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Chronic infections of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) create a very complex co-evolutionary process, where the virus tries to escape the continuously adapting host immune system. Quantitative details of this process are largely…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-27 Andrea Mazzolini , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M Walczak

Many important questions in infectious disease epidemiology involve the effects of covariates (e.g., age or vaccination status) on infectiousness and susceptibility, which can be measured in studies of transmission in households or other…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-27 Yushuf Sharker , Zaynab Diallo , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh , Eben Kenah

In this paper we investigate a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model describing data dissemination in opportunistic networks with heterogeneous setting of transmission parameters. We obtained the estimation of the final…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-03-28 Vadim Alexeev , Liudmila Rozanova , Alexander Temerev

Two crucial elements facilitate the understanding and control of communicable disease spread within a social setting. These components are, the underlying contact structure among individuals that determines the pattern of disease…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-29 Pierre-Andre Noel , Bahman Davoudi , Louis J. Dube , Robert C. Brunham , Babak Pourbohloul

The analysis of diffusion processes in real-world propagation scenarios often involves estimating variables that are not directly observed. These hidden variables include parental relationships, the strengths of connections between nodes,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-12 Shohreh Shaghaghian , Mark Coates

Dynamic models have been successfully used in producing estimates of HIV epidemics at the national level due to their epidemiological nature and their ability to estimate prevalence, incidence, and mortality rates simultaneously. Recently,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-11 Le Bao , Xiaoyue Niu , Tim Brown , Jeffrey W. Imai-Eaton

Latent space models for network data characterize each node through a vector of latent features whose pairwise similarities define the edge probabilities among the pairs of nodes. Although this formulation has led to successful…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-06 Federico Pavone , Daniele Durante , Robin J. Ryder

First Few X (FFX) studies collect household-stratified data in the early stages of a pandemic, in order to infer severity and transmissibility of an emerging disease. We present a Bayesian method to approximately infer population-level…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-22 P. G. Ballard , A. J. Black , J. V. Ross

Methods are lacking to handle the problem of survival analysis in the presence of an interval-censored covariate, specifically the case in which the conditional hazard of the primary event of interest depends on the occurrence of a…

Infectious disease spread is a multi-scale process composed of within-host (biological) and between-host (social) drivers and disentangling them from each other is a central challenge in epidemiology. Here, we introduce VIBES, a multi-scale…

Whole genome sequencing of pathogens from multiple hosts in an epidemic offers the potential to investigate who infected whom with unparalleled resolution, potentially yielding important insights into disease dynamics and the impact of…

The diversity of virus populations within single infected hosts presents a major difficulty for the natural immune response as well as for vaccine design and antiviral drug therapy. Recently developed pyrophosphate based sequencing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 Nicholas Eriksson , Lior Pachter , Yumi Mitsuya , Soo-Yon Rhee , Chunlin Wang , Baback Gharizadeh , Mostafa Ronaghi , Robert W. Shafer , Niko Beerenwinkel

In network-based SIS models of infectious disease transmission, infection can only occur between directly connected individuals. This constraint naturally gives rise to spatial correlations between the states of neighboring nodes, as the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-18 Alexander Leibenzon , Samuel W. S. Johnson , Ruth E. Baker , Michael Assaf

We propose a method for detecting significant interactions in very large multivariate spatial point patterns. This methodology develops high dimensional data understanding in the point process setting. The method is based on modelling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-25 Tuomas Rajala , David Murrell , Sofia Olhede

We investigated the ability of deep learning models for imaging based HPV status detection. To overcome the problem of small medical datasets we used a transfer learning approach. A 3D convolutional network pre-trained on sports video clips…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-18 Daniel M. Lang , Jan C. Peeken , Stephanie E. Combs , Jan J. Wilkens , Stefan Bartzsch

We introduce a minimal multiscale framework that links within-host virus dynamics to population-level SIRS epidemiology through explicit, bidirectional coupling. At the microscopic layer, a two variant quasispecies (master and mutant…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Juan C. Muñoz-Sánchez , J. Tomás Lázaro , Josep Sardanyés , Santiago F. Elena

Knowledge of the time at which an HIV-infected individual seroconverts, when the immune system starts responding to HIV infection, plays a vital role in the design and implementation of interventions to reduce the impact of the HIV…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-09 Loumpiana Koulai , Anne Presanis , Gary Murphy , Barbara Suligoi , Daniela De Angelis

Mathematical modeling of biological systems is crucial to effectively and efficiently developing treatments for medical conditions that plague humanity. Often, systems of ordinary differential equations are a traditional tool used to…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-09-01 Eric Jones , Peter Roemer , Mrinal Raghupathi , Stephen Pankavich

Predicting the human burden of vector-borne diseases from limited surveillance data remains a major challenge, particularly in the presence of nonlinear transmission dynamics and delayed effects arising from vector ecology and human…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Dimitri Breda , Muhammad Tanveer , Jianhong Wu , Xue Zhang

Cross-sectional incidence estimation based on recency testing has become a widely used tool in HIV research. Recently, this method has gained prominence in HIV prevention trials to estimate the "placebo" incidence that participants might…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-18 Jianan Pan , Marlena Bannick , Fei Gao
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