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Multi-model ensembles provide a pragmatic approach to the representation of model uncertainty in climate prediction. However, such representations are inherently ad hoc, and, as shown, probability distributions of climate variables based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-26 T. N. Palmer , F. J. Doblas-Reyes , A. Weisheimer , G. J. Shutts , J. Berner , J. M. Murphy

Due to their data-driven nature, Machine Learning (ML) models are susceptible to bias inherited from data, especially in classification problems where class and group imbalances are prevalent. Class imbalance (in the classification target)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Emmanouil Panagiotou , Arjun Roy , Eirini Ntoutsi

Simulating complex physical systems often involves solving partial differential equations (PDEs) with some closures due to the presence of multi-scale physics that cannot be fully resolved. Therefore, reliable and accurate closure models…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-02-19 Jin-Long Wu , Karthik Kashinath , Adrian Albert , Dragos Chirila , Prabhat , Heng Xiao

The parameterization of moist convection contributes to uncertainty in climate modeling and numerical weather prediction. Machine learning (ML) can be used to learn new parameterizations directly from high-resolution model output, but it…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-11-30 Paul A. O'Gorman , John G. Dwyer

We study the problem of synthetic generation of samples of environmental features for autonomous vehicle navigation. These features are described by a spatiotemporally varying scalar field that we refer to as a threat field. The threat…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Nachiket U. Bapat , Randy C. Paffenroth , Raghvendra V. Cowlagi

Stochastic Model Predictive Control has proved to be an efficient method to plan trajectories in uncertain environments, e.g., for autonomous vehicles. Chance constraints ensure that the probability of collision is bounded by a predefined…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-17 Tim Brüdigam , Fulvio di Luzio , Lucia Pallottino , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

Turbulence is still one of the main challenges for accurately predicting reactive flows. Therefore, the development of new turbulence closures which can be applied to combustion problems is essential. Data-driven modeling has become very…

The paper proposes a data-driven approach to air-to-ground channel estimation in a millimeter-wave wireless network on an unmanned aerial vehicle. Unlike traditional centralized learning methods that are specific to certain geographical…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Saira Bano , Pietro Cassarà , Nicola Tonellotto , Alberto Gotta

Graph generation is a crucial task in many fields, including network science and bioinformatics, as it enables the creation of synthetic graphs that mimic the properties of real-world networks for various applications. Graph Generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Salvatore Romano , Marco Grassia , Giuseppe Mangioni

A framework is proposed for generative models as a basis for digital twins or mirrors of structures. The proposal is based on the premise that deterministic models cannot account for the uncertainty present in most structural modelling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-10 G. Tsialiamanis , D. J. Wagg , N. Dervilis , K. Worden

We propose a probabilistic framework for developing computational models of biological neural systems. In this framework, physiological recordings are viewed as discrete-time partial observations of an underlying continuous-time stochastic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-10 Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

Urgent applications like wildfire management and renewable energy generation require precise, localized weather forecasts near the Earth's surface. However, forecasts produced by machine learning models or numerical weather prediction…

Modern generative machine learning models demonstrate surprising ability to create realistic outputs far beyond their training data, such as photorealistic artwork, accurate protein structures, or conversational text. These successes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 William Gilpin

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) were initially proposed to generate images by learning from a large number of samples. Recently, GANs have been used to emulate complex physical systems such as turbulent flows. However, a critical…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-11-24 Zeng Yang , Jin-Long Wu , Heng Xiao

The transition of the power grid requires new technologies and methodologies, which can only be developed and tested in simulations. Especially larger simulation setups with many levels of detail can become quite slow. Therefore, the number…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-23 Stephan Balduin , Tom Westermann , Erika Puiutta

We address the question of parameterizing the subgrid scales in simulations of geophysical flows by applying stochastic mode reduction to the one-dimensional stochastically forced shallow water equations. The problem is formulated in…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-08-17 Matthias Zacharuk , Stamen I. Dolaptchiev , Ulrich Achatz , Ilya Timofeyev

Machine learning has become a central technique for modeling in science and engineering, either complementing or as surrogates to physics-based models. Significant efforts have recently been devoted to models capable of predicting field…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-06 Brian H. Lee , Kat Nykiel , Ava E. Hallberg , Brice Rider , Alejandro Strachan

Ecological systems are governed by complex interactions which are mainly nonlinear. In order to capture this complexity and nonlinearity, statistical models recently gained popularity. However, although these models are commonly applied in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-07-29 Can Ozan Tan , Uygar Ozesmi , Meryem Beklioglu , Esra Per , Bahtiyar Kurt

We propose a new probabilistic framework that allows mobile robots to autonomously learn deep, generative models of their environments that span multiple levels of abstraction. Unlike traditional approaches that combine engineered models…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-01-01 Andrzej Pronobis , Rajesh P. N. Rao

Modern climate projections often suffer from inadequate spatial and temporal resolution due to computational limitations, resulting in inaccurate representations of sub-grid processes. A promising technique to address this is the Multiscale…