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The outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) is unfolding as a major international crisis whose influence extends to every aspect of our daily lives. Effective testing allows infected individuals to be quarantined, thus reducing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Rahul Singh , Fang Liu , Ness B. Shroff

We study a dynamic infection spread model, inspired by the discrete time SIR model, where infections are spread via non-isolated infected individuals. While infection keeps spreading over time, a limited capacity testing is performed at…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Batuhan Arasli , Sennur Ulukus

After the blockade that many nations suffered to stop the growth of the incidence curve of COVID-19 during the first half of 2020, they face the challenge of resuming their social and economic activity. The rapid airborne transmissibility…

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov

Contact tracing is one of the most important tools for preventing the spread of infectious diseases, but as the experience of COVID-19 showed, it is also next-to-impossible to implement when the disease is spreading rapidly. We show how to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-12 Aparajithan Venkateswaran , Jishnu Das , Tyler H. McCormick

Epidemics such as COVID-19 pose serious threats to public health and our society, and it is critical to investigate effective methods to control the spread of epidemics over networks. Prior works on epidemic control often assume complete…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-13 Wenxiang Dong , Zhanjiang Chen , H. Vicky Zhao

We consider here information spread which propagates with certain probability from nodes just activated to their not yet activated neighbors. Diffusion cascades can be triggered by activation of even a small set of nodes. Such activation is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-20 Jaroslaw Jankowski , Boleslaw K. Szymanski , Przemyslaw Kazienko , Radoslaw Michalski , Piotr Brodka

Strategic test allocation plays a major role in the control of both emerging and existing pandemics (e.g., COVID-19, HIV). Widespread testing supports effective epidemic control by (1) reducing transmission via identifying cases, and (2)…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Ivana Malenica , Jeremy R. Coyle , Mark J. van der Laan , Maya L. Petersen

The goal in semi-supervised learning is to effectively combine labeled and unlabeled data. One way to do this is by encouraging smoothness across edges in a graph whose nodes correspond to input examples. In many graph-based methods, labels…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-28 Nir Rosenfeld , Amir Globerson

We present a novel dual control strategy for uncertain linear systems based on targeted harmonic exploration and gain-scheduling with performance and excitation guarantees. In the proposed sequential approach, robust control is implemented…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-30 Janani Venkatasubramanian , Johannes Köhler , Julian Berberich , Frank Allgöwer

Containment of epidemic outbreaks entails great societal and economic costs. Cost-effective containment strategies rely on efficiently identifying infected individuals, making the best possible use of the available testing resources.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-01 Laura Natali , Saga Helgadottir , Onofrio M. Marago , Giovanni Volpe

Contact-tracing is an essential tool in order to mitigate the impact of pandemic such as the COVID-19. In order to achieve efficient and scalable contact-tracing in real time, digital devices can play an important role. While a lot of…

Viral spread on large graphs has many real-life applications such as malware propagation in computer networks and rumor (or misinformation) spread in Twitter-like online social networks. Although viral spread on large graphs has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-09 Milan Bradonjić , Michael Molloy , Guanhua Yan

An epidemiological model which incorporates synergistic effects that allow the infectivity and/or susceptibility of hosts to be dependent on the number of infected neighbours is proposed. Constructive synergy induces an exploitative…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-19 Francisco J. Perez-Reche , Jonathan J. Ludlam , Sergei N. Taraskin , Christopher A. Gilligan

This paper presents methods to choose individuals to test for infection during a pandemic such as COVID-19, characterized by high contagion and presence of asymptomatic carriers. The smart-testing ideas presented here are motivated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Yingfei Wang , Inbal Yahav , Balaji Padmanabhan

In this study, we present a new epidemiological model, with contamination from confirmed and unreported. We also compute equilibria and study their stability without intervention strategies. Optimal control theory has proven to be a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-14 Fulgence Mansal , Mouhamadou A. M. T. Baldé , Alpha O. Bah

The spread of an infection, a contagion, meme, emotion, message and various other spreadable objects have been discussed in several works. Burning and firefighting have been discussed in particular on static graphs. Graph burning simulates…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-17 Arya Tanmay Gupta

Contagion processes on networks, including disease spreading, information diffusion, or social behaviors propagation, can be modeled as simple contagion, i.e. involving one connection at a time, or as complex contagion, in which multiple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-19 Giulia Cencetti , Diego Andrés Contreras , Marco Mancastroppa , Alain Barrat

Contact tracing can be thought of as a race between two processes: an infection process and a tracing process. In this paper, we study a simple model of infection spreading on a tree, and a tracer who stabilizes one node at a time. We focus…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Michela Meister , Jon Kleinberg

Contact tracing has been extensively studied from different perspectives in recent years. However, there is no clear indication of why this intervention has proven effective in some epidemics (SARS) and mostly ineffective in some others…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Quyu Kong , Manuel Garcia-Herranz , Ivan Dotu , Manuel Cebrian
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