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The growing instability of both global and domestic economic environments has increased the risk of financial distress at the household level. However, traditional econometric models often rely on delayed and aggregated data, limiting their…

Corporate insolvency can have a devastating effect on the economy. With an increasing number of companies making expansion overseas to capitalize on foreign resources, a multinational corporate bankruptcy can disrupt the world's financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-16 Jacky C. K. Chow

Financial Distress Prediction plays a crucial role in the economy by accurately forecasting the number and probability of failing structures, providing insight into the growth and stability of a country's economy. However, predicting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Yuan Gao , Biao Jiang , Jietong Zhou

In this study, we explore how to improve the functionality of multiclass classification algorithms. We used a benchmark dataset from Kaggle to create a framework. They have been used in a number of fields, including image recognition,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Noopur Zambare , Ravindranath Sawane

Academics and practitioners have studied over the years models for predicting firms bankruptcy, using statistical and machine-learning approaches. An earlier sign that a company has financial difficulties and may eventually bankrupt is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-27 Tesi Aliaj , Aris Anagnostopoulos , Stefano Piersanti

In this contribution, we propose machine learning techniques to predict zombie firms. First, we derive the risk of failure by training and testing our algorithms on disclosed financial information and non-random missing values of 304,906…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-16 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Fabio Incerti , Massimo Riccaboni , Armando Rungi

Bankruptcy is a legal procedure that claims a person or organization as a debtor. It is essential to ascertain the risk of bankruptcy at initial stages to prevent financial losses. In this perspective, different soft computing techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-13 Kalyan Nagaraj , Amulyashree Sridhar

A public firm's bankruptcy prediction is an important financial research problem because of the security price downside risks. Traditional methods rely on accounting metrics that suffer from shortcomings like window dressing and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-05 Sridhar Ravula

Urbanization enables economic growth but also harms the environment through degradation. Traditional methods of detecting environmental issues have proven inefficient. Machine learning has emerged as a promising tool for tracking…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Anirudh Mazumder , Sarthak Engala , Aditya Nallaparaju

Financial distress prediction remains a significant challenge in enterprise risk analysis due to the highly imbalanced nature of real-world financial datasets, where bankrupt or distressed firms typically constitute only a small minority of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Karan Sehgal , Khawar Naveed Bhatti

We explore the use of deep learning hierarchical models for problems in financial prediction and classification. Financial prediction problems -- such as those presented in designing and pricing securities, constructing portfolios, and risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-16 J. B. Heaton , N. G. Polson , J. H. Witte

Bankruptcy prediction is an important research area that heavily relies on data science. It aims to help investors, managers, and regulators better understand the operational status of corporations and predict potential financial risks in…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Xinlin Wang , Zsófia Kräussl , Mats Brorsson

We develop a methodology that utilizes deep learning to simultaneously solve and estimate canonical continuous-time general equilibrium models in financial economics. We illustrate our method in two examples: (1) industrial dynamics of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-18 Benjamin Fan , Edward Qiao , Anran Jiao , Zhouzhou Gu , Wenhao Li , Lu Lu

Climate change-associated disasters have become a significant concern, principally when affecting urban areas. Assessing these regions' resilience to strengthen their disaster management is crucial, especially in the areas vulnerable to…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-11-25 Matheus Puime Pedra , Josune Hernantes , Leire Casals , Leire Labaka

Credit risk assessment of a company is commonly conducted by utilizing financial ratios that are derived from its financial statements. However, this approach may not fully encompass other significant aspects of a company. We propose the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Xinlin Wang , Mats Brorsson

Corporate distress models typically only employ the numerical financial variables in the firms' annual reports. We develop a model that employs the unstructured textual data in the reports as well, namely the auditors' reports and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Rastin Matin , Casper Hansen , Christian Hansen , Pia Mølgaard

This paper shows how data science can contribute to improving empirical research in economics by leveraging on large datasets and extracting information otherwise unsuitable for a traditional econometric approach. As a test-bed for our…

General Economics · Economics 2019-11-05 Marco Guerzoni , Consuelo R. Nava , Massimiliano Nuccio

Municipalities are vulnerable to cyberattacks with devastating consequences, but they lack key information to evaluate their own risk and compare their security posture to peers. Using data from 83 municipalities collected via a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Avital Baral , Taylor Reynolds , Lawrence Susskind , Daniel J. Weitzner , Angelina Wu

We consider the problem of forecasting debt recovery from large portfolios of non-performing unsecured consumer loans under management. The state of the art in industry is to use stochastic processes to approximately model payment behaviour…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-26 Sam Baynes , Simon Cotter , Paul Russell , Edmund Ryan , Timothy Waite

Machine Learning approaches are good in solving problems that have less information. In most cases, the software domain problems characterize as a process of learning that depend on the various circumstances and changes accordingly. A…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-06-26 Saiqa Aleem , Luiz Fernando Capretz , Faheem Ahmed
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