English
Related papers

Related papers: Online estimation methods for irregular autoregres…

200 papers

We present a new approach-the ALVar estimator-to estimation of asymptotic variance in sequential Monte Carlo methods, or, particle filters. The method, which adjusts adaptively the lag of the estimator proposed in [Olsson, J. and Douc, R.…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-21 Alessandro Mastrototaro , Jimmy Olsson

The state-of-the-art online learning models generally conduct a single online gradient descent when a new sample arrives and thus suffer from suboptimal model weights. To this end, we introduce an online broad learning system framework with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Chunyu Lei , Guang-Ze Chen , C. L. Philip Chen , Tong Zhang

We present a variational method for online state estimation and parameter learning in state-space models (SSMs), a ubiquitous class of latent variable models for sequential data. As per standard batch variational techniques, we use…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-16 Andrew Campbell , Yuyang Shi , Tom Rainforth , Arnaud Doucet

Large scale, streaming datasets are ubiquitous in modern machine learning. Streaming algorithms must be scalable, amenable to incremental training and robust to the presence of non-stationarity. In this work consider the problem of learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-15 Ricardo Pio Monti , Christoforos Anagnostopoulos , Giovanni Montana

Sparse regression has been a popular approach to perform variable selection and enhance the prediction accuracy and interpretability of the resulting statistical model. Existing approaches focus on offline regularized regression, while the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-03 Shuoguang Yang , Yuhao Yan , Xiuneng Zhu , Qiang Sun

We propose an efficient online approximate Bayesian inference algorithm for estimating the parameters of a nonlinear function from a potentially non-stationary data stream. The method is based on the extended Kalman filter (EKF), but uses a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-29 Peter G. Chang , Gerardo Durán-Martín , Alexander Y Shestopaloff , Matt Jones , Kevin Murphy

The Kalman filter is the most powerful tool for estimation of the states of a linear Gaussian system. In addition, using this method, an expectation maximization algorithm can be used to estimate the parameters of the model. However, this…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-01 Tsuyoshi Ishizone , Kazuyuki Nakamura

This paper introduces an online approach for identifying time-varying subspaces defined by linear dynamical systems. The approach of representing linear systems by non-parametric subspace models has received significant interest in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-01 András Sasfi , Alberto Padoan , Ivan Markovsky , Florian Dörfler

Analytical models developed in offline settings with pre-prepared data are typically used to predict students' performance. However, when data are available over time, this learning method is not suitable anymore. Online learning is…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Chahrazed Labba , Anne Boyer

Online parameter identification is of importance, e.g., for model predictive control. Since the parameters have to be identified simultaneously to the process of the modeled system, dynamical update laws are used for state and parameter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-20 Romana Boiger , Barbara Kaltenbacher

This paper establishes the theoretical foundations of the online scaled gradient methods (OSGM), a framework that utilizes online learning to adapt stepsizes and provably accelerate first-order methods. OSGM quantifies the effectiveness of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Wenzhi Gao , Ya-Chi Chu , Yinyu Ye , Madeleine Udell

We consider the robust estimation of the parameters of multivariate Gaussian linear regression models. To this aim we consider robust version of the usual (Mahalanobis) least-square criterion, with or without Ridge regularization. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-13 Antoine Godichon-Baggioni , Stephane S. Robin , Laure Sansonnet

We propose a Bayesian approach for recursively estimating the classifier weights in online learning of a classifier ensemble. In contrast with past methods, such as stochastic gradient descent or online boosting, our approach estimates the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-07-09 Qinxun Bai , Henry Lam , Stan Sclaroff

Conventional hyperparameter optimization methods are computationally intensive and hard to generalize to scenarios that require dynamically adapting hyperparameters, such as life-long learning. Here, we propose an online hyperparameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Daniel Jiwoong Im , Cristina Savin , Kyunghyun Cho

We prove local convergence of several notable gradient descent algorithms used in machine learning, for which standard stochastic gradient descent theory does not apply directly. This includes, first, online algorithms for recurrent models…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-11 Pierre-Yves Massé , Yann Ollivier

In this paper, online convex optimization is applied to the problem of controlling linear dynamical systems. An algorithm similar to online gradient descent, which can handle time-varying and unknown cost functions, is proposed. Then,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-03 Marko Nonhoff , Matthias A. Müller

The goal of a learner, in standard online learning, is to have the cumulative loss not much larger compared with the best-performing function from some fixed class. Numerous algorithms were shown to have this gap arbitrarily close to zero,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-03-04 Nina Vaits , Edward Moroshko , Koby Crammer

This paper introduces a new algorithm to approximate smoothed additive functionals for partially observed stochastic differential equations. This method relies on a recent procedure which allows to compute such approximations online, i.e.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-14 Pierre Gloaguen , Marie-Pierre Etienne , Sylvain Le Corff

Control and state estimation procedures need to be robust against imprecisely known parameters, uncertainty in initial conditions, and external disturbances. Interval methods and other set-based techniques form the basis for the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-22 Andreas Rauh , Marit Lahme , Simon Rohou , Luc Jaulin , Thach Ngoc Dinh , Tarek Raissi , Mohamed Fnadi

This paper investigates different vector step-size adaptation approaches for non-stationary online, continual prediction problems. Vanilla stochastic gradient descent can be considerably improved by scaling the update with a vector of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-16 Andrew Jacobsen , Matthew Schlegel , Cameron Linke , Thomas Degris , Adam White , Martha White