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In many real-world problems, there is a limited set of training data, but an abundance of unlabeled data. We propose a new method, Generative Posterior Networks (GPNs), that uses unlabeled data to estimate epistemic uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Melrose Roderick , Felix Berkenkamp , Fatemeh Sheikholeslami , Zico Kolter

Stochastic differential equations such as the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process have long been used to model realworld probablistic events such as stock prices and temperature fluctuations. While statistical methods such as Maximum Likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Aroon Sankoh , Victor Wickerhauser

This paper addresses the growing need to process non-Euclidean data, by introducing a geometric deep learning (GDL) framework for building universal feedforward-type models compatible with differentiable manifold geometries. We show that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Anastasis Kratsios , Leonie Papon

We introduce a novel training principle for probabilistic models that is an alternative to maximum likelihood. The proposed Generative Stochastic Networks (GSN) framework is based on learning the transition operator of a Markov chain whose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-27 Yoshua Bengio , Éric Thibodeau-Laufer , Guillaume Alain , Jason Yosinski

The generalized Gauss-Newton (GGN) approximation is often used to make practical Bayesian deep learning approaches scalable by replacing a second order derivative with a product of first order derivatives. In this paper we argue that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Alexander Immer , Maciej Korzepa , Matthias Bauer

We analyze the problem of the analytical characterization of the probability distribution of financial returns in the exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model with stochastic volatility. In this model the prices are driven by a Geometric…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Giacomo Bormetti , Valentina Cazzola , Guido Montagna , Oreste Nicrosini

We introduce a novel training principle for probabilistic models that is an alternative to maximum likelihood. The proposed Generative Stochastic Networks (GSN) framework is based on learning the transition operator of a Markov chain whose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-29 Guillaume Alain , Yoshua Bengio , Li Yao , Jason Yosinski , Eric Thibodeau-Laufer , Saizheng Zhang , Pascal Vincent

We consider a linear stochastic differential equation with stochastic drift. We study the problem of approximating the solution of such equation through an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process, by using direct methods of calculus of variations.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Giacomo Ascione , Giuseppe D'Onofrio , Lubomir Kostal , Enrica Pirozzi

We study the task of learning Generalized Linear models (GLMs) in the agnostic model under the Gaussian distribution. We give the first polynomial-time algorithm that achieves a constant-factor approximation for \textit{any} monotone…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Nikos Zarifis , Puqian Wang , Ilias Diakonikolas , Jelena Diakonikolas

In this paper, we propose a new and unified approach for nonparametric regression and conditional distribution learning. Our approach simultaneously estimates a regression function and a conditional generator using a generative learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-28 Shanshan Song , Tong Wang , Guohao Shen , Yuanyuan Lin , Jian Huang

Large-scale streaming data are common in modern machine learning applications and have led to the development of online learning algorithms. Many fields, such as supply chain management, weather and meteorology, energy markets, and finance,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Simon Hirsch , Jonathan Berrisch , Florian Ziel

We provide full theoretical guarantees for the convergence behaviour of diffusion-based generative models under the assumption of strongly log-concave data distributions while our approximating class of functions used for score estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Stefano Bruno , Ying Zhang , Dong-Young Lim , Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Sotirios Sabanis

We introduce an ordinary differential equation (ODE) based deep generative method for learning conditional distributions, named Conditional F\"ollmer Flow. Starting from a standard Gaussian distribution, the proposed flow could approximate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-14 Jinyuan Chang , Zhao Ding , Yuling Jiao , Ruoxuan Li , Jerry Zhijian Yang

In this study we consider the pricing of energy derivatives when the evolution of spot prices follows a tempered stable or a CGMY driven Ornstein- Uhlenbeck process. To this end, we first calculate the characteristic function of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-25 Piergiacomo Sabino

We consider the problem of option pricing under stochastic volatility models, focusing on the linear approximation of the two processes known as exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck and Stein-Stein. Indeed, we show they admit the same limit…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-23 Giacomo Bormetti , Valentina Cazzola , Danilo Delpini

We propose an approach to generate realistic and high-fidelity stock market data based on generative adversarial networks (GANs). Our Stock-GAN model employs a conditional Wasserstein GAN to capture history dependence of orders. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-09 Junyi Li , Xitong Wang , Yaoyang Lin , Arunesh Sinha , Micheal P. Wellman

We propose a new method in which a generative network (GN) integrate into a reduced-order model (ROM) framework is used to solve inverse problems for partial differential equations (PDE). The aim is to match available measurements and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Vinicius L. S. Silva , Claire E. Heaney , Nenko Nenov , Christopher C. Pain

We introduce a deep learning model that can universally approximate regular conditional distributions (RCDs). The proposed model operates in three phases: first, it linearizes inputs from a given metric space $\mathcal{X}$ to $\mathbb{R}^d$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Anastasis Kratsios

In a Bayesian learning setting, the posterior distribution of a predictive model arises from a trade-off between its prior distribution and the conditional likelihood of observed data. Such distribution functions usually rely on additional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-11-01 Andrea Schirru , Simone Pampuri , Giuseppe De Nicolao , Sean McLoone

This paper explores the problem of generative modeling, aiming to simulate diverse examples from an unknown distribution based on observed examples. While recent studies have focused on quantifying the statistical precision of popular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-07 Elen Vardanyan , Sona Hunanyan , Tigran Galstyan , Arshak Minasyan , Arnak Dalalyan
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