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Accurate, fine-grained poverty maps remain scarce across much of the Global South. While Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) provide high-quality socioeconomic data, their spatial coverage is limited and reported coordinates are randomly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Markus B. Pettersson , Adel Daoud

Poverty mapping is a powerful tool to study the geography of poverty. The choice of the spatial resolution is central as poverty measures defined at a coarser level may mask their heterogeneity at finer levels. We introduce a small area…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Silvia De Nicolò , Enrico Fabrizi , Aldo Gardini

In many regions of the world, sparse data on key economic outcomes inhibits the development, targeting, and evaluation of public policy. We demonstrate how advancements in satellite imagery and machine learning can help ameliorate these…

General Economics · Economics 2023-01-11 Nathan Ratledge , Gabe Cadamuro , Brandon de la Cuesta , Matthieu Stigler , Marshall Burke

Since the United Nations launched the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) in 2015, numerous universities, NGOs and other organizations have attempted to develop tools for monitoring worldwide progress in achieving them. Led by advancements…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Tomas Sako , Arturo Jr M. Martinez

High-resolution daytime satellite imagery has become a promising source to study economic activities. These images display detailed terrain over large areas and allow zooming into smaller neighborhoods. Existing methods, however, have…

Reducing global poverty is a key objective of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Achieving this requires high-frequency, granular data to capture neighborhood-level changes, particularly in data scarce regions such as low- and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Mohammad Kakooei , Klaudia Solska , Adel Daoud

Obtaining detailed and reliable data about local economic livelihoods in developing countries is expensive, and data are consequently scarce. Previous work has shown that it is possible to measure local-level economic livelihoods using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-13 Anthony Perez , Christopher Yeh , George Azzari , Marshall Burke , David Lobell , Stefano Ermon

Deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have been shown to predict poverty and development indicators from satellite images with surprising accuracy. This paper presents a first attempt at analyzing the CNNs responses in detail and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Hamid Sarmadi , Thorsteinn Rögnvaldsson , Nils Roger Carlsson , Mattias Ohlsson , Ibrahim Wahab , Ola Hall

This paper reviews the state of the art in satellite and machine learning based poverty estimates and finds some interesting results. The most important factors correlated to the predictive power of welfare in the reviewed studies are the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Olan Hall , Francis Dompae , Ibrahim Wahab , Fred Mawunyo Dzanku

This research paper addresses the significant challenge of accurately estimating poverty levels using deep learning, particularly in developing regions where traditional methods like household surveys are often costly, infrequent, and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Muhammad Umer Ramzan , Wahab Khaddim , Muhammad Ehsan Rana , Usman Ali , Manohar Ali , Fiaz ul Hassan , Fatima Mehmood

The rigorous evaluation of anti-poverty programs is key to the fight against global poverty. Traditional evaluation approaches rely heavily on repeated in-person field surveys to measure changes in economic well-being and thus program…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-27 Luna Yue Huang , Solomon Hsiang , Marco Gonzalez-Navarro

This study leverages spatial machine learning (SML) to enhance the accuracy of Proxy Means Testing (PMT) for poverty targeting in Indonesia. Conventional PMT methodologies are prone to exclusion and inclusion errors due to their inability…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-07 Rolando Gonzales Martinez , Mariza Cooray

Poverty is a multifaceted phenomenon linked to the lack of capabilities of households to earn a sustainable livelihood, increasingly being assessed using multidimensional indicators. Its spatial pattern depends on social, economic,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-04-28 Atharva Kulkarni , Raya Das , Ravi S. Srivastava , Tanmoy Chakraborty

We provide systematic evidence on the potential for estimating household well-being from mobile phone data. Using data from four countries - Afghanistan, Cote d'Ivoire, Malawi, and Togo - we conduct parallel, standardized machine learning…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-04 M. Merritt Smith , Emily Aiken , Joshua E. Blumenstock , Sveta Milusheva

Do today's communication technologies hold potential to alleviate poverty? The mobile phone's accessibility and use allows us with an unprecedented volume of data on social interactions, mobility and more. Can this data help us better…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-06-11 Neeti Pokhriyal , Wen Dong , Venu Govindaraju

Poverty mapping that displays spatial distribution of various poverty indices is most useful to policymakers and researchers when they are disaggregated into small geographic units, such as cities, municipalities or other administrative…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-18 Partha Lahiri , Jiraphan Suntornchost

Informal settlements are home to the most socially and economically vulnerable people on the planet. In order to deliver effective economic and social aid, non-government organizations (NGOs), such as the United Nations Children's Fund…

Recently, mobile operators in many developing economies have launched "Mobile Money" platforms that deliver basic financial services over the mobile phone network. While many believe that these services can improve the lives of the poor, a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-17 Muhammad Raza Khan , Joshua E. Blumenstock

Can mobile phone data improve program targeting? By combining rich survey data from a "big push" anti-poverty program in Afghanistan with detailed mobile phone logs from program beneficiaries, we study the extent to which machine learning…

General Economics · Economics 2022-06-24 Emily Aiken , Guadalupe Bedoya , Joshua Blumenstock , Aidan Coville

With the rapid expansion of mobile phone networks in developing countries, large-scale graph machine learning has gained sudden relevance in the study of global poverty. Recent applications range from humanitarian response and poverty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-01 Muhammad Raza Khan , Joshua E. Blumenstock