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Wind power forecasting helps with the planning for the power systems by contributing to having a higher level of certainty in decision-making. Due to the randomness inherent to meteorological events (e.g., wind speeds), making highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-04 Syed Kazmi , Berk Gorgulu , Mucahit Cevik , Mustafa Gokce Baydogan

This study aims to improve the spatial representation of uncertainties when regressing surface wind speeds from large-scale atmospheric predictors for sub-seasonal forecasting. Sub-seasonal forecasting often relies on large-scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Ganglin Tian , Anastase Alexandre Charantonis , Camille Le Coz , Alexis Tantet , Riwal Plougonven

The widespread utilisation of grid-integrated wind electricity necessitates accurate and reliable wind speed forecasting to ensure stable grid and quality power. Machine learning algorithm based wind speed forecasting models are getting…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-08-13 Valsaraj Perumpalot , G. V. Drisya , K. Satheesh Kumar

Validating engineering wake models under real-world operational conditions is essential for improving wind farm performance predictions. This study uses a unique dataset from the Lillgrund offshore wind farm, collected during the Horizon…

Reanalysis data are widely used for simulating renewable energy and in particular wind power generation. While MERRA-2 has been a de-facto standard in many studies, the newer ERA5- reanalysis recently gained importance. Here, we use these…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-11 Katharina Gruber , Peter Regner , Sebastian Wehrle , Marianne Zeyringer , Johannes Schmidt

Forecasts by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF; EC for short) can provide a basis for the establishment of maritime-disaster warning systems, but they contain some systematic biases.The fifth-generation EC…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-04 Wei Zhang , Yueyue Jiang , Junyu Dong , Xiaojiang Song , Renbo Pang , Boyu Guoan , Hui Yu

In the wind energy industry, it is of great importance to develop models that accurately forecast the power output of a wind turbine, as such predictions are used for wind farm location assessment or power pricing and bidding, monitoring,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-13 Sándor Kolumbán , Stella Kapodistria , Nazanin Nooraee

Accurately predicting the wind power output of a wind farm across various time scales utilizing Wind Power Forecasting (WPF) is a critical issue in wind power trading and utilization. The WPF problem remains unresolved due to numerous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Hongjin Song , Qianrun Chen , Tianqi Jiang , Yongfeng Li , Xusheng Li , Wenjun Xi , Songtao Huang

To decarbonise the electricity sector and achieve renewable energy targets, a rapidly growing number of wind farms have been authorised, constructed, and commissioned in the UK and EU in recent years. For instance, the UK Government aims to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-10 Rui Li , Jincheng Zhang , Xiaowei Zhao

Intermittent renewable energy resources like wind and solar pose great uncertainty of multiple time scales, from minutes to years, on the design and operation of power systems. Energy system optimization models have been developed to find…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Yuheng Zhang , Vivian Cheng , Dharik S. Mallapragada , Jie Song , Guannan He

Two-stage ensemble-based forecasting methods have been studied extensively in the wind power forecasting field. However, deep learning-based wind power forecasting studies have not investigated two aspects. In the first stage, different…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-30 Jiancheng Qin , Jin Yang , Ying Chen , Qiang Ye , Hua Li

We present a novel approach to optimize wind farm layouts for maximum annual energy production (AEP). The optimization effort requires efficient wake models to predict the wake flow and, subsequently, the power generation of wind farms with…

Low-fidelity wake models are used for wind farm design and control optimization. To generalize to a wind farm model, individually-modeled wakes are commonly superimposed using approximate superposition models. Wake models parameterize…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-06-22 Michael J. LoCascio , Catherine Gorle , Michael F. Howland

Historical observations of severe weather and simulated severe weather environments (i.e., features) from the Global Ensemble Forecast System v12 (GEFSv12) Reforecast Dataset (GEFS/R) are used in conjunction to train and test random forest…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-19 Aaron J. Hill , Russ S. Schumacher , Israel Jirak

This paper presents a new generation of fast-running physics-based models to predict the wake of a semi-infinite wind farm, extending infinitely in the lateral direction but with finite size in the streamwise direction. The assumption of a…

We study short-term prediction of wind speed and wind power (every 10 minutes up to 4 hours ahead). Accurate forecasts for these quantities are crucial to mitigate the negative effects of wind farms' intermittent production on energy…

Reliable wind turbine power prediction is imperative to the planning, scheduling and control of wind energy farms for stable power production. In recent years Machine Learning (ML) methods have been successfully applied in a wide range of…

Wind power forecasting (WPF), as a significant research topic within renewable energy, plays a crucial role in enhancing the security, stability, and economic operation of power grids. However, due to the high stochasticity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Mingyi Zhu , Zhaoxin Li , Qiao Lin , Li Ding

Recently it was demonstrated how climate data can be utilized to estimate regional wind power densities. In particular it was shown that the quality of the global scale estimate compared well with regional high resolution studies and a link…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-10-31 Markus Gross , Vanesa Magar

This paper solves an approximate form of conservation of mass and momentum for a turbine in a wind farm array. The solution is a fairly simple explicit relationship that predicts the streamwise velocity distribution within a wind farm with…