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This paper considers the problem of detecting and tracking multiple maneuvering targets, which suffers from the intractable inference of high-dimensional latent variables that include target kinematic state, target visibility state, motion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-19 Hua Lan , Jirong Ma , Zengfu Wang , Quan Pan , Xiong Xu

The paper deals with finite-state Markov decision processes (MDPs) with integer weights assigned to each state-action pair. New algorithms are presented to classify end components according to their limiting behavior with respect to the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Christel Baier , Nathalie Bertrand , Clemens Dubslaff , Daniel Gburek , Ocan Sankur

The performance of optimization-based robot motion planning algorithms is highly dependent on the initial solutions, commonly obtained by running a sampling-based planner to obtain a collision-free path. However, these methods can be slow…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-15 J. Carvalho , A. Le , P. Kicki , D. Koert , J. Peters

The fitness level method is a widely used technique for estimating the mean hitting time of elitist evolutionary algorithms on level-based fitness functions. However, this paper identifies its main limitation: the linear lower bound derived…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Jun He , Siang Yew Chong , Xin Yao

We consider the problem of bounding mean first passage times for a class of continuous-time Markov chains that captures stochastic interactions between groups of identical agents. The quantitative analysis of such probabilistic population…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-07 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

Heavy-tailed distributions, prevalent in a lot of real-world applications such as finance, telecommunications, queuing theory, and natural language processing, are challenging to model accurately owing to their slow tail decay. Bernstein…

Performance · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Abdelhakim Ziani , András Horváth , Paolo Ballarini

We study the first-passage time, the distribution of the maximum, and the absorption probability of fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter $H$ with both a linear and a non-linear drift. The latter appears naturally when applying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-12 Maxence Arutkin , Benjamin Walter , Kay Joerg Wiese

We develop a general framework for estimating the $L_\infty(\mathbb{T}^d)$ error for the approximation of multivariate periodic functions belonging to specific reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RHKS) using approximants that are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-06 Lutz Kämmerer

Data analytics helps basketball teams to create tactics. However, manual data collection and analytics are costly and ineffective. Therefore, we applied a deep bidirectional long short-term memory (BLSTM) and mixture density network (MDN)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-02-14 Yu Zhao , Rennong Yang , Guillaume Chevalier , Rajiv Shah , Rob Romijnders

We introduce a simple general method for finding the equilibrium distribution for a class of widely used inexact Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms. The explicit error due to the non-commutivity of the updating operators when numerically…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2008-11-26 M. A. Clark , A. D. Kennedy

Finite mixture models have long been used across a variety of fields in engineering and sciences. Recently there has been a great deal of interest in quantifying the convergence behavior of the \emph{mixing measure}, a fundamental object…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-05 Yun Wei , Sayan Mukherjee , XuanLong Nguyen

We study analytically and numerically the mean fastest first-passage time (fFPT) to an immobile target for an ensemble of $N$ independent finite-speed random searchers driven by dichotomous noise and described by the telegrapher's equation.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-18 Denis S. Grebenkov , Ralf Metzler , Gleb Oshanin

We consider importance sampling for estimating the probability that a light-tailed $d$-dimensional random walk exits through one of many disjoint rare-event regions before reaching an anticipated target. This problem arises in sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

We study the complexity of approximating the multimarginal optimal transport (MOT) distance, a generalization of the classical optimal transport distance, considered here between $m$ discrete probability distributions supported each on $n$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-23 Tianyi Lin , Nhat Ho , Marco Cuturi , Michael I. Jordan

Latent position models (LPMs) are a large and popular class of models for random graphs. However, fitting Bayesian LPMs is computationally challenging - computing the likelihood even once takes time that is quadratic in the number of…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-29 Zonghao Li , Aaron Smith

Biomolecular folding, at least in simple systems, can be described as a two state transition in a free energy landscape with two deep wells separated by a high barrier. Transition paths are the short part of the trajectories that cross the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-10 M. Laleman , E. Carlon , H. Orland

We investigate the full functional form of the first passage time density (FPTD) of a tracer particle in a single-file diffusion (SFD) system whose population is: (i) homogeneous, i.e., all particles having the same diffusion constant and…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-05-10 Lloyd P. Sanders , Tobias Ambjornsson

With Wendelstein 7-X now up and running, and the construction of ITER proceeding, predicting fast-ion losses to sensitive plasma-facing components and detectors is gaining significant interest. A common recipe to perform such studies is to…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2019-05-14 Eero Hirvijoki

The solution convergence of Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) can be accelerated by prioritized sweeping of states ranked by their potential impacts to other states. In this paper, we present new heuristics to speed up the solution…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-01-07 Shoubhik Debnath , Lantao Liu , Gaurav Sukhatme

We consider the mean first passage time (MFPT) for a diffusive particle in a potential landscape with the extra condition that the particle is reset to its original position with some rate r. We study non-smooth and non-convex potentials…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-16 Johannes Aspman , Daniel Mastropietro , Jakub Marecek