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A multi-arm multi-stage trial is a multi-arm trial which includes interim analyses - analysing the data at certain specified points, generally discontinuing treatments which are concluded to not work and proceeding with the remainder. It is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-14 Martin Law

We consider the optimal design problem for identifying effective dose combinations within drug combination studies where the effect of the combination of two drugs is investigated. Drug combination studies are becoming increasingly…

For a trial with primary endpoint overall survival for a molecule with curative potential, statistical methods that rely on the proportional hazards assumption may underestimate the power and the time to final analysis. We show how a cure…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-17 Kaspar Rufibach , Dominik Heinzmann , Annabelle Monnet

Robust optimization is a commonly employed method to mitigate uncertainties in the planning of intensity-modulated proton therapy (IMPT). In certain contexts, the large number of uncertainty scenarios makes the robust problem impractically…

Medical Physics · Physics 2025-04-22 Ivar Bengtsson

Recently there has been much work on early phase cancer designs that incorporate both toxicity and efficacy data, called Phase I-II designs because they combine elements of both phases. However, they do not explicitly address the Phase II…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-12 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai , Balasubramanian Narasimhan

Randomized saturation designs are a family of designs which assign a possibly different treatment proportion to each cluster of a population at random. As a result, they generalize the well-known (stratified) completely randomized designs…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-21 Chencheng Cai , Jean Pouget-Abadie , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Phase-3 clinical trials provide the highest level of evidence on drug safety and effectiveness needed for market approval by implementing large randomized controlled trials (RCTs). However, 30-40% of these trials fail mainly because such…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-09 Sayeri Lala , Niraj K. Jha

Robust treatment planning algorithms for Intensity Modulated Proton Therapy (IMPT) and Intensity Modulated Radiation Therapy (IMRT) allow for uncertainty reduction in the delivered dose distributions through explicit inclusion of error…

Medical Physics · Physics 2025-10-15 Remo Cristoforetti , Jennifer Josephine Hardt , Niklas Wahl

An early phase clinical trial is the first step in evaluating the effects in humans of a potential new anti-disease agent or combination of agents. Usually called "phase I" or "phase I/II" trials, these experiments typically have the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-01 Peter F. Thall

We examine nonparametric dose-finding designs that use toxicity estimates based on all available data at each dose allocation decision. We prove that one such design family, called here "interval design", converges almost surely to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-22 Assaf P. Oron , David Azriel , Peter D. Hoff

As a future trend of healthcare, personalized medicine tailors medical treatments to individual patients. It requires to identify a subset of patients with the best response to treatment. The subset can be defined by a biomarker (e.g.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-16 Yitao Lu , Julie Zhou , Li Xing , Xuekui Zhang

Consider an experiment, where a new drug is tested for the first time on human subjects - healthy volunteers. Such experiments are often performed as dose-escalation studies: a set of increasing doses is pre-selected, individuals are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-17 Samuel Rosa , Radoslav Harman

Objective: The objective of this study is to develop a machine learning (ML)-based framework for early risk stratification of clinical trials (CTs) according to their likelihood of exhibiting a high rate of dosing errors, using information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Félicien Hêche , Sohrab Ferdowsi , Anthony Yazdani , Sara Sansaloni-Pastor , Douglas Teodoro

Dose-finding clinical trials in oncology aim to estimate the maximum tolerated dose (MTD), based on safety traditionally obtained from the clinician's perspective. While the collection of patient-reported outcomes (PROs) has been advocated…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-03 Anaïs Andrillon , Lucie Biard , Shing M. Lee

The dose delivered to the planning target volume by proton beams is highly conformal, sparing organs at risk and normal tissues. New treatment planning systems adapted to spot scanning techniques have been recently proposed to…

Medical Physics · Physics 2022-05-18 François Smekens , Nicolas Freud , Bruno Sixou , Guillaume Beslon , Jean M Létang

The widespread application of Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques has significantly influenced the development of new therapeutic agents. These computational methods can be used to design and predict the properties of generated…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Arthur Cerveira , Frederico Kremer , Darling de Andrade Lourenço , Ulisses B Corrêa

Aims: Combinations of treatments can offer additional benefit over the treatments individually. However, trials of these combinations are lower priority than the development of novel therapies, which can restrict funding, timelines and…

Two useful strategies to speed up drug development are to increase the patient accrual rate and use novel adaptive designs. Unfortunately, these two strategies often conflict when the evaluation of the outcome cannot keep pace with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-24 Ruitao Lin , Ying Yuan

We use the exact finite sample likelihood and statistical decision theory to answer questions of ``why?'' and ``what should you have done?'' using data from randomized experiments and a utility function that prioritizes safety over…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-26 Neil Christy , A. E. Kowalski

Hierarchical random effect models are used for different purposes in clinical research and other areas. In general, the main focus is on population parameters related to the expected treatment effects or group differences among all units of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-07 Maryna Prus , Norbert Benda , Rainer Schwabe