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The applications of artificial intelligence (AI) are rapidly evolving, and they are also commonly used in safety-critical domains, such as autonomous driving and medical diagnosis, where functional safety is paramount. In AI-driven systems,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-12 Soyed Tuhin Ahmed , Michael Hefenbrock , Mehdi B. Tahoori

The use of ensembles of neural networks (NNs) for the quantification of predictive uncertainty is widespread. However, the current justification is intuitive rather than analytical. This work proposes one minor modification to the normal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 Tim Pearce , Nicolas Anastassacos , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

Deep learning (DL) has shown great potential in digital pathology applications. The robustness of a diagnostic DL-based solution is essential for safe clinical deployment. In this work we evaluate if adding uncertainty estimates for DL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Milda Pocevičiūtė , Gabriel Eilertsen , Sofia Jarkman , Claes Lundström

Decomposing prediction uncertainty into aleatoric (irreducible) and epistemic (reducible) components is critical for the reliable deployment of machine learning systems. While the mutual information between the response variable and model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Anchit Jain , Stephen Bates

Uncertainty estimation is critical for numerous applications of deep neural networks and draws growing attention from researchers. Here, we demonstrate an uncertainty quantification approach for deep neural networks used in inverse problems…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Luzhe Huang , Jianing Li , Xiaofu Ding , Yijie Zhang , Hanlong Chen , Aydogan Ozcan

Seismic inversion is essential for geophysical exploration and geological assessment, but it is inherently subject to significant uncertainty. This uncertainty stems primarily from the limited information provided by observed seismic data,…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-09-12 Luping Qu , Mauricio Araya-Polo , Laurent Demanet

In recent years Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have been rapidly developed in various applications, together with increasingly complex architectures. The performance gain of these DNNs generally comes with high computational costs and large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-05 Yiren Zhou , Seyed-Mohsen Moosavi-Dezfooli , Ngai-Man Cheung , Pascal Frossard

Machine-learned potentials (MLPs) have revolutionized materials discovery by providing accurate and efficient predictions of molecular and material properties. Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have emerged as a state-of-the-art approach due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Tirtha Vinchurkar , Kareem Abdelmaqsoud , John R. Kitchin

Deep learning is increasingly being applied in safety-critical domains. For these scenarios it is important to know the level of uncertainty in a model's prediction to ensure appropriate decisions are made by the system. Deep ensembles are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Yassir Fathullah , Mark J. F. Gales

Despite deep neural network (DNN)'s impressive prediction performance in various domains, it is well known now that a set of DNN models trained with the same model specification and the same data can produce very different prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-18 Zhe Chen , Yuyan Wang , Dong Lin , Derek Zhiyuan Cheng , Lichan Hong , Ed H. Chi , Claire Cui

Uncertainty quantification is an important and challenging problem in deep learning. Previous methods rely on dropout layers which are not present in modern deep architectures or batch normalization which is sensitive to batch sizes. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-10 Lukasz Wandzik , Raul Vicente Garcia , Jörg Krüger

Robust optimization has been established as a leading methodology to approach decision problems under uncertainty. To derive a robust optimization model, a central ingredient is to identify a suitable model for uncertainty, which is called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-10 Marc Goerigk , Jannis Kurtz

Accurately estimating uncertainties in neural network predictions is of great importance in building trusted DNNs-based models, and there is an increasing interest in providing accurate uncertainty estimation on many tasks, such as security…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Yukun Ding , Jinglan Liu , Jinjun Xiong , Yiyu Shi

Although deep neural network (DNN) has achieved many state-of-the-art results, estimating the uncertainty presented in the DNN model and the data is a challenging task. Problems related to uncertainty such as classifying unknown classes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-17 Buu Phan

In this paper we address the problem of uncertainty management for robust design, and verification of large dynamic networks whose performance is affected by an equally large number of uncertain parameters. Many such networks (e.g. power,…

Computation · Statistics 2011-10-12 Amit Surana , Tuhin Sahai , Andrzej Banaszuk

Ensemble learning has gain attention in resent deep learning research as a way to further boost the accuracy and generalizability of deep neural network (DNN) models. Recent ensemble training method explores different training algorithms or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-20 Jingchi Zhang , Huanrui Yang , Hai Li

This study aims to improve the spatial representation of uncertainties when regressing surface wind speeds from large-scale atmospheric predictors for sub-seasonal forecasting. Sub-seasonal forecasting often relies on large-scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Ganglin Tian , Anastase Alexandre Charantonis , Camille Le Coz , Alexis Tantet , Riwal Plougonven

Despite their unprecedented performance in various domains, utilization of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) in safety-critical environments is severely limited in the presence of even small adversarial perturbations. The present work develops a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Fatemeh Sheikholeslami , Swayambhoo Jain , Georgios B. Giannakis

Ensemble learning has proven effective in improving predictive performance and estimating uncertainty in neural networks. However, conventional ensemble methods often suffer from redundant parameter usage and computational inefficiencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Arnav Kharbanda , Advait Chandorkar

Deep neural networks (DNN) are versatile parametric models utilised successfully in a diverse number of tasks and domains. However, they have limitations---particularly from their lack of robustness and over-sensitivity to out of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-01 John Mitros , Brian Mac Namee
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