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Related papers: Smooth Backfitting for Additive Hazard Rates

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Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) (Chipman et. al., 2010) is a powerful predictive model that often outperforms alternative models at out-of-sample prediction. BART is especially well-suited to settings with unstructured predictor…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-15 Jingyu He , Saar Yalov , P. Richard Hahn

A robust estimator is proposed for the parameters that characterize the linear regression problem. It is based on the notion of shrinkages, often used in Finance and previously studied for outlier detection in multivariate data. A thorough…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-07 Elisa Cabana , Rosa E. Lillo , Henry Laniado

We consider Bayesian nonparametric inference in the right-censoring survival model, where modeling is made at the level of the hazard rate. We derive posterior limiting distributions for linear functionals of the hazard, and then for `many'…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Ismaël Castillo , Stéphanie van der Pas

This paper develops a new approach to post-selection inference for screening high-dimensional predictors of survival outcomes. Post-selection inference for right-censored outcome data has been investigated in the literature, but much…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-22 Tzu-Jung Huang , Alex Luedtke , Ian W. McKeague

An adaptive refinement strategy, based on an equilibrated flux a posteriori error estimator, is proposed in the context of defeaturing problems. Defeaturing consists of removing features from complex domains to simplify mesh generation and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Annalisa Buffa , Denise Grappein , Rafael Vázquez

In a recent paper Birke and Bissantz (2008) considered the problem of nonparametric estimation in inverse regression models with convolution-type operators. For multivariate predictors nonparametric methods suffer from the curse of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-19 T. Hildebrandt , N. Bissantz , H. Dette

The estimation of risk measures recently gained a lot of attention, partly because of the backtesting issues of expected shortfall related to elicitability. In this work we shed a new and fundamental light on optimal estimation procedures…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-25 Marcin Pitera , Thorsten Schmidt

We consider the unconstrained optimization problem whose objective function is composed of a smooth and a non-smooth conponents where the smooth component is the expectation a random function. This type of problem arises in some interesting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-01 Qihang Lin , Xi Chen , Javier Pena

Introduced over a century ago, Whittaker-Henderson smoothing remains widely used by actuaries in constructing one-dimensional and two-dimensional experience tables for mortality, disability and other life insurance risks. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-18 Guillaume Biessy

We consider a non-proportional hazards model where the regression coefficient is not constant but piecewise constant. Following Andersen and Gill (1982), we know that a knowledge of the changepoint leads to a relatively straightforward…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-11 Roxane Duroux , John O'Quigley

In this paper we introduce a mixture cure model with a linear hazard rate regression model for the event times. Cure models are statistical models for event times that take into account that a fraction of the population might never…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-26 Emil Aas Stoltenberg

The forecasting of credit default risk has been an active research field for several decades. Historically, logistic regression has been used as a major tool due to its compliance with regulatory requirements: transparency, explainability,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Dangxing Chen , Weicheng Ye

We present a framework to train a structured prediction model by performing smoothing on the inference algorithm it builds upon. Smoothing overcomes the non-smoothness inherent to the maximum margin structured prediction objective, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-11 Krishna Pillutla , Vincent Roulet , Sham M. Kakade , Zaid Harchaoui

The hazard function is central to the formulation of commonly used survival regression models such as the proportional hazards and accelerated failure time models. However, these models rely on a shared baseline hazard, which, when…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 J. A. Christen , F. J. Rubio

We propose Adaptive Randomized Smoothing (ARS) to certify the predictions of our test-time adaptive models against adversarial examples. ARS extends the analysis of randomized smoothing using $f$-Differential Privacy to certify the adaptive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Saiyue Lyu , Shadab Shaikh , Frederick Shpilevskiy , Evan Shelhamer , Mathias Lécuyer

This paper introduces an iterative algorithm for training nonparametric additive models that enjoys favorable memory storage and computational requirements. The algorithm can be viewed as the functional counterpart of stochastic gradient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-01 Xin Chen , Jason M. Klusowski

Non-parametric maximum likelihood estimation encompasses a group of classic methods to estimate distribution-associated functions from potentially censored and truncated data, with extensive applications in survival analysis. These methods,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-05 Justin D. Tubbs , Lane Guolan Chen , Thuan Quoc Thach , Pak C. Sham

Calibration weighting has been widely used to correct selection biases in non-probability sampling, missing data, and causal inference. The main idea is to calibrate the biased sample to the benchmark by adjusting the subject weights.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-30 Chenyin Gao , Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim

The use of massive survival data has become common in survival analysis. In this study, a subsampling algorithm is proposed for the Cox proportional hazards model with time-dependent covariates when the sample is extraordinarily large but…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-07 Nan Qiao , Wangcheng Li , Feng Xiao , Cunjie Lin , Yong Zhou

We consider instrumental variable estimation of the proportional hazards model of Cox (1972). The instrument and the endogenous variable are discrete but there can be (possibly continuous) exogenous covariables. By making a rank invariance…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-06 Lorenzo Tedesco , Jad Beyhum , Ingrid Van Keilegom