Related papers: On a probabilistic evolutionary approach to ocean …
Evolutionary algorithms (EAs) are universal solvers inspired by principles of natural evolution. In many applications, EAs produce astonishingly good solutions. As they are able to deal with complex optimisation problems, they show great…
The polarizable embedding (PE) model is a fragment-based quantum-classical approach aimed at accurate inclusion of environment effects in quantum-mechanical response property calculations. The aim of this tutorial is to give insight into…
The two-layer quasi-geostrophic equations (2QGE) is a simplified model that describes the dynamics of a stratified, wind-driven ocean in terms of potential vorticity and stream function. Its numerical simulation is plagued by a high…
Normalizing flows have shown great promise for modelling flexible probability distributions in a computationally tractable way. However, whilst data is often naturally described on Riemannian manifolds such as spheres, torii, and hyperbolic…
Differential equations based on physical principals are used to represent complex dynamic systems in all fields of science and engineering. Through repeated use in both academics and industry, these equations have been shown to represent…
An improved one-dimensional mathematical model based on Pulsed Flow Equations (PFE) is derived by integrating the axial component of the momentum equation over the transient Womersley velocity profile, providing a dynamic momentum equation…
Bayesian methods for graphical log-linear marginal models have not been developed in the same extent as traditional frequentist approaches. In this work, we introduce a novel Bayesian approach for quantitative learning for such models.…
This work presents an analysis of ocean wave data including rogue waves. A stochastic approach based on the theory of Markov processes is applied. With this analysis we achieve a characterization of the scale dependent complexity of ocean…
We propose a new class of univariate nonstationary time series models, using the framework of modulated time series, which is appropriate for the analysis of rapidly-evolving time series as well as time series observations with missing…
We propose a nonlinear ocean forecasting technique based on a combination of genetic algorithms and empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis. The method is used to forecast the space-time variability of the sea surface temperature (SST)…
The spatiotemporal dynamics of turbulent flows is chaotic and difficult to predict. This makes the design of accurate and stable reduced-order models challenging. The overarching objective of this paper is to propose a nonlinear…
Unstable periodic orbits (UPOs) are a valuable tool for studying chaotic dynamical systems, as they allow one to distill their dynamical structure. We consider here the Lorenz 1963 model with the classic parameters' value. We investigate…
Normalizing flows provide a general mechanism for defining expressive probability distributions, only requiring the specification of a (usually simple) base distribution and a series of bijective transformations. There has been much recent…
Growing anthropogenic pressures have increased the need for robust predictive models. Meeting this demand requires approaches that can handle bigger data to yield forecasts that capture the variability and underlying uncertainty of…
Proportional hazards (PH), proportional odds (PO) and accelerated failure time (AFT) models have been widely used to deal with survival data in different fields of knowledge. Despite their popularity, such models are not suitable to handle…
A probabilistic machine learning model is introduced to augment the $k-\omega\ SST$ turbulence model in order to improve the modelling of separated flows and the generalisability of learnt corrections. Increasingly, machine learning methods…
The modelling of small-scale processes is a major source of error in climate models, hindering the accuracy of low-cost models which must approximate such processes through parameterization. Red noise is essential to many operational…
Deterministic neural operators perform well on many PDEs but can struggle with the approximation of high-frequency wave phenomena, where strong input-to-output sensitivity makes operator learning challenging, and spectral bias blurs…
This paper deals with a method for solving Poisson Equation (PE) based on genetic algorithms and grammatical evolution. The method forms generations of solutions expressed in an analytical form. Several examples of PE are tested and in most…
Fisher developed his geometric model to support the micro-mutationalism hypothesis which claims that small mutations are more likely to be beneficial and therefore to contribute to evolution and adaptation. While others have provided a…