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Motivated by studying asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in stochastic volatility (SV) models, in this paper we investigate likelihood estimation in state space models. We first prove, under some regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Cheng-Der Fuh

We provide finite-sample distribution approximations, that are uniform in the parameter, for inference in linear mixed models. Focus is on variances and covariances of random effects in cases where existing theory fails because their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

Finite mixture models are widely used in econometric analyses to capture unobserved heterogeneity. This paper shows that maximum likelihood estimation of finite mixtures of parametric densities can suffer from substantial finite-sample bias…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Raphaël Langevin

In this article, we obtain explicit bounds on the uniform distance between the cumulative distribution function of a standardized sum $S_n$ of $n$ independent centered random variables with moments of order four and its first-order…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Alexis Derumigny , Lucas Girard , Yannick Guyonvarch

We present large sample results for partitioning-based least squares nonparametric regression, a popular method for approximating conditional expectation functions in statistics, econometrics, and machine learning. First, we obtain a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Yingjie Feng

We prove a general theorem to bound the total variation distance between the distribution of an integer valued random variable of interest and an appropriate discretized normal distribution. We apply the theorem to 2-runs in a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Xiao Fang

The purpose of this paper is to estimate the limiting variance of asymptotically stationary Gaussian processes observed at high frequency, using the second moment estimator (SME). We study rates of convergence of the central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Yong Chen

This paper deals with a parametrized family of partially observed bivariate Markov chains. We establish that, under very mild assumptions, the limit of the normalized log-likelihood function is maximized when the parameters belong to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Randal Douc , Francois Roueff , Tepmony Sim

We develop Stein's method for the half-normal distribution and apply it to derive rates of convergence in distributional limit theorems for three statistics of the simple symmetric random walk: the maximum value, the number of returns to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Christian Döbler

This paper studies limit measures of stationary measures of stochastic ordinary differential equations on the Euclidean space and tries to determine which invariant measures of an unperturbed system will survive. Under the assumption for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-01-28 Tianyuan Xu , Lifeng Chen , Jifa Jiang

We consider 1-dimensional location estimation, where we estimate a parameter $\lambda$ from $n$ samples $\lambda + \eta_i$, with each $\eta_i$ drawn i.i.d. from a known distribution $f$. For fixed $f$ the maximum-likelihood estimate (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Shivam Gupta , Jasper C. H. Lee , Eric Price , Paul Valiant

We import the algebro-geometric notion of a complete collineation into the study of maximum likelihood estimation in directed Gaussian graphical models. A complete collineation produces a perturbation of sample data, which we call a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Gergely Bérczi , Eloise Hamilton , Philipp Reichenbach , Anna Seigal

We consider random multiplicative functions taking the values $\pm 1$. Using Stein's method for normal approximation, we prove a central limit theorem for the sum of such multiplicative functions in appropriate short intervals.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-03 Sourav Chatterjee , Kannan Soundararajan

We study a class of sampled stochastic optimization problems, where the underlying state process has diffusive dynamics of the mean-field type. We establish the existence of optimal relaxed controls when the sample set has finite size. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Lijun Bo , Agostino Capponi , Huafu Liao

For the problem of nonparametric regression of smooth functions, we reconsider and analyze a constrained variational approach, which we call the MultIscale Nemirovski-Dantzig (MIND) estimator. This can be viewed as a multiscale extension of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-02 Markus Grasmair , Housen Li , Axel Munk

Delattre et al. (2013) considered n independent stochastic differential equations (SDEs), where in each case the drift term is associated with a random effect, the distribution of which depends upon unknown parameters. Assuming the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-12 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Researchers are increasingly turning to machine learning (ML) algorithms to investigate causal heterogeneity in randomized experiments. Despite their promise, ML algorithms may fail to accurately ascertain heterogeneous treatment effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Kosuke Imai , Michael Lingzhi Li

Efficient estimation of a non-Gaussian stable Levy process with drift and symmetric jumps observed at high frequency is considered. For this statistical experiment, the local asymptotic normality of the likelihood is proved with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Alexandre Brouste , Hiroki Masuda

Donsker-type functional limit theorems are proved for empirical processes arising from discretely sampled increments of a univariate L\'evy process. In the asymptotic regime the sampling frequencies increase to infinity and the limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-12 Richard Nickl , Markus Reiß , Jakob Söhl , Mathias Trabs

The paper aims at reconsidering the famous Le Cam LAN theory. The main features of the approach which make it different from the classical one are as follows: (1) the study is nonasymptotic, that is, the sample size is fixed and does not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-06 Vladimir Spokoiny
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