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This paper presents an augmented deep factor model that generates latent factors for cross-sectional asset pricing. The conventional security sorting on firm characteristics for constructing long-short factor portfolio weights is nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-11 Guanhao Feng , Jingyu He , Nicholas G. Polson , Jianeng Xu

The fragility of deep neural networks to adversarially-chosen inputs has motivated the need to revisit deep learning algorithms. Including adversarial examples during training is a popular defense mechanism against adversarial attacks. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Jacob H. Seidman , Mahyar Fazlyab , Victor M. Preciado , George J. Pappas

We study an optimization-based approach to construct statistically accurate confidence intervals for simulation performance measures under nonparametric input uncertainty. This approach computes confidence bounds from simulation runs driven…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Henry Lam , Huajie Qian

Algorithmic fairness is an increasingly important field concerned with detecting and mitigating biases in machine learning models. There has been a wealth of literature for algorithmic fairness in regression and classification however there…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Raphael Sonabend , Florian Pfisterer , Alan Mishler , Moritz Schauer , Lukas Burk , Sumantrak Mukherjee , Sebastian Vollmer

A multivariate density forecast model based on deep learning is designed in this paper to forecast the joint cumulative distribution functions (JCDFs) of multiple security margins in power systems. Differing from existing multivariate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-10 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Wenjun Tang , Hongbin Sun , Wenqi Huang

Many important problems in the real world don't have unique solutions. It is thus important for machine learning models to be capable of proposing different plausible solutions with meaningful probability measures. In this work we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Di Qiu , Lok Ming Lui

For a variant of the algorithm in [Pit19] (arXiv:1903.10816) to compute the approximate density or distribution function of a linear mixture of independent random variables known by a finite sample, it is presented a proof of the functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Thomas Pitschel

We study paycheck optimization, which examines how to allocate income in order to achieve several competing financial goals. For paycheck optimization, a quantitative methodology is missing, due to a lack of a suitable problem formulation.…

We propose to use deep learning to estimate parameters in statistical models when standard likelihood estimation methods are computationally infeasible. We show how to estimate parameters from max-stable processes, where inference is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Amanda Lenzi , Julie Bessac , Johann Rudi , Michael L. Stein

We study the estimation of risk-sensitive policies in reinforcement learning problems defined by a Markov Decision Process (MDPs) whose state and action spaces are countably finite. Prior efforts are predominately afflicted by computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-02 Junyu Zhang , Amrit Singh Bedi , Mengdi Wang , Alec Koppel

We develop a methodology that utilizes deep learning to simultaneously solve and estimate canonical continuous-time general equilibrium models in financial economics. We illustrate our method in two examples: (1) industrial dynamics of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-18 Benjamin Fan , Edward Qiao , Anran Jiao , Zhouzhou Gu , Wenhao Li , Lu Lu

We study a continuous-time primal-dual algorithm for distributed optimization with nonconvex local cost functions over weight-unbalanced digraphs, and analyze its performance from a dissipativity-based perspective. We first reformulate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Weijian Li , Panos J. Antsaklis , Hai Lin

In applications with significant class imbalance or asymmetric costs, metrics such as the $F_\beta$-measure, AM measure, Jaccard similarity coefficient, and weighted accuracy offer more suitable evaluation criteria than standard binary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Anqi Mao , Mehryar Mohri , Yutao Zhong

Quantile is a popular performance measure for a stochastic system to evaluate its variability and risk. To reduce the risk, selecting the actions that minimize the tail quantiles of some loss distributions is typically of interest for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-18 Songhao Wang , Szu Hui Ng , William Benjamin Haskell

Deep learning has been applied to various tasks in the field of machine learning and has shown superiority to other common procedures such as kernel methods. To provide a better theoretical understanding of the reasons for its success, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-31 Satoshi Hayakawa , Taiji Suzuki

Modern machine learning algorithms, especially deep learning based techniques, typically involve careful hyperparameter tuning to achieve the best performance. Despite the surge of intense interest in practical techniques like Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Maria-Florina Balcan , Anh Tuan Nguyen , Dravyansh Sharma

In this paper we address the computational feasibility of the class of decision theoretic models referred to as adversarial risk analyses (ARA). These are models where a decision must be made with consideration for how an intelligent…

General Economics · Economics 2021-10-26 Michael Macgregor Perry , Hadi El-Amine

We consider the problem of optimally sharing a financial position among agents with potentially different reference risk measures. The problem is equivalent to computing the infimal convolution of the risk metrics and finding the so-called…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-21 Matteo Burzoni , Alessandro Doldi , Enea Monzio Compagnoni

Uncertainty is prevalent in engineering design, data-driven problems, and decision making broadly. Due to inherent risk-averseness and ambiguity about assumptions, it is common to address uncertainty by formulating and solving conservative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Johannes O. Royset

Despite the power of deep neural networks for a wide range of tasks, an overconfident prediction issue has limited their practical use in many safety-critical applications. Many recent works have been proposed to mitigate this issue, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Jooyoung Moon , Jihyo Kim , Younghak Shin , Sangheum Hwang