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Social goods, such as healthcare, smart city, and information networks, often produce ordered event data in continuous time. The generative processes of these event data can be very complex, requiring flexible models to capture their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Shuang Li , Shuai Xiao , Shixiang Zhu , Nan Du , Yao Xie , Le Song

Class imbalance in supervised classification often degrades model performance by biasing predictions toward the majority class, particularly in critical applications such as medical diagnosis and fraud detection. Traditional oversampling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-16 Suman Cha , Hyunjoong Kim

Increasingly high-stakes decisions are made using neural networks in order to make predictions. Specifically, meteorologists and hedge funds apply these techniques to time series data. When it comes to prediction, there are certain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Levente Foldesi , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

Explainability of neural network prediction is essential to understand feature importance and gain interpretable insight into neural network performance. However, explanations of neural network outcomes are mostly limited to visualization,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Arnab Neelim Mazumder , Niall Lyons , Ashutosh Pandey , Avik Santra , Tinoosh Mohsenin

The infrequent occurrence of overfit in deep neural networks is perplexing. On the one hand, theory predicts that as models get larger they should eventually become too specialized for a specific training set, with ensuing decrease in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Uri Stern , Daphna Weinshall

Accurate probabilistic predictions can be characterized by two properties -- calibration and sharpness. However, standard maximum likelihood training yields models that are poorly calibrated and thus inaccurate -- a 90% confidence interval…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Volodymyr Kuleshov , Shachi Deshpande

Outliers can seriously distort statistical inference by inducing excessive sensitivity in the likelihood function, thereby compromising the reliability of Bayesian estimation. To address this issue, we develop a robust Bayesian estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Jeongho Lee , Junmo Song

This brief note clarifies that, in Generator Matching (which subsumes a large family of flow matching and diffusion models over continuous, manifold, and discrete spaces), both the Bregman divergence loss and the linear parameterization of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-21 Lukas Billera , Hedwig Nora Nordlinder , Ben Murrell

While classical time series forecasting considers individual time series in isolation, recent advances based on deep learning showed that jointly learning from a large pool of related time series can boost the forecasting accuracy. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Riccardo Grazzi , Valentin Flunkert , David Salinas , Tim Januschowski , Matthias Seeger , Cedric Archambeau

Training agents via off-policy deep reinforcement learning (RL) requires a large memory, named replay memory, that stores past experiences used for learning. These experiences are sampled, uniformly or non-uniformly, to create the batches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Bumgeun Park , Taeyoung Kim , Woohyeon Moon , Luiz Felipe Vecchietti , Dongsoo Har

In this study, classification problems based on feedforward neural networks in a data-imbalanced environment are considered. Learning from an imbalanced dataset is one of the most important practical problems in the field of machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Muneki Yasuda , Yeo Xian En , Seishirou Ueno

The problem of distance metric learning is mostly considered from the perspective of learning an embedding space, where the distances between pairs of examples are in correspondence with a similarity metric. With the rise and success of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-10 Yehao Li , Ting Yao , Yingwei Pan , Hongyang Chao , Tao Mei

Although sparse training has been successfully used in various resource-limited deep learning tasks to save memory, accelerate training, and reduce inference time, the reliability of the produced sparse models remains unexplored. Previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Bowen Lei , Ruqi Zhang , Dongkuan Xu , Bani Mallick

Regression models often fail to generalize effectively in regions characterized by highly imbalanced label distributions. Previous methods for deep imbalanced regression rely on gradient-based weight updates, which tend to overfit in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Ismail Nejjar , Faez Ahmed , Olga Fink

Time series forecasting holds significant value in various domains such as economics, traffic, energy, and AIOps, as accurate predictions facilitate informed decision-making. However, the existing Mean Squared Error (MSE) loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Xiangfei Qiu , Xingjian Wu , Hanyin Cheng , Xvyuan Liu , Chenjuan Guo , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang

Global warming leads to the increase in frequency and intensity of climate extremes that cause tremendous loss of lives and property. Accurate long-range climate prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster risk management for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Ken C. L. Wong , Hongzhi Wang , Etienne E. Vos , Bianca Zadrozny , Campbell D. Watson , Tanveer Syeda-Mahmood

Systems are commonly monitored for health and security through collection and streaming of multivariate time series. Advances in time series forecasting due to adoption of multilayer recurrent neural network architectures make it possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-10 Oshri Barazani , David Tolpin

Deep learning has powered recent successes of artificial intelligence (AI). However, the deep neural network, as the basic model of deep learning, has suffered from issues such as local traps and miscalibration. In this paper, we provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-03 Yan Sun , Wenjun Xiong , Faming Liang

Time series forecasting is essential for many practical applications, with the adoption of transformer-based models on the rise due to their impressive performance in NLP and CV. Transformers' key feature, the attention mechanism,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-09 PeiSong Niu , Tian Zhou , Xue Wang , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

Inverse Distance Weighted models (IDW) have been widely used for predicting and modeling multidimensional space in multimodal industrial processes. However, the more complex the structure of multidimensional space, the lower the performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Junjie Zhang , Cong Zhang , Neal N. Xiong
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