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This paper is devoted to the estimators of the mean that provide strong non-asymptotic guarantees under minimal assumptions on the underlying distribution. The main ideas behind proposed techniques are based on bridging the notions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Stanislav Minsker

Missing data is frequently encountered in many areas of statistics. Propensity score weighting is a popular method for handling missing data. The propensity score method employs a response propensity model, but correct specification of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Hengfang Wang , Jae Kwang Kim , Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee

Robust online estimation of oscillation frequency belongs to classical problems of system identification and adaptive control. The given harmonic signal can be noisy and with varying amplitude at the same time, as in the case of damped…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-26 Michael Ruderman

Doubly robust (DR) estimators guard against model misspecification but remain sensitive to weak covariate overlap. We show that trimming propensity scores reduces variance but eliminates double robustness. We introduce DR estimators that…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-17 Yukun Ma , Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Yuya Sasaki , Takuya Ura

Suppose we are interested in the mean of an outcome variable missing not at random. Suppose however that one has available a fully observed shadow variable, which is associated with the outcome but independent of the missingness process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Wang Miao , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

We consider the nonparametric robust estimation problem for regression models in continuous time with semi-Markov noises. An adaptive model selection procedure is proposed. Under general moment conditions on the noise distribution a sharp…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-28 Vlad Barbu , Slim Beltaif , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

This work develops non-asymptotic theory for estimation of the long-run variance matrix and its inverse, the so-called precision matrix, for high-dimensional time series under general assumptions on the dependence structure including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Changryong Baek , Marie-Christine Düker , Vladas Pipiras

We introduce a double/debiased machine learning estimator for the impulse response function in settings where a time series of interest is subjected to multiple discrete treatments, assigned over time, which can have a causal effect on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-17 Daniele Ballinari , Alexander Wehrli

This work is concerned with the estimation of the intensity parameter of a stationary determinantal point process. We consider the standard estimator, corresponding to the number of observed points per unit volume and a recently introduced…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-26 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Christophe Ange Napoléon Biscio

We consider parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and variable selection for partially time-varying coefficient models. Our asymptotic theory has the useful feature that it can allow dependent, nonstationary error and covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

We establish a general statistical optimality theory for estimation problems where the target parameter is a linear functional of an unknown nuisance component that must be estimated from data. This formulation covers many causal and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Jikai Jin , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We derive a bound on the precision of state estimation for finite dimensional quantum systems and prove its attainability in the generic case where the spectrum is non-degenerate. Our results hold under an assumption called local asymptotic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-09 Yuxiang Yang , Giulio Chiribella , Masahito Hayashi

Randomly censored survival data are frequently encountered in applied sciences including biomedical or reliability applications and clinical trial analyses. Testing the significance of statistical hypotheses is crucial in such analyses to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-08 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu , Leandro Pardo

We develop a procedure that transforms any asymptotically normal estimator into an asymptotically normal estimator whose distribution is robust to arbitrary data contamination. More generally, our procedure transforms any estimator whose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-19 Riccardo Passeggeri , Nancy Reid

The aim of this Lecture Note is to introduce the Signal Processing (SP) community to a powerful yet still under-utilised tool: the semiparametric statistics. In short, the semiparametric framework allows us to estimate or perform hypothesis…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-26 Stefano Fortunati

In many semiparametric models that are parameterized by two types of parameters---a Euclidean parameter of interest and an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter---the two parameters are bundled together, that is, the nuisance parameter is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-13 Ying Ding , Bin Nan

We introduce a framework for estimating causal effects of binary and continuous treatments in high dimensions. We show how posterior distributions of treatment and outcome models can be used together with doubly robust estimators. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-06 Joseph Antonelli , Georgia Papadogeorgou , Francesca Dominici

This paper studies debiased machine learning when nuisance parameters appear in indicator functions. An important example is maximized average welfare gain under optimal treatment assignment rules. For asymptotically valid inference for a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-18 Gyungbae Park

We develop a novel continuous-time asymptotic framework for inference on whether the predictive ability of a given forecast model remains stable over time. We formally define forecast instability from the economic forecaster's perspective…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-12-04 Alessandro Casini

Marginal structural models are a popular method for estimating causal effects in the presence of time-varying exposures. In spite of their popularity, no scalable non-parametric estimator exist for marginal structural models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Axel Martin , Michele Santacatterina , Iván Díaz