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In this article we consider the filtering problem associated to partially observed diffusions, with observations following a marked point process. In the model, the data form a point process with observation times that have its intensity…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-17 Miguel Alvarez , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat

In this article we consider a Monte Carlo-based method to filter partially observed diffusions observed at regular and discrete times. Given access only to Euler discretizations of the diffusion process, we present a new procedure which can…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-12 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Fangyuan Yu

In this paper we consider the filtering of partially observed multi-dimensional diffusion processes that are observed regularly at discrete times. This is a challenging problem which requires the use of advanced numerical schemes based upon…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Hernando Ombao

In this paper, we consider the filtering problem for partially observed diffusions, which are regularly observed at discrete times. We are concerned with the case when one must resort to time-discretization of the diffusion process if the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Marco Ballesio , Ajay Jasra , Erik von Schwerin , Raul Tempone

In this paper we introduce a novel particle filter scheme for a class of partially-observed multivariate diffusions. %continuous-time dynamic models where the %signal is given by a multivariate diffusion process. We consider a variety of…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-24 Paul Fearnhead , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

In this paper the filtering of partially observed diffusions, with discrete-time observations, is considered. It is assumed that only biased approximations of the diffusion can be obtained, for choice of an accuracy parameter indexed by…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-19 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Kody J. H. Law , Yan Zhou

In this article we consider the estimation of static parameters for partially observed diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, we assume that one must time-discretize the partially…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-20 Elsiddig Awadelkarim , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat

In this article we introduce two new estimates of the normalizing constant (or marginal likelihood) for partially observed diffusion (POD) processes, with discrete observations. One estimate is biased but non-negative and the other is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-18 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Prince Prepah Osei , Yan Zhou

We develop a Bayesian inference method for diffusions observed discretely and with noise, which is free of discretisation bias. Unlike existing unbiased inference methods, our method does not rely on exact simulation techniques. Instead,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-10 Neil K. Chada , Jordan Franks , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Matti Vihola

In this article we consider the estimation of static parameters for partially observed diffusion processes with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, when one only has access to time-discretized solutions of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-26 Miguel Alvarez , Ajay Jasra

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

We consider partially observed multiscale diffusion models that are specified up to an unknown vector parameter. We establish for a very general class of test functions that the filter of the original model converges to a filter of reduced…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We consider the problem of statistical inference for a class of partially-observed diffusion processes, with discretely-observed data and finite-dimensional parameters. We construct unbiased estimators of the score function, i.e. the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-12 Jeremy Heng , Jeremie Houssineau , Ajay Jasra

In this article, we consider computing expectations w.r.t. probability measures which are subject to discretization error. Examples include partially observed diffusion processes or inverse problems, where one may have to discretize time…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-25 Jeremy Heng , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Alexander Tarakanov

In this article we consider the development of unbiased estimators of the Hessian, of the log-likelihood function with respect to parameters, for partially observed diffusion processes. These processes arise in numerous applications, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Fangyuan Yu

This paper concerns the use of the expectation-maximisation (EM) algorithm for inference in partially observed diffusion processes. In this context, a well known problem is that all except a few diffusion processes lack closed-form…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-18 Jimmy Olsson , Jonas Ströjby

We present a general framework for Bayesian estimation of incompletely observed multivariate diffusion processes. Observations are assumed to be discrete in time, noisy and incomplete. We assume the drift and diffusion coefficient depend on…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-04 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

In the following article we consider the numerical approximation of the non-linear filter in continuous-time, where the observations and signal follow diffusion processes. Given access to high-frequency, but discrete-time observations, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Ajay Jasra , Fangyuan Yu , Jeremy Heng

We consider multiscale stochastic systems that are partially observed at discrete points of the slow time scale. We introduce a particle filter that takes advantage of the multiscale structure of the system to efficiently approximate the…

Computation · Statistics 2007-10-29 Anastasia Papavasiliou

We consider the problem of inference for nonlinear, multivariate diffusion processes, satisfying It\^o stochastic differential equations (SDEs), using data at discrete times that may be incomplete and subject to measurement error. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-27 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock
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