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Unbiased assessment of the predictivity of models learnt by supervised machine-learning methods requires knowledge of the learned function over a reserved test set (not used by the learning algorithm). The quality of the assessment depends,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Elias Fekhari , Bertrand Iooss , Joseph Muré , Luc Pronzato , Maria-João Rendas

XGBoost is one of the most widely used machine learning models in the industry due to its superior learning accuracy and efficiency. Targeting at data isolation issues in the big data problems, it is crucial to deploy a secure and efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Lunchen Xie , Jiaqi Liu , Songtao Lu , Tsung-hui Chang , Qingjiang Shi

The property and casualty (P&C) insurance industry faces challenges in developing claim predictive models due to the highly right-skewed distribution of positive claims with excess zeros. To address this, actuarial science researchers have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Banghee So

Predicting default is essential for banks to ensure profitability and financial stability. While modern machine learning methods often outperform traditional regression techniques, their lack of transparency limits their use in regulated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Sagi Schwartz , Qinling Wang , Fang Fang

Banks utilize credit scoring as an important indicator of financial strength and eligibility for credit. Scoring models aim to assign statistical odds or probabilities for predicting if there is a risk of nonpayment in relation to many…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-10 Oguz Koc , Omur Ugur , A. Sevtap Kestel

Recently, the demand for Machine Learning (ML) models that can balance accuracy, efficiency, and interpreability has grown significantly. Traditionally, there has been a tradeoff between accuracy and explainability in predictive models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Akshay Murthy , Shawn Sebastian , Manil Shangle , Huaduo Wang , Sopam Dasgupta , Gopal Gupta

Neural networks have proved to be very robust at processing unstructured data like images, text, videos, and audio. However, it has been observed that their performance is not up to the mark in tabular data; hence tree-based models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Tushar Sarkar

In a modern power system, real-time data on power generation/consumption and its relevant features are stored in various distributed parties, including household meters, transformer stations and external organizations. To fully exploit the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Haizhou Liu , Xuan Zhang , Xinwei Shen , Hongbin Sun

An information theoretic approach to learning the complexity of classification and regression trees and the number of trees in gradient tree boosting is proposed. The optimism (test loss minus training loss) of the greedy leaf splitting…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-14 Berent Ånund Strømnes Lunde , Tore Selland Kleppe , Hans Julius Skaug

Tree-boosting is a widely used machine learning technique for tabular data. However, its out-of-sample accuracy is critically dependent on multiple hyperparameters. In this article, we empirically compare several popular methods for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Floris Jan Koster , Fabio Sigrist

Prediction Rule Ensembles (PREs) are robust and interpretable statistical learning techniques with potential for predictive analytics, yet their efficacy in the presence of missing data is untested. This study uses multiple imputation to…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-22 Vincent Schroeder , Jakob Schwerter , Marjolein Fokkema , Philipp Doebler

Merging satellite products and ground-based measurements is often required for obtaining precipitation datasets that simultaneously cover large regions with high density and are more accurate than pure satellite precipitation products.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Anastasios Doulamis , Nikolaos Doulamis

Estimating the importance of variables is an essential task in modern machine learning. This help to evaluate the goodness of a feature in a given model. Several techniques for estimating the importance of variables have been developed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-09 Louis Mozart Kamdem , Ernest Fokoue

Model performance is frequently reported only for the overall population under consideration. However, due to heterogeneity, overall performance measures often do not accurately represent model performance within specific subgroups. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Ruotao Zhang , Constantine Gatsonis , Jon Steingrimsson

Decision-making in complex systems often relies on machine learning models, yet highly accurate models such as XGBoost and neural networks can obscure the reasoning behind their predictions. In operations research applications,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Gaurav Arwade , Sigurdur Olafsson

Gradient boosting from the field of statistical learning is widely known as a powerful framework for estimation and selection of predictor effects in various regression models by adapting concepts from classification theory. Current…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Colin Griesbach , Benjamin Säfken , Elisabeth Waldmann

Student's mental health problems have been explored previously in higher education literature in various contexts including empirical work involving quantitative and qualitative methods. Nevertheless, comparatively few research could be…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-01 Prathamesh Muzumdar , Ganga Prasad Basyal , Piyush Vyas

Decision forest, including RandomForest, XGBoost, and LightGBM, is one of the most popular machine learning techniques used in many industrial scenarios, such as credit card fraud detection, ranking, and business intelligence. Because the…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Hong Guan , Mahidhar Reddy Dwarampudi , Venkatesh Gunda , Hong Min , Lei Yu , Jia Zou

Prediction models can improve efficiency by automating decisions such as the approval of loan applications. However, they may inherit bias against protected groups from the data they are trained on. This paper adds counterfactual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Nicholas Tenev

Electronic health records are an increasingly important resource for understanding the interactions between patient health, environment, and clinical decisions. In this paper we report an empirical study of predictive modeling of several…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-03-29 William La Cava , Christopher Bauer , Jason H. Moore , Sarah A Pendergrass