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In this paper, we analyse a method for approximating the distribution function and density of a random variable that depends in a non-trivial way on a possibly high number of independent random variables, each with support on the whole real…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-07 Alexander D. Gilbert , Frances Y. Kuo , Ian H. Sloan

The reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) method offers an across-model simulation approach for Bayesian estimation and model comparison, by exploring the sampling space that consists of several models of possibly varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

Importance Sampling (IS), an effective variance reduction strategy in Monte Carlo (MC) simulation, is frequently utilized for Bayesian inference and other statistical challenges. Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) replaces the random samples in MC…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Zhijian He , Hejin Wang , Xiaoqun Wang

Current approaches to amortizing Bayesian inference focus solely on approximating the posterior distribution. Typically, this approximation is, in turn, used to calculate expectations for one or more target functions - a computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-19 Adam Goliński , Frank Wood , Tom Rainforth

Bayesian modelling and computational inference by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a principled framework for large-scale uncertainty quantification, though is limited in practice by computational cost when implemented in the simplest…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-21 Colin Fox , Tiangang Cui , Markus Neumayer

Randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) methods estimate the mean of a random variable by sampling an integrand at $n$ equidistributed points. For scrambled digital nets, the resulting variance is typically $\tilde O(n^{-\theta})$ where…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Aadit Jain , Fred J. Hickernell , Art B. Owen , Aleksei G. Sorokin

A paramount goal in the field of nuclear physics is to unify ab-initio treatments of bound and unbound states. The position-space quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) methods have a long history of successful bound state calculations in light systems…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-08-29 Abraham R. Flores , Kenneth M. Nollett

The efficient evaluation of high-dimensional integrals is of importance in both theoretical and practical fields of science, such as data science, statistical physics, and machine learning. However, exact computation methods suffer from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Radislav Vaisman , Robert Salomone , Dirk P. Kroese

We study quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) integration over the multi-dimensional unit cube in several weighted function spaces with different smoothness classes. We consider approximating the integral of a function by the median of several integral…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Takashi Goda , Kosuke Suzuki , Makoto Matsumoto

Owing to their favorable scaling with dimensionality, Monte Carlo (MC) methods have become the tool of choice for numerical integration across the quantitative sciences. Almost invariably, efficient MC integration schemes are strictly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-01-29 Artur B. Adib

Discrepancies play an important role in the study of uniformity properties of point sets. Their probability distributions are a help in the analysis of the efficiency of the Quasi Monte Carlo method of numerical integration, which uses…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 A. F. W. van Hameren

Performing numerical integration when the integrand itself cannot be evaluated point-wise is a challenging task that arises in statistical analysis, notably in Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions. Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-17 Lawrence Middleton , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Pierre E. Jacob

Estimating risk measures such as large loss probabilities and Value-at-Risk is fundamental in financial risk management and often relies on computationally intensive nested Monte Carlo methods. While Multi-Level Monte Carlo (MLMC)…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-23 Alexandre Boumezoued , Adel Cherchali , Vincent Lemaire , Gilles Pagès , Mathieu Truc

This article provides a high-level overview of some recent works on the application of quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods to PDEs with random coefficients. It is based on an in-depth survey of a similar title by the same authors, with an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-10-31 Frances Y. Kuo , Dirk Nuyens

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods remain the mainstay of Bayesian estimation of structural equation models (SEM), though they often incur a high computational cost. We present a bespoke approximate Bayesian approach to SEM, drawing on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Haziq Jamil , Håvard Rue

Modern computational advances have enabled easy parallel implementations of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). However, almost all work in estimating the variance of Monte Carlo averages, including the efficient batch means (BM) estimator,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 Kushagra Gupta , Dootika Vats

Maximum simulated likelihood estimation of mixed multinomial logit (MMNL) or probit models requires evaluation of a multidimensional integral. Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods such as shuffled and scrambled Halton sequences and modified…

Computation · Statistics 2020-11-13 Prateek Bansal , Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Angelo Guevara , Ricardo A. Daziano , Shanjun Li

Quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) methods represent a powerful family of computational techniques for tackling complex quantum many-body problems and performing calculations of stationary state properties. QMC is among the most accurate and…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-01-08 Alfonso Annarelli , Dario Alfè , Andrea Zen

We propose a novel sampling framework for inference in probabilistic models: an active learning approach that converges more quickly (in wall-clock time) than Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) benchmarks. The central challenge in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-04 Tom Gunter , Michael A. Osborne , Roman Garnett , Philipp Hennig , Stephen J. Roberts

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods offer a principled approach to Bayesian uncertainty quantification but are traditionally limited by the need for full-batch gradient evaluations. We introduce a scalable variant by incorporating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-20 Andrew Millard , Zheng Zhao , Joshua Murphy , Simon Maskell
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