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Nowadays, with the availability of massive amount of trade data collected, the dynamics of the financial markets pose both a challenge and an opportunity for high frequency traders. In order to take advantage of the rapid, subtle movement…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-07-06 Dat Thanh Tran , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Being able to predict stock prices might be the unspoken wish of stock investors. Although stock prices are complicated to predict, there are many theories about what affects their movements, including interest rates, news and social media.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Roderick Karlemstrand , Ebba Leckström

In quantitative finance, modeling the volatility structure of underlying assets is vital to pricing options. Rough stochastic volatility models, such as the rough Bergomi model [Bayer, Friz, Gatheral, Quantitative Finance 16(6), 887-904,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-16 Christian Bayer , Eric Joseph Hall , Raúl Tempone

Stock market plays an important role in the economic development. Due to the complex volatility of the stock market, the research and prediction on the change of the stock price, can avoid the risk for the investors. The traditional time…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-23 Zhuangwei Shi , Yang Hu , Guangliang Mo , Jian Wu

Investors try to predict returns of financial assets to make successful investment. Many quantitative analysts have used machine learning-based methods to find unknown profitable market rules from large amounts of market data. However,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-21 Katsuya Ito , Kentaro Minami , Kentaro Imajo , Kei Nakagawa

Stock trend forecasting, which forecasts stock prices' future trends, plays an essential role in investment. The stocks in a market can share information so that their stock prices are highly correlated. Several methods were recently…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-21 Wentao Xu , Weiqing Liu , Lewen Wang , Yingce Xia , Jiang Bian , Jian Yin , Tie-Yan Liu

We empirically investigated the relationships between the degree of efficiency and the predictability in financial time-series data. The Hurst exponent was used as the measurement of the degree of efficiency, and the hit rate calculated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Cheoljun Eom , Sunghoon Choi , Gabjin Oh , Woo-Sung Jung

Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Manuel Noseda , Nathan Soldati , Marco Paina

We propose a novel structural estimation framework in which we train a surrogate of an economic model with deep neural networks. Our methodology alleviates the curse of dimensionality and speeds up the evaluation and parameter estimation by…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-19 Hui Chen , Antoine Didisheim , Simon Scheidegger

Stochastic volatility models have existed in Option pricing theory ever since the crash of 1987 which violated the Black-Scholes model assumption of constant volatility. Heston model is one such stochastic volatility model that is widely…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-10 Kumar Yashaswi

Forecasting stock market prices remains a complex challenge for traders, analysts, and engineers due to the multitude of factors that influence price movements. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and natural language…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Kaushal Attaluri , Mukesh Tripathi , Srinithi Reddy , Shivendra

MAE, MSE and RMSE performance indicators are used to analyze the performance of different stocks predicted by LSTM and ARIMA models in this paper. 50 listed company stocks from finance.yahoo.com are selected as the research object in the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-07 Ruochen Xiao , Yingying Feng , Lei Yan , Yihan Ma

To predict the future movements of stock markets, numerous studies concentrate on daily data and employ various machine learning (ML) models as benchmarks that often vary and lack standardization across different research works. This paper…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-16 Han Gui

We construct a binomial tree model fitting all moments to the approximated geometric Brownian motion. Our construction generalizes the classical Cox-Ross-Rubinstein, the Jarrow-Rudd, and the Tian binomial tree models. The new binomial model…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-07 Y. S. Kim , S. Stoyanov , S. Rachev , F. Fabozzi

This paper proposed a method for stock prediction. In terms of feature extraction, we extract the features of stock-related news besides stock prices. We first select some seed words based on experience which are the symbols of good news…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-25 Zeya Zhang , Weizheng Chen , Hongfei Yan

The stock market has been a popular topic of interest in the recent past. The growth in the inflation rate has compelled people to invest in the stock and commodity markets and other areas rather than saving. Further, the ability of Deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-21 Priyank Sonkiya , Vikas Bajpai , Anukriti Bansal

In this paper, we employ the Heston stochastic volatility model to describe the stock's volatility and apply the model to derive and analyze the optimal trading strategies for dealers in a security market. We also extend our study to option…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-02 Wai-Ki Ching , Jia-Wen Gu , Tak-Kuen Siu , Qing-Qing Yang

The Black-Litterman model is a framework for incorporating forward-looking expert views in a portfolio optimization problem. Existing work focuses almost exclusively on single-period problems with the forecast horizon matching that of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-17 Anas Abdelhakmi , Andrew Lim

In order to make good investment decisions, it is vitally important for an investor to know how to make good analysis of financial time series. Within this context, studies on the forecast of the values and trends of stock prices have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-24 Gabriel de Oliveira Guedes Nogueira , Marcel Otoboni de Lima

We present a deep long short-term memory (LSTM)-based neural network for predicting asset prices, together with a successful trading strategy for generating profits based on the model's predictions. Our work is motivated by the fact that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-09 Chariton Chalvatzis , Dimitrios Hristu-Varsakelis