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Adjusting for covariates is a well established method to estimate the total causal effect of an exposure variable on an outcome of interest. Depending on the causal structure of the mechanism under study there may be different adjustment…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-27 Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

The case$^2$ study, also referred to as the case-case study design, is a valuable approach for conducting inference for treatment effects. Unlike traditional case-control studies, the case$^2$ design compares treatment in two types of cases…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-03 Kan Chen , Ting Ye , Dylan S. Small

Selective inference (post-selection inference) is a methodology that has attracted much attention in recent years in the fields of statistics and machine learning. Naive inference based on data that are also used for model selection tends…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-25 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya , Yuta Umezu , Ichiro Takeuchi

Sentiment analysis (SA) aims to identify the sentiment expressed in a text, such as a product review. Given a review and the sentiment associated with it, this work formulates SA as a combination of two tasks: (1) a causal discovery task…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Zhiheng Lyu , Zhijing Jin , Fernando Gonzalez , Rada Mihalcea , Bernhard Schölkopf , Mrinmaya Sachan

Causal Machine Learning has emerged as a powerful tool for flexibly estimating causal effects from observational data in both industry and academia. However, causal inference from observational data relies on untestable assumptions about…

A popular technique for selecting and tuning machine learning estimators is cross-validation. Cross-validation evaluates overall model fit, usually in terms of predictive accuracy. In causal inference, the optimal choice of estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Dominik Rothenhäusler

Meta-analysis is a powerful tool to synthesize findings from multiple studies. The normal-normal random-effects model is widely used to account for between-study heterogeneity. However, meta-analysis of sparse data, which may arise when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-10 Taojun Hu , Yi Zhou , Satoshi Hattori

Tolerance limits have received considerable attention in the statistical literature, with applications reaching far beyond their initial role in quality control. The well-known formula of Scheff\'e and Tukey (1944) establishes a simple,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 James H. McVittie , Martin Lysy , Masoud Asgharian

Competing risks data refer to situations where the occurrence of one event pre- cludes the possibility of other events happening, resulting in multiple mutually exclusive events. This data type is commonly encountered in medical research…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Fatemeh Mahmoudi , Chenxi Li , Kaida Cai , Xuewen Lu

Prior sensitivity examination plays an important role in applied Bayesian analyses. This is especially true for Bayesian hierarchical models, where interpretability of the parameters within deeper layers in the hierarchy becomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-18 Malgorzata Roos , Thiago G. Martins , Leonhard Held , Havard Rue

We analyze the empirical content of the Roy model, stripped down to its essential features, namely sector specific unobserved heterogeneity and self-selection on the basis of potential outcomes. We characterize sharp bounds on the joint…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-11-12 Ismael Mourifie , Marc Henry , Romuald Meango

This article introduces a new condition based on odds ratios for sensitivity analysis. The analysis involves the average effect of a treatment or exposure on a response or outcome with estimates adjusted for and conditional on a single,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-11 Brian Knaeble , Julian Chan

Suppose that the only available information in a multi-class problem are expert estimates of the conditional probabilities of occurrence for a set of binary features. The aim is to select a subset of features to be measured in subsequent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Ludmila Kuncheva , C. Whitaker , P. Cockcroft , Z. S. Hoare

Adaptive seamless designs combine confirmatory testing, a domain of phase III trials, with features such as treatment or subgroup selection, typically associated with phase II trials. They promise to increase the efficiency of development…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-25 Tim Friede , Nigel Stallard , Nicholas Parsons

In this paper, we outline a principled approach to estimate an individualized treatment rule that is appropriate for data from observational studies where, in addition to treatment assignment not being independent of individual…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-05 Jeremy Roth , Noah Simon

Selection bias is a major obstacle toward valid causal inference in epidemiology. Over the past decade, several graphical rules based on causal diagrams have been proposed as the sufficient identification conditions for addressing selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Yichi Zhang , Haidong Lu

This paper considers the evaluation of discretely distributed treatments when outcomes are only observed for a subpopulation due to sample selection or outcome attrition. For identification, we combine a selection-on-observables assumption…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-16 Michela Bia , Martin Huber , Lukáš Lafférs

We show that causal effects can be identified when there is bunching in the distribution of a continuous treatment variable, without imposing any parametric assumptions. This yields a new nonparametric method for overcoming selection bias…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-08 Carolina Caetano , Gregorio Caetano , Leonard Goff , Eric Nielsen

The following paper presents nonprobsvy -- an R package for inference based on non-probability samples. The package implements various approaches that can be categorized into three groups: prediction-based approach, inverse probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Łukasz Chrostowski , Piotr Chlebicki , Maciej Beręsewicz

Selective prediction [Dru13, QV19] models the scenario where a forecaster freely decides on the prediction window that their forecast spans. Many data statistics can be predicted to a non-trivial error rate without any distributional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Licheng Liu , Mingda Qiao
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