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Natural disasters such as hurricanes, wildfires, and winter storms have induced large-scale power outages in the U.S., resulting in tremendous economic and societal impacts. Accurately predicting power outage recovery and impact is key to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Chenghao Duan , Chuanyi Ji

Despite recognition of the relationship between infrastructure resilience and community recovery, very limited empirical evidence exists regarding the extent to which the disruptions in and restoration of infrastructure services contribute…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-09-20 Chia-Wei Hsu , Ali Mostafavi

The multifaceted nature of disaster impact shows that densely populated areas contribute more to aggregate burden, while sparsely populated but heavily affected regions suffer disproportionately at the individual level. This study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-09 Xiangpeng Li , Junwei Ma , Bo Li , Ali Mostafavi

Power outages caused by extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, can significantly disrupt essential services and delay recovery efforts, underscoring the importance of enhancing our infrastructure's resilience. This study investigates…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Avishek Bose , Sangkeun Lee , Narayan Bhusal , Supriya Chinthavali

This paper investigates whether socioeconomic factors are important for the hurricane performance of the electric power system in Florida. The investigation is performed using the Random Forest classifier with Mean Decrease of Accuracy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Alexys Herleym Rodríguez Avellaneda , Abdollah Shafieezadeh , Alper Yilmaz

Almost 90% of the major power outages in the US are caused due to hurricanes. Due to the highly uncertain nature of hurricanes in both spatial and temporal dimensions, it is essential to quantify the effect of such hurricanes on a power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-16 Abodh Poudyal , Vishnu Iyengar , Diego Garcia-Camargo , Anamika Dubey

Credibly assessing the resilience of energy infrastructure in the face of natural disasters is a salient concern facing researchers, government officials, and community members. Here, we explore the influence of the spatial distribution of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-11 Benjamin Rachunok , Roshanak Nateghi

Large-scale power failures are induced by nearly all natural disasters from hurricanes to wild fires. A fundamental problem is whether and how recovery guided by government policies is able to meet the challenge of a wide range of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Amir Hossein Afsharinejad , Chuanyi Ji , Robert Wilcox

In recent decades, the weather around the world has become more irregular and extreme, often causing large-scale extended power outages. Resilience -- the capability of withstanding, adapting to, and recovering from a large-scale disruption…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-06 Shixiang Zhu , Rui Yao , Yao Xie , Feng Qiu , Yueming Qiu , Xuan Wu

Florida is particularly vulnerable to hurricanes, which frequently cause substantial economic losses. While prior studies have explored specific contributors to hurricane-induced damage, few have developed a unified framework capable of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Bolin Shen , Eren Erman Ozguven , Yue Zhao , Guang Wang , Yiqun Xie , Yushun Dong

Hurricanes have caused power outages and blackouts, affecting millions of customers and inducing severe social and economic impacts. The impacts of hurricane-caused blackouts may worsen due to increased heat extremes and possibly increased…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-09 Kairui Feng , Ouyang Min , Ning Lin

The occurrence of large-scale power outages induced by natural disasters has been on the rise in a changing climate. Such power outages often last extended durations, causing substantial financial losses and socioeconomic impacts to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Chenghao Duan , Chuanyi Ji , Anwar Walid , Scott Ganz

This paper introduces a probabilistic framework to quantify community vulnerability towards power losses due to extreme weather events. To analyze the impact of weather events on the power grid, the wind fields of historical hurricanes from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-28 Abodh Poudyal , Shishir Lamichhane , Charlotte Wertz , Sajjad Uddin Mahmud , Anamika Dubey

The energy sector in the United States is ever more vulnerable to extreme climatic hazards, leading to multiple hazard-induced and managed power outages. Utility companies reportedly prioritize the restoration of power systems based on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-28 Natalie Coleman , Amir Esmalian , Cheng-Chun Lee , Eulises Gonzales , Pranik Koirala , Ali Mostafavi

This study presents an agent-based model (ABM) developed to simulate the resilience of a community to hurricane-induced infrastructure disruptions, focusing on the interdependencies between electric power and transportation networks. In…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Tasnuba Binte Jamal , Samiul Hasan , Omar I. Abdul-Aziz , Pallab Mozumder , Rounak Meyur

This work proposes a methodology for estimating recovery times for transmission lines and substations, and is demonstrated on a real-world 1269-bus power system model of Puerto Rico under 20 hurricane scenarios, or stochastic realizations…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-10 Patrick Maloney , Xiaoyuan Fan , Marcelo Elizondo , Xue Li

One of the serious threats related to climate change is an increase in the number and severity of extreme weather events. A prominent example are hurricanes, which result from rising coastal temperatures. Such extreme weather events can…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-05 Julian M. Stürmer , Anton Plietzsch , Mehrnaz Anvari

This study investigates the spatial patterns and temporal variations in outage duration, intensity, and restoration/recovery following the 2024 Hurricane Beryl in Houston, Texas. This historic blackout caused widespread power disruptions…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Xiangpeng Li , Junwei Ma , Ali Mostafavi

It is estimated that over one-fourth of US households experienced a power outage in 2023, costing on average US $\$150$ Bn annually, with $87\%$ of outages caused by natural hazards. Indeed, numerous studies have examined the macroeconomic…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-29 Matthew Sprintson , Edward Oughton

Climate-driven power outages pose a growing threat to U.S. grid reliability, yet empirical outage studies and interdependency-based resilience analyses are rarely integrated. This paper presents a data-driven framework that integrates…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-19 Yoneke Graham , Gelila Webster , Tina Tran , Sohini Roy
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