensor regression models for high-dimensional data are based on Tucker decomposition, which has good properties but loses its efficiency in compressing tensors very quickly as the order of tensors increases, say greater…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Yuefeng Si , Yingying Zhang , Yuxi Cai , Chunling Liu , Guodong Li

This paper aims to decompose a large dimensional vector autoregessive (VAR) model into two components, the first one being generated by a small-scale VAR and the second one being a white noise sequence. Hence, a reduced number of common…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-22 Gianluca Cubadda , Alain Hecq

High-frequency trading (HFT) represents a pivotal and intensely competitive domain within the financial markets. The velocity and accuracy of data processing exert a direct influence on profitability, underscoring the significance of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Yuxin Fan , Zhuohuan Hu , Lei Fu , Yu Cheng , Liyang Wang , Yuxiang Wang

Rough volatility is a well-established statistical stylised fact of financial assets. This property has lead to the design and analysis of various new rough stochastic volatility models. However, most of these developments have been carried…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-31 Mehdi Tomas , Mathieu Rosenbaum

This paper introduces unified models for high-dimensional factor-based Ito process, which can accommodate both continuous-time Ito diffusion and discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models by embedding the discrete SV model in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-23 Donggyu Kim , Xinyu Song , Yazhen Wang

Autoregressive networks can achieve promising performance in many sequence modeling tasks with short-range dependence. However, when handling high-dimensional inputs and outputs, the huge amount of parameters in the network lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-10 Di Wang , Feiqing Huang , Jingyu Zhao , Guodong Li , Guangjian Tian