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Let $r: S\times S\to \bb R_+$ be the jump rates of an irreducible random walk on a finite set $S$, reversible with respect to some probability measure $m$. For $\alpha >1$, let $g: \bb N\to \bb R_+$ be given by $g(0)=0$, $g(1)=1$, $g(k) =…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-22 Johel Beltran , Claudio Landim

We provide a necessary and sufficient condition for the metastability of a Markov chain, expressed in terms of a property of the solutions of the resolvent equation. As an application of this result, we prove the metastability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 C. Landim , D. Marcondes , I. Seo

Let $S_n =X_1+\cdots +X_n$ be an irreducible random walk (r.w.) on the one dimensional integer lattice with zero mean, infinite variance and i.i.d. increments $X_n$. We obtain an upper and lower bounds of the potential function, $a(x)$, of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-19 Kohei Uchiyama

Let $\nu$ be a probability distribution over the semi-group of square matrices of size $d \ge 2$ over a locally compact field $\mathbb{K}$, \textit{e.g.} $\mathbb{R}$. We consider the random walk $\overline{\gamma}_n :=…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Axel Péneau

We introduce a general algorithm for the computation of the scale functions of a spectrally negative L\'evy process $X$, based on a natural weak approximation of $X$ via upwards skip-free continuous-time Markov chains with stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Aleksandar Mijatović , Matija Vidmar , Saul Jacka

The aim of this note is to present an elementary proof of a variation of Harris' ergodic theorem of Markov chains. This theorem, dating back to the fifties essentially states that a Markov chain is uniquely ergodic if it admits a ``small''…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-16 Martin Hairer , Jonathan C. Mattingly

We prove an upper bound on the total variation mixing time of a finite Markov chain in terms of the absolute spectral gap and the number of elements in the state space. Unlike results requiring reversibility or irreducibility, this bound is…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-31 Daniel Jerison

The extremes of a univariate Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution and asymptotically linear behavior are known to exhibit a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. In this paper, we extend…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Anja Janßen , Johan Segers

We obtain asymptotic expansions for probabilities $\mathbb{P}(S_N=k)$ of partial sums of uniformly bounded integer-valued functionals $S_N=\sum_{n=1}^N f_n(X_n)$ of uniformly elliptic inhomogeneous Markov chains. The expansions involve…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-31 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Yeor Hafouta

If the step distribution in a renewal process has finite mean and regularly varying tail with index -{\alpha}, 1<{\alpha}<2, the first two terms in the asymptotic expansion of the renewal function have been known for many years. Here we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Ron Doney

We develop a practical approach to establish the stability, that is, the recurrence in a given set, of a large class of controlled Markov chains. These processes arise in various areas of applied science and encompass important numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Christophe Andrieu , Vladislav B. Tadić , Matti Vihola

The large deviations at various levels that are explicit for Markov jump processes satisfying detailed-balance are revisited in terms of the supersymmetric quantum Hamiltonian $H$ that can be obtained from the Markov generator via a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-15 Cecile Monthus

Let $\{\boldsymbol{X}_n\}$ be a discrete-time $d$-dimensional process on $\mathbb{Z}_+^d$ with a supplemental (background) process $\{J_n\}$ on a finite set and assume the joint process $\{\boldsymbol{Y}_n\}=\{(\boldsymbol{X}_n,J_n)\}$ to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-17 Toshihisa Ozawa

We consider the extreme value statistics of centrally-biased random walks with asymptotically-zero drift in the ergodic regime. We fully characterize the asymptotic distribution of the maximum for this class of Markov chains lacking…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-28 Roberto Artuso , Manuele Onofri , Gaia Pozzoli , Mattia Radice

A perturbation framework is developed to analyze metastable behavior in stochastic processes with random internal and external states. The process is assumed to be under weak noise conditions, and the case where the deterministic limit is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-09-23 Jay Newby , Jon Chapman

Let $(\xi_j)_{j\ge1} $, be a non-stationary Markov chain with phase space $X$ and let $\mathfrak{g}_j:\,X\mapsto\mathrm{SL}(m,\mathbb{R})$ be a sequence of functions on $X$ with values in the unimodular group. Set…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Ilya Goldsheid

We present a new way of converting a reversible finite Markov chain into a non-reversible one, with a theoretical guarantee that the asymptotic variance of the MCMC estimator based on the non-reversible chain is reduced. The method is…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-27 Yi Sun , Faustino Gomez , Juergen Schmidhuber

In many complex statistical models maximum likelihood estimators cannot be calculated. In the paper we solve this problem using Markov chain Monte Carlo approximation of the true likelihood. In the main result we prove asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-09 Błażej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , Wojciech Rejchel

We study the hitting times of Markov processes to target set $G$, starting from a reference configuration $x_0$ or its basin of attraction. The configuration $x_0$ can correspond to the bottom of a (meta)stable well, while the target $G$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-11 R. Fernandez , F. Manzo , F. R. Nardi , E. Scoppola

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of linear processes having as innovations mean zero, square integrable functions of stationary reversible Markov chains. In doing so we shall preserve the generality of coefficients assuming…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-05 Magda Peligrad
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