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We consider the parameter estimation problem of a probabilistic generative model prescribed using a natural exponential family of distributions. For this problem, the typical maximum likelihood estimator usually overfits under limited…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Xuhui Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Angelos Georghiou

We study models of weighted exponential random graphs in the large network limit. These models have recently been proposed to model weighted network data arising from a host of applications including socio-econometric data such as migration…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-12 Shankar Bhamidi , Suman Chakraborty , Skyler Cranmer , Bruce Desmarais

We present completeness results for inference in Bayesian networks with respect to two different parameterizations, namely the number of variables and the topological vertex separation number. For this we introduce the parameterized…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Hans Bodlaender , Nils Donselaar , Johan Kwisthout

Deep learning models are used in critical applications, in which mistakes can have serious consequences. Therefore, it is crucial to understand how and why models generate predictions. This understanding provides useful information to check…

We present a method of parameter estimation for large class of nonlinear systems, namely those in which the state consists of output derivatives and the flow is linear in the parameter. The method, which solves for the unknown parameter by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-16 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

Ordinary differential equations are widely-used in the field of systems biology and chemical engineering to model chemical reaction networks. Numerous techniques have been developed to estimate parameters like rate constants, initial…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-06 Daniel Kaschek , Jens Timmer

This paper provides a unified framework for analyzing tensor estimation problems that allow for nonlinear observations, heteroskedastic noise, and covariate information. We study a general class of high-dimensional models where each…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Riccardo Rossetti , Galen Reeves

Establishing a low-dimensional representation of the data leads to efficient data learning strategies. In many cases, the reduced dimension needs to be explicitly stated and estimated from the data. We explore the estimation of dimension in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-10 Wei Q. Deng , Radu V. Craiu

Formalisms for specifying statistical models, such as probabilistic-programming languages, typically consist of two components: a specification of a stochastic process (the prior), and a specification of observations that restrict the…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-01-06 Vince Barany , Balder ten Cate , Benny Kimelfeld , Dan Olteanu , Zografoula Vagena

We propose a penalized likelihood method to fit the linear discriminant analysis model when the predictor is matrix valued. We simultaneously estimate the means and the precision matrix, which we assume has a Kronecker product…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-31 Aaron J. Molstad , Adam J. Rothman

Recent work on weighted model counting has been very successfully applied to the problem of probabilistic inference in Bayesian networks. The probability distribution is encoded into a Boolean normal form and compiled to a target language,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-19 Giso H. Dal , Peter J. F. Lucas

Latent variable models have been playing a central role in psychometrics and related fields. In many modern applications, the inference based on latent variable models involves one or several of the following features: (1) the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Siliang Zhang , Yunxiao Chen

We propose a new constrained EM algorithm that is applicable to general constrained estimation problems. The proposed method is based on a novel framework, the `dual-homotopy framework,' which combines deterministic annealing EM with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Jisoo Choi , Hee-Seok Oh

In this paper, we study the annealed ferromagnetic Ising model on the configuration model. In an annealed system, we take the average on both sides of the ratio {defining the Boltzmann-Gibbs measure of the Ising model}. In the configuration…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Van Hao Can , Cristian Giardinà , Claudio Giberti , Remco van der Hofstad

Penalized generalized estimating equations with Elastic Net or L2-Smoothly Clipped Absolute Deviation penalization are proposed to simultaneously select the most important variables and estimate their effects for longitudinal Gaussian data…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-26 Adriaan Blommaert , Niel Hens , Philippe Beutels

Deep neural networks can be roughly divided into deterministic neural networks and stochastic neural networks.The former is usually trained to achieve a mapping from input space to output space via maximum likelihood estimation for the…

In many supervised learning tasks, the entities to be labeled are related to each other in complex ways and their labels are not independent. For example, in hypertext classification, the labels of linked pages are highly correlated. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Ben Taskar , Pieter Abbeel , Daphne Koller

Network models provide an efficient way to represent many real life problems mathematically. In the last few decades, the field of network optimization has witnessed an upsurge of interest among researchers and practitioners. The network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Saibal Majumder

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are very flexible for modeling network formation but pose difficult estimation challenges due to their intractable normalizing constant. Existing methods, such as MCMC-MLE, rely on sequential…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Angelo Mele

This article introduces a framework for evaluating statistical decisions under both prior ambiguity and likelihood misspecification. We begin with an ambiguity set - a frequentist model that pairs a possibly misspecified likelihood with…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-14 Karun Adusumilli