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In this work we propose a novel approach for modeling spatio-temporal data characterized by group structures. In particular, we extend classical mixed effect regression models by introducing a space-time nonparametric component, regularized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Marco F. De Sanctis , Eleonora Arnone , Francesca Ieva , Laura M. Sangalli

A statistical learning approach for parametric PDEs related to Uncertainty Quantification is derived. The method is based on the minimization of an empirical risk on a selected model class and it is shown to be applicable to a broad range…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Martin Eigel , Reinhold Schneider , Philipp Trunschke , Sebastian Wolf

This paper is focused on the statistical analysis of data consisting of a collection of multiple series of probability measures that are indexed by distinct time instants and supported over a bounded interval of the real line. By modeling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Yiye Jiang , Jérémie Bigot

Dropout represents a typical issue to be addressed when dealing with longitudinal studies. If the mechanism leading to missing information is non-ignorable, inference based on the observed data only may be severely biased. A frequent…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-23 Maria Francesca Marino , Marco Alfo'

Categorical data are common in educational and social science research; however, methods for its analysis are generally not covered in introductory statistics courses. This chapter overviews fundamental concepts and methods in categorical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-06 Dandan Chen , Carolyn Anderson

Accurate estimates of long-term risk probabilities and their gradients are critical for many stochastic safe control methods. However, computing such risk probabilities in real-time and in unseen or changing environments is challenging.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-20 Zhuoyuan Wang , Yorie Nakahira

Joint models (JMs) for longitudinal and time-to-event data are an important class of biostatistical models in health and medical research. When the study population consists of heterogeneous subgroups, the standard JM may be inadequate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-31 Sida Chen , Danilo Alvares , Marco Palma , Jessica K. Barrett

We introduce a new set of consistent measures of risks, in terms of the semi-invariants of pdf's, such that the centered moments and the cumulants of the portfolio distribution of returns that put more emphasis on the tail the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

We show how to achieve the notion of "multicalibration" from H\'ebert-Johnson et al. [2018] not just for means, but also for variances and other higher moments. Informally, it means that we can find regression functions which, given a data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Christopher Jung , Changhwa Lee , Mallesh M. Pai , Aaron Roth , Rakesh Vohra

In this paper, a time series model with coefficients that take values from random matrix ensembles is proposed. Formal definitions, theoretical solutions, and statistical properties are derived. Estimation and forecast methodologies for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-07 Peiyuan Teng , Min Xu

Parameter estimation in a class of heteroscedastic time series models is investigated. The existence of conditional least-squares and conditional likelihood estimators is proved. Their consistency and their asymptotic normality are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-08 Joseph Ngatchou-Wandji

This paper presents robust inference methods for general linear hypotheses in linear panel data models with latent group structure in the coefficients. We employ a selective conditional inference approach, deriving the conditional…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-25 Oguzhan Akgun , Ryo Okui

Heterogeneous panel data models that allow the coefficients to vary across individuals and/or change over time have received increasingly more attention in statistics and econometrics. This paper proposes a two-dimensional heterogeneous…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-22 Wei Wang , Xiaodong Yan , Yanyan Ren , Zhijie Xiao

We develop a Bayesian hierarchical semiparametric model for phenomena related to time series of counts. The main feature of the model is its capability to learn a latent pattern of heterogeneity in the distribution of the process innovation…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-09 Helton Graziadei , Hedibert F. Lopes , Paulo C. Marques F

Beliefs are important determinants of an individual's choices and economic outcomes, so understanding how they comove and differ across individuals is of considerable interest. Researchers often rely on surveys that report individual…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-11-13 Evan Munro , Serena Ng

In this review, we present econometric and statistical methods for analyzing randomized experiments. For basic experiments we stress randomization-based inference as opposed to sampling-based inference. In randomization-based inference,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-26 Susan Athey , Guido Imbens

We propose a novel approach for modeling multivariate longitudinal data in the presence of unobserved heterogeneity for the analysis of the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) data. Our proposal can be cast within the framework of linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-17 Laura Anderlucci , Cinzia Viroli

A new forecasting method based on the concept of the profile predictive the likelihood function is proposed for discrete-valued processes. In particular, generalized autoregressive and moving average (GARMA) models for Poisson distributed…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-10 Siuli Mukhopadhyay , V. Sathish

This paper proposes a new feature screening method for the multi-response ultrahigh dimensional linear model by empirical likelihood. Through a multivariate moment condition, the empirical likelihood induced ranking statistics can exploit…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Jun Lu , Qinqin Hu , Lu Lin

In standardized educational testing, test items are reused in multiple test administrations. To ensure the validity of test scores, the psychometric properties of items should remain unchanged over time. In this paper, we consider the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-26 Yunxiao Chen , Yi-Hsuan Lee , Xiaoou Li