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The Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) model is an ensemble method extensively and successfully used in regression tasks due to its consistently strong predictive performance and its ability to quantify uncertainty. BART combines…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Mateus Maia , Keefe Murphy , Andrew C. Parnell

Estimating varying treatment effects in randomized trials with noncompliance is inherently challenging since variation comes from two separate sources: variation in the impact itself and variation in the compliance rate. In this setting,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-28 Jared D. Fisher , David W. Puelz , Sameer K. Deshpande

With the growing prevalence of machine learning and artificial intelligence-based medical decision support systems, it is equally important to ensure that these systems provide patient outcomes in a fair and equitable fashion. This paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jeffrey Smith , Andre Holder , Rishikesan Kamaleswaran , Yao Xie

Broadening eligibility criteria in cancer trials has been advocated to represent the true patient population more accurately. While the advantages are clear in terms of generalizability and recruitment, novel dose-finding designs are needed…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-12 Rebecca B. Silva , Bin Cheng , Richard D. Carvajal , Shing M. Lee

Model performance is frequently reported only for the overall population under consideration. However, due to heterogeneity, overall performance measures often do not accurately represent model performance within specific subgroups. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Ruotao Zhang , Constantine Gatsonis , Jon Steingrimsson

There is a keen interest in characterizing variation in the microbiome across cancer patients, given increasing evidence of its important role in determining treatment outcomes. Here our goal is to discover subgroups of patients with…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-06 Yushu Shi , Liangliang Zhang , Kim-Anh Do , Robert Jenq , Christine Peterson

Precision medicine leverages patient heterogeneity to estimate individualized treatment regimens, formalized, data-driven approaches designed to match patients with optimal treatments. In the presence of competing events, where multiple…

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects is critical in domains such as personalized medicine, resource allocation, and policy evaluation. A central challenge lies in identifying subpopulations that respond differently to interventions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-18 Zilong Wang , Turgay Ayer , Shihao Yang

When considering the effect a treatment will cause in a population of interest, we often look to evidence from randomized controlled trials. In settings where multiple trials on a treatment are available, we may wish to synthesize the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-08 Nicole Schnitzler , Eloise Kaizar

We consider learning personalized assignments to one of many treatment arms from a randomized controlled trial. Standard methods that estimate heterogeneous treatment effects separately for each arm may perform poorly in this case due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-02 Rahul Ladhania , Jann Spiess , Lyle Ungar , Wenbo Wu

In the realm of precision medicine, effective patient stratification and disease subtyping demand innovative methodologies tailored for multi-omics data. Clustering techniques applied to multi-omics data have become instrumental in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Bastian Pfeifer , Christel Sirocchi , Marcus D. Bloice , Markus Kreuzthaler , Martin Urschler

In modern computer experiment applications, one often encounters the situation where various models of a physical system are considered, each implemented as a simulator on a computer. An important question in such a setting is determining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-08 John C. Yannotty , Thomas J. Santner , Richard J. Furnstahl , Matthew T. Pratola

Motivated by the remarkable success of Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) in regression modelling, we propose a novel nonparametric Bayesian method, termed Functional BART (FBART), tailored specifically for function-on-scalar…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Jiahao Cao , Shiyuan He , Bohai Zhang

Long-running clinical trials offer a unique opportunity to study disease progression and treatment response over time, enabling questions about how and when interventions alter patient trajectories. However, drawing causal conclusions in…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-13 Emma Prevot , Dieter A. Häring , Thomas E. Nichols , Chris C. Holmes , Habib Ganjgahi

A sequential multiple assignment randomized trial (SMART) facilitates comparison of multiple adaptive treatment strategies (ATSs) simultaneously. Previous studies have established a framework to test the homogeneity of multiple ATSs by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-04 Liwen Wu , Junyao Wang , Abdus S. Wahed

Clinical trials are notorious for their high failure rates and steep costs, leading to wasted time and resources spend, prolonged development timelines, and delayed patient access to new therapies. A key contributor to these failures is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-19 Laia Domingo , Christine Johnson

This paper presents a novel nonlinear regression model for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from observational data, geared specifically towards situations with small effect sizes, heterogeneous effects, and strong confounding.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-14 P. Richard Hahn , Jared S. Murray , Carlos Carvalho

Given two possible treatments, there may exist subgroups who benefit greater from one treatment than the other. This problem is relevant to the field of marketing, where treatments may correspond to different ways of selling a product. It…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-16 Derek Feng , Xiaofei Wang

Heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) estimation is critical in medical research. It provides insights into how treatment effects vary among individuals, which can provide statistical evidence for precision medicine. While most existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-25 Ke Wan , Kensuke Tanioka , Toshio Shimokawa

Most implementations of Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) one-hot encode categorical predictors, replacing each one with several binary indicators, one for every level or category. Regression trees built with these indicators…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-14 Sameer K. Deshpande
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