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Linear time series modelling is dominated by the use of purely autoregressive models even though incorporating moving average components can greatly improve parsimony. We present a convex formulation for vector-ARMA system identification…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-01 Alex Nguyen-Le , Victor M. Preciado

The spatio-temporal autoregressive moving average (STARMA) model is frequently used in several studies of multivariate time series data, where the assumption of stationarity is important, but it is not always guaranteed in practice. One way…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-14 Yangyang Chen , Pedro Alberto Morettin , Chang Chiann

Two-dimensional (2-D) autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are commonly applied to describe real-world image data, usually assuming Gaussian or symmetric noise. However, real-world data often present non-Gaussian signals, with…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 B. G. Palm , F. M. Bayer , R. J. Cintra

In this paper, we use convolutional neural networks to address the problem of model identification for autoregressive moving average time series models. We compare the performance of several neural network architectures, trained on…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-21 Wai Hoh Tang , Adrian Röllin

We consider the problem of estimating a signal from noisy circularly-translated versions of itself, called multireference alignment (MRA). One natural approach to MRA could be to estimate the shifts of the observations first, and infer the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-14 Tamir Bendory , Nicolas Boumal , Chao Ma , Zhizhen Zhao , Amit Singer

Stationary processes have been extensively studied in the literature. Their applications include modeling and forecasting numerous real life phenomena such as natural disasters, sales and market movements. When stationary processes are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-10 Marko Voutilainen , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen

We present an uncertainty principle for graph signals in the vertex-time domain, unifying the classical time-frequency and graph uncertainty principles within a single framework. By defining vertex-time and spectral-frequency spreads, we…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-05 Yanan Zhao , Xingchao Jian , Feng Ji , Wee Peng Tay , Antonio Ortega

Autoregressive models are ubiquitous tools for the analysis of time series in many domains such as computational neuroscience and biomedical engineering. In these domains, data is, for example, collected from measurements of brain activity.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-02 Jonas F. Haderlein , Andre D. H. Peterson , Anthony N. Burkitt , Iven M. Y. Mareels , David B. Grayden

The autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model is one of the most important models in time series analysis.We consider the Bayesian estimation of an unknown spectral density in the ARMA model.In the i.i.d. cases, Komaki showed that Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Fuyuhiko Tanaka , Fumiyasu Komaki

In this paper, we propose a novel framework that leverages large language models (LLMs) for predicting missing values in time-varying graph signals by exploiting spatial and temporal smoothness. We leverage the power of LLM to achieve a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Dayu Qin , Yi Yan , Ercan Engin Kuruoglu

We propose a time-varying graph signal recovery method for estimating the true time-varying graph signal from corrupted observations by leveraging dynamic graphs. Most of the conventional methods for time-varying graph signal recovery have…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-03 Eisuke Yamagata , Kazuki Naganuma , Shunsuke Ono

Autoregressive models (ARMs) have become the workhorse for sequence generation tasks, since many problems can be modeled as next-token prediction. While there appears to be a natural ordering for text (i.e., left-to-right), for many data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Zhe Wang , Jiaxin Shi , Nicolas Heess , Arthur Gretton , Michalis K. Titsias

Graph models provide efficient tools to capture the underlying structure of data defined over networks. Many real-world network topologies are subject to change over time. Learning to model the dynamic interactions between entities in such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Amirhossein Javaheri , Jiaxi Ying , Daniel P. Palomar , Farokh Marvasti

The assumption of using a static graph to represent multivariate time-varying signals oversimplifies the complexity of modeling their interactions over time. We propose a Dynamic Multi-hop model that captures dynamic interactions among…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-26 Yi Yan , Fengfan Zhao , Ercan Engin Kuruoglu

The positive link prediction (PLP) problem is formulated in a system identification framework: we consider dynamic graphical models for auto-regressive moving-average (ARMA) Gaussian random processes. For the identification of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Daniele Alpago , Mattia Zorzi , Augusto Ferrante

Max-autogressive moving average (Max-ARMA) processes are powerful tools for modelling time series data with heavy-tailed behaviour; these are a non-linear version of the popular autoregressive moving average models. River flow data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Eleanor D'Arcy , Jonathan A Tawn

Graph learning from signals is a core task in Graph Signal Processing (GSP). One of the most commonly used models to learn graphs from stationary signals is SpecT. However, its practical formulation rSpecT is known to be sensitive to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-03 Shangyuan Liu , Linglingzhi Zhu , Anthony Man-Cho So

We propose a multiscale approach to time series autoregression, in which linear regressors for the process in question include features of its own path that live on multiple timescales. We take these multiscale features to be the recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Rafal Baranowski , Yining Chen , Piotr Fryzlewicz

This paper tackles the challenging problem of jointly inferring time-varying network topologies and imputing missing data from partially observed graph signals. We propose a unified non-convex optimization framework to simultaneously…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-07 Chuansen Peng , Xiaojing Shen

Stationarity is a cornerstone property that facilitates the analysis and processing of random signals in the time domain. Although time-varying signals are abundant in nature, in many practical scenarios the information of interest resides…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-11 Antonio G. Marques , Santiago Segarra , Geert Leus , Alejandro Ribeiro