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Autoregressive Markov switching (ARMS) time series models are used to represent real-world signals whose dynamics may change over time. They have found application in many areas of the natural and social sciences, as well as in engineering.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 José A. Martínez-Ordóñez , Javier López-Santiago , Joaquín Miguez

This paper focuses on stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) under two-time-scale formulation. Distinct from the work in the existing literature, the systems are driven by $\alpha$-stable processes with $\alpha \in(1,2)$. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-30 Jianhai Bao , George Yin , Chenggui Yuan

Stochastic systems with memory naturally appear in life science, economy, and finance. We take the modelling point of view of stochastic functional delay equations and we study these structures when the driving noises admit jumps. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-01 D. R. Baños , F. Cordoni , G. Di Nunno , L. Di Persio , E. E. Røse

To model time series accurately is important within a wide range of fields. As the world is generally too complex to be modelled exactly, it is often meaningful to assess the probability of a dynamical system to be in a specific state. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-16 Mari Dahl Eggen , Alise Danielle Midtfjord

We consider Markov jump processes on a graph described by a rate matrix that depends on various control parameters. We derive explicit expressions for the static responses of edge currents and steady-state probabilities. We show that they…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-28 Timur Aslyamov , Massimiliano Esposito

A comparison theorem for state-dependent regime-switching diffusion processes is established, which enables us to control pathwisely the evolution of the state-dependent switching component simply by Markov chains. Moreover, a sharp…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Jinghai Shao

In many biological systems, chemical reactions or changes in a physical state are assumed to occur instantaneously. For describing the dynamics of those systems, Markov models that require exponentially distributed inter-event times have…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-06 Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh , Hye-Won Kang , Eben Kenah , Grzegorz A. Rempala

We consider the dynamics of a 1D system evolving according to a deterministic drift and randomly forced by two types of jumps processes, one representing an external, uncontrolled forcing and the other one a control that instantaneously…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-10-30 Mark S. Bartlett Amilcare Porporato Lamberto Rondoni

Markov switching models are a popular family of models that introduces time-variation in the parameters in the form of their state- or regime-specific values. Importantly, this time-variation is governed by a discrete-valued latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-13 Yong Song , Tomasz Woźniak

We study stochastic delay differential equations (SDDE) where the coefficients depend on the moving averages of the state process. As a first contribution, we provide sufficient conditions under which a linear path functional of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-17 Salvatore Federico , Peter Tankov

In this work, a versatile mathematical framework for multi-state probabilistic modeling of Resistive Switching (RS) devices is proposed for the first time. The mathematical formulation of memristor and Markov jump processes are combined…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Vasileios Ntinas , Antonio Rubio , Georgios Ch. Sirakoulis

We study a class of multi-stage stochastic programs, which incorporate modeling features from Markov decision processes (MDPs). This class includes structured MDPs with continuous action and state spaces. We extend policy graphs to include…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 David P. Morton , Oscar Dowson , Bernardo K. Pagnoncelli

In this article we propose a model for stochastic delay differential equation with jumps (SDDEJ) in a differentiable manifold $M$ endowed with a connection $\nabla$. In our model, the continuous part is driven by vector fields with a fixed…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Leandro Morgado , Paulo R. Ruffino

Markov models are often used to capture the temporal patterns of sequential data for statistical learning applications. While the Hidden Markov modeling-based learning mechanisms are well studied in literature, we analyze a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-25 Devesh K. Jha

We provide results of a deterministic approximation for non-Markovian stochastic processes modeling finite populations of individuals who recurrently play symmetric finite games and imitate each other according to payoffs. We show that a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Ozgur Aydogmus , Yun Kang

The choice of how to retain information about past gradients dramatically affects the convergence properties of state-of-the-art stochastic optimization methods, such as Heavy-ball, Nesterov's momentum, RMSprop and Adam. Building on this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-13 Antonio Orvieto , Jonas Kohler , Aurelien Lucchi

This work explores a synchronization-like phenomenon induced by common noise for continuous-time Markov jump processes given by chemical reaction networks. A corresponding random dynamical system is formulated in a two-step procedure, at…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Maximilian Engel , Guillermo Olicón-Méndez , Nathalie Unger , Stefanie Winkelmann

In this paper, we study the convergence for solutions to a sequence of (possibly degenerate) stochastic differential equations with jumps, when the coefficients converge in some appropriate sense. Our main tools are the superposition…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-18 Huijie Qiao

This paper investigates optimal control problems for delayed systems governed by Infinitely Anticipated Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (IABSDEs). Unlike existing frameworks limited to bounded delays, we introduce a generalized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Guanwei Cheng

We consider Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) with a finite set of discrete states. In the regime of fast jumps between discrete states, we prove a law of large number and a large deviation principle. In the regime of fast…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-16 A. Faggionato , D. Gabrielli , M. Ribezzi Crivellari