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Conformal prediction provides rigorous, distribution-free uncertainty guarantees, but often yields prohibitively large prediction sets in structured domains such as routing, planning, or sequential recommendation. We introduce "graph-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Sreenivas Gollapudi , Kostas Kollias , Kamesh Munagala , Aravindan Vijayaraghavan

We introduce the notion of a network's conduciveness, a probabilistically interpretable measure of how the network's structure allows it to be conducive to roaming agents, in certain conditions, from one portion of the network to another.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-07-12 Valmir C. Barbosa

Conformal prediction, and split conformal prediction as a specific implementation, offer a distribution-free approach to estimating prediction intervals with statistical guarantees. Recent work has shown that split conformal prediction can…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-01 Nicolas Dewolf , Bernard De Baets , Willem Waegeman

Node features bolster graph-based learning when exploited jointly with network structure. However, a lack of nodal attributes is prevalent in graph data. We present a framework to recover completely missing node features for a set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Victor M. Tenorio , Madeline Navarro , Santiago Segarra , Antonio G. Marques

Conformal prediction is a non-parametric technique for constructing prediction intervals or sets from arbitrary predictive models under the assumption that the data is exchangeable. It is popular as it comes with theoretical guarantees on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-01 Jase Clarkson , Wenkai Xu , Mihai Cucuringu , Yvik Swan , Gesine Reinert

Node similarity scores are a foundation for machine learning in graphs for clustering, node classification, anomaly detection, and link prediction with applications in biological systems, information networks, and recommender systems.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Christopher Blöcker , Jelena Smiljanić , Ingo Scholtes , Martin Rosvall

Many tasks in graph machine learning, such as link prediction and node classification, are typically solved by using representation learning, in which each node or edge in the network is encoded via an embedding. Though there exists a lot…

We consider fair network topology inference from nodal observations. Real-world networks often exhibit biased connections based on sensitive nodal attributes. Hence, different subpopulations of nodes may not share or receive information…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-26 Madeline Navarro , Samuel Rey , Andrei Buciulea , Antonio G. Marques , Santiago Segarra

Network models are widely used to represent relational information among interacting units and the structural implications of these relations. Recently, social network studies have focused a great deal of attention on random graph models of…

Applications · Statistics 2010-10-06 Mark S. Handcock , Krista J. Gile

We propose a general model that jointly characterizes degree heterogeneity and homophily in weighted, undirected networks. We present a moment estimation method using node degrees and homophily statistics. We establish consistency and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Qiuping Wang , Yuan Zhang , Ting Yan

We propose a conformal prediction method for constructing tight simultaneous prediction intervals for multiple, potentially related, numerical outputs given a single input. This method can be combined with any multi-target regression model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Yunjie Fan , Matteo Sesia

Link prediction is a fundamental problem of data science, which usually calls for unfolding the mechanisms that govern the micro-dynamics of networks. In this regard, using features obtained from network embedding for predicting links has…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Chuanting Zhang , Ke-ke Shang , Jingping Qiao

Graphs can model real-world, complex systems by representing entities and their interactions in terms of nodes and edges. To better exploit the graph structure, graph neural networks have been developed, which learn entity and edge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-06 Tong Liu , Yushan Liu , Marcel Hildebrandt , Mitchell Joblin , Hang Li , Volker Tresp

Bipartite networks manifest as a stream of edges that represent transactions, e.g., purchases by retail customers. Many machine learning applications employ neighborhood-based measures to characterize the similarity among the nodes, such as…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-09 Nesreen K. Ahmed , Nick Duffield , Liangzhen Xia

As artificial intelligence (AI) / machine learning (ML) gain widespread adoption, practitioners are increasingly seeking means to quantify and control the risk these systems incur. This challenge is especially salient when such systems have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Drew Prinster , Samuel Stanton , Anqi Liu , Suchi Saria

We propose a new method called localized conformal prediction, where we can perform conformal inference using only a local region around a new test sample to construct its confidence interval. Localized conformal inference is a natural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-08 Leying Guan

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) have recently gained popularity in the forecasting domain due to their ability to model complex spatial and temporal patterns in tasks such as traffic forecasting and region-based demand forecasting. Most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Abishek Sriramulu , Nicolas Fourrier , Christoph Bergmeir

Node role explainability in complex networks is very difficult, yet is crucial in different application domains such as social science, neurosciences or computer science. Many efforts have been made on the quantification of hubs revealing…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-01 Lucrezia Carboni , Michel Dojat , Sophie Achard

This paper presents a novel application of graph neural networks for modeling and estimating network heterogeneity. Network heterogeneity is characterized by variations in unit's decisions or outcomes that depend not only on its own…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-30 Yike Wang , Chris Gu , Taisuke Otsu

Conformal prediction uses past experience to determine precise levels of confidence in new predictions. Given an error probability $\epsilon$, together with a method that makes a prediction $\hat{y}$ of a label $y$, it produces a set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Glenn Shafer , Vladimir Vovk
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