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Traditional time series analysis has long relied on pattern recognition, trained on static and well-established benchmarks. However, in real-world settings -- where policies shift, human behavior adapts, and unexpected events unfold --…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Xinlei Wang , Mingtian Tan , Jing Qiu , Junhua Zhao , Jinjin Gu

The joint modeling of longitudinal and time-to-event data is an active area of statistics research that has received a lot of attention in the recent years. More recently, a new and attractive application of this type of models has been to…

We propose a joint model for a time-to-event outcome and a quantile of a continuous response repeatedly measured over time. The quantile and survival processes are associated via shared latent and manifest variables. Our joint model…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-07 Alessio Farcomeni , Sara Viviani

Multivariate spatio-temporal data refers to multiple measurements taken across space and time. For many analyses, spatial and time components can be separately studied: for example, to explore the temporal trend of one variable for a single…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-24 H. Sherry Zhang , Dianne Cook , Ursula Laa , Nicolas Langrené , Patricia Menéndez

The EM algorithm is a popular tool for maximum likelihood estimation but has not been used much for high-dimensional regularization problems in linear mixed-effects models. In this paper, we introduce the EMLMLasso algorithm, which combines…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-04 Daniela C. R. Oliveira , Fernanda L. Schumacher , Victor H. Lachos

The evaluation of generative or discriminative large language model (LLM)-based systems is often a complex multi-dimensional problem. Typically, a set of system configuration alternatives are evaluated on one or more benchmark datasets,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-31 Samuel Ackerman , Eitan Farchi , Orna Raz , Assaf Toledo

We provide a comprehensive overview of latent Markov (LM) models for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data. The main assumption behind these models is that the response variables are conditionally independent given a latent process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-16 F. Bartolucci , A. Farcomeni , F. Pennoni

We consider a finite mixture model with varying mixing probabilities. Linear regression models are assumed for observed variables with coefficients depending on the mixture component the observed subject belongs to. A modification of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Daryna Liubashenko , Rostyslav Maiboroda

This research examines the use of Large Language Models (LLMs) in predicting time series, with a specific focus on the LLMTIME model. Despite the established effectiveness of LLMs in tasks such as text generation, language translation, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Rui Cao , Qiao Wang

In healthcare, risk assessment of patient outcomes has been based on survival analysis for a long time, i.e. modeling time-to-event associations. However, conventional approaches rely on data from a single time-point, making them suboptimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Mine Öğretir , Miika Koskinen , Juha Sinisalo , Risto Renkonen , Harri Lähdesmäki

We introduce the open-source Python package NABQR: Neural Adaptive Basis for (time-adaptive) Quantile Regression that provides reliable probabilistic forecasts. NABQR corrects ensembles (scenarios) with LSTM networks and then applies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-30 Bastian Schmidt Jørgensena , Jan Kloppenborg Møller , Peter Nystrup , Henrik Madsen

We introduce the local composite quantile regression (LCQR) to causal inference in regression discontinuity (RD) designs. Kai et al. (2010) study the efficiency property of LCQR, while we show that its nice boundary performance translates…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-02 Xiao Huang , Zhaoguo Zhan

Measurement error in a covariate or the outcome of regression models is common, but is often ignored, even though measurement error can lead to substantial bias in the estimated covariate-outcome association. While several texts on…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-10 Linda Nab , Maarten van Smeden , Ruth H. Keogh , Rolf H. H. Groenwold

Ensuring the quality of quantum programs is increasingly important; however, traditional static analysis techniques are insufficient due to the unique characteristics of quantum computing. Quantum-specific linting tools, such as LintQ, have…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Seung Yeob Shin , Fabrizio Pastore , Domenico Bianculli

Researchers in the behavioral and social sciences use linear discriminant analysis (LDA) for predictions of group membership (classification) and for identifying the variables most relevant to group separation among a set of continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-28 Ricarda Graf , Marina Zeldovich , Sarah Friedrich

Quantile regression (QR) can be used to describe the comprehensive relationship between a response and predictors. Prior domain knowledge and assumptions in application are usually formulated as constraints of parameters to improve the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-15 Yongxin Liu , Peng Zeng

In electronic health records (EHRs), latent subgroups of patients may exhibit distinctive patterning in their longitudinal health trajectories. For such data, growth mixture models (GMMs) enable classifying patients into different latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-12 Rebecca Anthopolos , Ying Wei , Qixuan Chen

There are many different ways in which change point analysis can be performed, from purely parametric methods to those that are distribution free. The ecp package is designed to perform multiple change point analysis while making as few…

Computation · Statistics 2013-11-26 Nicholas A. James , David S. Matteson

Extending large language models to effectively handle long contexts requires instruction fine-tuning on input sequences of similar length. To address this, we present LongAlign -- a recipe of the instruction data, training, and evaluation…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-01 Yushi Bai , Xin Lv , Jiajie Zhang , Yuze He , Ji Qi , Lei Hou , Jie Tang , Yuxiao Dong , Juanzi Li

MeTime is an opensource R package for reproducible analysis of longitudinal metabolomics data. It builds upon a central S4 container, metime_analyser, that stores multiple datasets, associated metadata and analysis outputs, enabling unified…