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We propose a novel mixture model for football event data that clusters entire possessions to reveal their temporal, sequential, and spatial structure. Each mixture component models possessions as marked spatio-temporal point processes:…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-19 Koffi Amezouwui , Brigitte Gelein , Matthieu Marbac , Anthony Sorel

Evaluating football player transfers is challenging because player actions depend strongly on tactical systems, teammates, and match context. Despite this complexity, recruitment decisions often rely on static statistics and subjective…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Miru Hong , Minho Lee , Geonhee Jo , Hyeokje Jo , Pascal Bauer , Sang-Ki Ko

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) have recently become increasingly interesting for learning dynamics in graph data. A reason for this is that learning on dynamic graph data is becoming more relevant, since data from many scientific fields,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Alice Moallemy-Oureh , Silvia Beddar-Wiesing , Yannick Nagel , Rüdiger Nather , Josephine M. Thomas

Although the data-driven analysis of football players' performance has been developed for years, most research only focuses on the on-ball event including shots and passes, while the off-ball movement remains a little-explored area in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Yisheng Pei , Varuna De Silva , Mike Caine

Spatiotemporal point processes (STPPs) are probabilistic models for events occurring in continuous space and time. Real-world event data often exhibit intricate dependencies and heterogeneous dynamics. By incorporating modern deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Sumantrak Mukherjee , Mouad Elhamdi , George Mohler , David A. Selby , Yao Xie , Sebastian Vollmer , Gerrit Grossmann

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) are widely used for modeling event sequences in various medical domains, such as disease onset prediction, progression analysis, and clinical decision support. Although TPPs effectively capture temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Yunyang Cao , Juekai Lin , Hongye Wang , Wenhao Li , Bo Jin

Football (soccer) is a sport that is characterised by complex game play, where players perform a variety of actions, such as passes, shots, tackles, fouls, in order to score goals, and ultimately win matches. Accurately forecasting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Michael Horton , Patrick Lucey

Learning the dynamics of spatiotemporal events is a fundamental problem. Neural point processes enhance the expressivity of point process models with deep neural networks. However, most existing methods only consider temporal dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Zihao Zhou , Xingyi Yang , Ryan Rossi , Handong Zhao , Rose Yu

A temporal point process is a stochastic process that predicts which type of events is likely to happen and when the event will occur given a history of a sequence of events. There are various examples of occurrence dynamics in the daily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Deokjun Eom , Sehyun Lee , Jaesik Choi

Continuous-time assessments of game outcomes in sports have become increasingly common in the last decade. In American football, only discrete-time estimates of play value were possible, since the most advanced public football datasets were…

Spatio-temporal point process (STPP) is a stochastic collection of events accompanied with time and space. Due to computational complexities, existing solutions for STPPs compromise with conditional independence between time and space,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Yuan Yuan , Jingtao Ding , Chenyang Shao , Depeng Jin , Yong Li

Precise Event Spotting (PES) in sports videos requires frame-level recognition of fine-grained actions from single-camera footage. Existing PES models typically incorporate lightweight temporal modules such as the Gate Shift Module (GSM) or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Hao Xu , Xinyu Wei , Sam Wells , Sunil Aryal

Electronic Health Records (EHR) can be represented as temporal sequences that record the events (medical visits) from patients. Neural temporal point process (NTPP) has achieved great success in modeling event sequences that occur in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Bingqing Liu

Modeling event sequences of multiple event types with marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) provides a principled way to uncover governing dynamical rules and predict future events. Current neural network approaches to MTPP inference rely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 David Berghaus , Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , César Ojeda , Ramsés J. Sánchez

A Marked Temporal Point Process (MTPP) is a stochastic process whose realization is a set of event-time data. MTPP is often used to understand complex dynamics of asynchronous temporal events such as money transaction, social media,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Yujee Song , Donghyun Lee , Rui Meng , Won Hwa Kim

This study explores the relationship between the performance of a football team and the topological parameters of temporal passing networks. To achieve this, we propose a method to identify moments of high and low team performance based on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-13 Andres Chacoma

Understanding agent behaviour in Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) is an important problem in domains such as autonomous driving, disaster response, and sports analytics. Existing MAS problems typically use uniform timesteps with observations for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Gregory Everett , Ryan J. Beal , Tim Matthews , Joseph Early , Timothy J. Norman , Sarvapali D. Ramchurn

Marked event data captures events by recording their continuous-valued occurrence timestamps along with their corresponding discrete-valued types. They have appeared in various real-world scenarios such as social media, financial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Hui Chen , Xuhui Fan , Hengyu Liu , Longbing Cao

A large fraction of data generated via human activities such as online purchases, health records, spatial mobility etc. can be represented as a sequence of events over a continuous-time. Learning deep learning models over these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Vinayak Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur , Sourangshu Bhattacharya , Abir De

Individual mobility prediction is an essential task for transportation demand management and traffic system operation. There exist a large body of works on modeling location sequence and predicting the next location of users; however,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-08 Yuankai Wu , Zhanhong Cheng , Lijun Sun
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